The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the 2021 Honda Classic. Inside is my player selection. Make sure to be on Discord Wednesday night to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
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Players priced $10,000 and above
Daniel Berger $10,800 (Model #1, Projected Ownership 31%)
Joaquin Niemann $10,400 (M#3, PO 28%)
Sungjae Im $11,000 (M#13, PO 27%)
**The 2021 Honda Classic has a weak field with a tough course. It’s no surprise that these guys all project over 25% ownership (check Steven’s article tomorrow afternoon for final ownership projections). I think you have three ways of looking at this range.
1. Fade it all together – They all have question marks
2. Fade Berger and play the other two – Berger had an MRI done on his ribs. They had to be hurting enough to get it checked out. The question becomes, Does he finish the tournament, or is he even playing at 100%? He’s the best player in this tournament and for me, it isn’t close.
3. GO ALL IN on Berger. Like I just mentioned he is light years better than everyone else in this field including Sungjae and Niemann. Berger is the most complete player from top to bottom. I created six total models for the week and he finishes 1st, 2nd, 6th, 2nd, 4th, and 3rd.
Players between $9,900 and $9,000
Cameron Tringale $9,100 (M#2, PO 11%)
Russell Henley $9,800 (M#19, PO 20%)
Talor Gooch $9,300 (M#27, PO 17%)
Players between $8,900 and $8,000
Brendan Steele $8,700 (M#9, PO 14%)
Doug Ghim $8,800 (M#11, PO 11%)
Cameron Davis $8,600 (M#20, PO 17%)
Matt Wallace $8,500 (M#45, PO 8%)
Players between $7,900 and $7,000
Ryan Moore $7,300 (M#4, PO 6%)
Kevin Streelman $7,700 (M#8, PO 12%)
Matthew NeSmith $7,300 (M#10, PO 11%)
Harold Varner III $7,600 (M#34, PO 5%)
Rory Sabbatini $7,200 (M#35, PO 5%)
Erik Van Rooyen $7,600 (M#38, PO 4%)
Players between $6,900 and $6,000
Wesley Bryan $6,800 (M#18, PO 2%)
Chesson Hadley $6,600 (M#107, PO .5%) – PURE PUNT
Strategy for the 2021 Honda Classic
This week at the 2021 Honda Classic is the time to take your shot with your low-owned gems. I’m honestly playing much lighter in terms of my bankroll in play and you should be too. It’s not because I don’t trust my research but because it’s a terrible field on a hard track with question marks sprinkled throughout the top-priced guys. Build a three or four-man core, and pepper it with everyone else. This is a win everything or you lose everything kind of week.
Key Stats
GIR – Green in Regulation
Ball Striking
Bogey Avoidance
DK Scoring
Tee 2 Green
Cash Game Core (No One Over 10K, Safest)
Cameron Tringale $9,100
Brendan Steele $8,700
Kevin Streelman $7,700
This core will leave you with over $8,100 on average to fill out your roster for the 2021 Honda Classic. You could even fill in a mid 9K priced golfer and still have roughly $7,500 on average to complete the rest of your build. Remember for cash games you just need to cash, winning the whole thing isn’t necessary. Raise the floor of your team by trying to stay out of the low 7K/6K range.
Single Entry / 3 Max GPP (Risk)
**Depends on your strategy up above in the 10K range**
10K – Berger for SE. Add Sungjae in for 3 Max
9K – Henley
8K – Davis
7K – Moore
20 Max GPP (Riskier)
10K – Niemann
9K – Gooch
8K – Ghim
7K – NeSmith
6K – Bryan
150 Max GPP (Riskiest)
8K – Wallace
7K – Varner, Sabbatini & Rooyen
6K – Hadley
As a general rule of thumb that I follow when “normally” entering 150 max is the higher the golfer is priced, you should have more of them in your lineups. For example…
10K Player – 40%
9K Player – 30%
8K Player – 20%
7K Player – 10%
6K Player – 5%
These golfers are priced like they are for a reason (for the most part). Don’t kill good lineups because you have 30% of a 6K player. Could he go off and you’re way up on the competition, sure. There’s a better chance that they sink those lineups instead. With the 2021 Honda Classic, I would try and create a higher-priced block of golfer 2/3 in the $8,500 and up range and then build off of that.
Projected Ownership – FanShareSports
Monkey Knife Fight – 2021 Honda Classic
Using the information above, you can even make some money on Monkey Knife Fight! As I said I like Sungjae Im and I’m fading Lee Westwood so you can grab the MORE Birdie or Better for Im and the LESS Birdie or Better for Westwood and make some more money! Check out how to play with our quick overview here.
Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the 2021 Honda Classic. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up-to-date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!
