jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/25
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/25. The Model bounced back in a big way on Tuesday going 3-0. The Devils won outright as dogs against the Flyers who are reeling BAD. The under in the Panthers/Blackhawks was a nice win with 5 goals being scored, and the late +205 money line add on the Coyotes was a battle but we got great value and a win there. Fade Jonas Johansson, he is deemed the worst goalie in the NHL at the moment. We took the night off yesterday but ready to get back into it tonight.
We have 11 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Capitals Money Line (-190) over the Devils
- Hurricanes Money Line (-165) over the Blue Jackets
- Islanders Puck Line (+1.5, -250) over the Bruins
- Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +205) over the Flyers
- Penguins Puck Line (-1.5, -127) and Money Line (-315) over the Sabres
- Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +205) over the Blues
- Lightning Puck Line (-1.5, +155) and Money Line (-175) over the Stars
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.
My Picks
Free Picks
Blackhawks ML (+110): The Panthers have a big injury with their captain and best player Barkov already being ruled out. The Blackhawks also have a slight goaltending edge with Lankinen in against Bobrovsky. The Blackhawks should be a slight favorite so the fact that we are getting plus money on them gives us value.
Leafs -1.5 (-115): The numbers this season wouldn’t suggest that the Leafs could cover -1.5 against the North Division-worst Senators. The Leafs only have 3 wins in 6 games against the Senators, and in only 1 of those 3 wins did the Leafs cover the puck line. However, the Leafs have had ample rest in the past 2 weeks playing only 2 games since March 14. With a 3-way tie on points for the North Division lead, and the Leafs are fully healthy and having the better goaltender in net tonight, this screams Leafs blowout.
Premium Pick
Devils +1.5 (-148): The Devils have been much improved of late. They are actually +7u on the road this season on the money line, however they are lining up against a strong Capitals team tonight. Washington is -2u on the puck line at home and the Devils are +3u on the puck line on the road. This seems like a good opportunity for the Devils to cover the 1.5.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
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