jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/31
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/31. The Model had a rough one last night. 0-3. We were prime for a regression due to my unreal winning percentage as of late. We can’t overreact to 1 bad night. We take a step back and re-evaluate and move on to tonight.
We have 6 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Flyers Money Line (-200) and Puck Line (-1.5, +123) over the Sabres
- Jets Puck Line (+1.5, -220) over the Maple Leafs
- Golden Knights Money Line (-225) over the Kings
- Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +160) over the Sharks
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. There are a couple leans tonight such as the Coyotes/Avs over 5.5. Colorado is 7-1 in their last 8 and Coyotes are 4-1 in their last 5, but these teams also have gone multiple games in a row against each other on the under so take it with caution. The Kings +190 also has some value as The Model has their number around +173, but I also find it hard to bet against Vegas. However I am just taking 1 game tonight.
My Picks
Leafs ML (-140): Toronto is coming off an OT loss to Edmonton and Winnipeg is coming off a 5-1 win against Calgary. Both these teams have been inconsistent of late and are fighting for that top spot in the North. The Model has the Leafs as a -155 favorite so we get a decent edge on them here. In their season matchups this season the Leafs have 17.38 xG to the Jets 9.95, but the Jets have outscored the Leafs 13-11. I see a bounce back for the Leafs and like this price we can get them at.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
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