NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/7
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/7. The Model had a very solid 2-1 night. The Rangers pummeled the Penguins 8-4 and the Preds took care of the Wings in a shootout. The Sharks got dominated by the Ducks and didnt cover our -1. All in all good night. On to Wednesday.
We have 5 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Maple Leafs Money Line (-155) over the Canadiens
- Leafs/Canadiens Under 6 (-113)
- Oilers Money Line (-190) over the Senators
- Oilers/Senators Under 6 (-102)
- Wild Puck Line (+1.5, -155) over the Avalanche
- Golden Knights Puck Line (-1.5, +170) and Money Line (-148) over the Blues
- Coyotes Money Line (+100) over the Kings
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. The Kings have such a monster swing in The Model depending on if Quick or Petersen starts for LA. Quick is probably more likely to play but the line right now projects Petersen. If you’re feeling risky feel free to take Yotes now but I’m going to wait for confirmation.
My Picks
Leafs ML (-155): I am mad at myself for waiting to take this play, the line when I checked last night was -143. At this price there isn’t much edge but the Leafs are rolling and I don’t see how they lose tonight. Campbell should be in net who is 9-0-0 this season and the Canadiens have not looked great lately. The Leafs have also won 3 of 4 meetings against Montreal this season and we are riding them tonight.
Oilers/Senators Under 6 (+102): Absolutely gross, an under. On a team with McDavid and Draisaitl? Am I crazy? Probably. But the numbers suggest this has a decent chance to hit and we’re getting it at plus money. The Senators and Oilers average 6.25 and 6.11 total goals, respectively, which would suggest an over. However, these teams have played 7 times and over 6 goals would have gone 3-3-1. Even better the Sens hit their over at 31% at home and the Oilers hit their over 39% on the road. The Sens also play significantly better defense at home and we are riding this under tonight.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
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