jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/15
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/15. The Model sputtered a little bit going 1-2 last night. The Jets giving up a goal with 12 seconds left to not cover the -1.5 at +146 hurt a lot. Two super soft penalties called against them led to a Senators 6-on-3 with 15 seconds left and they scored right off the faceoff. The Habs also laid a stinker against the Flames. At least that over hit or you might not be hearing from me today (kidding). We move on to Thursday.
We have 9 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Islanders Money Line (+108) over the Bruins
- Penguins Money Line (-165) over the Flyers
- Flyers/Penguins Over (6.5, +100)
- Predators Puck Line (+1.5, -175) over the Hurricanes
- Jets Puck Line (+1.5, -165) over the Maple Leafs
- Lightning Puck Line (-1.5, +155) over the Panthers
- Capitals Puck Line (-1.5, -141) and Money Line (-345) over the Sabres
- Stars Puck Line (-1.5, +140) over the Stars
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. The Blue Jackets and Devils have some enticing ML odds as underdogs, but I can’t pull the trigger. The goalie matchup in the Jackets/Stars game favors Columbus if you are looking for a good plus-money dog tonight.
My Picks
Penguins -1 (-112): The Penguins are slowly getting healthy and even with their injuries have been playing well. The Flyers have been the exact opposite coming off a 6-1 drubbing at the hands of the Capitals. There are no trends to suggest the Flyers bounce back tonight, which is why we are taking the -1 to get some extra value on the ML which is currently around -165/-170.
Bruins/Islander Over 5.5 (+124): This is a game where the entire body of work on the season would suggest the under. Both teams suppress offense at an elite level, and the Bruins offense has been rather stagnant. However, we are getting this over at a pretty high plus-money price, they have hit the over 3 out of 5 meetings this season, and it is Tuukka Rask’s first start coming off injury, allowing an opportunity for rust. This is a great value play and we are riding tonight.
Capitals -1.5 (-125): The Sabres are down bad and the Caps are up good (if you will). The Sabres are in full rebuild mode and have nothing left to play for. The only concern is the Caps dominated the Flyers last game 6-1 and this is a potential let down spot. But we are getting 175 points of value between the ML (-300) and the PL (-125). The Caps are 3-4 on the puck line against Buffalo, but they have won their last two games by a combined 14-2 and the goals are flowing for Washington, so let’s hope they keep it up tonight.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
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