jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Saturday 5/1
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Saturday 5/1. The Model went 0-2 last night. It happens, there were only 4 games on the slate. The Jets were up 2-0 and 3-1 before ultimately losing 5-3. They had the game and just collapsed down the stretch. The over in the Knights/Yotes never stood a chance with Vegas getting shutout by Arizona. Quite a surprise for one of the best scoring teams in the league. But that is hockey sometimes, the good value doesn’t always play out. On to Saturday and the biggest slate of the year.
We have 15 (!!) games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Bruins Puck Line (-1.5, -136) and Money Line (-335) over the Sabres
- Senators Money Line (+160) over the Canadiens
- Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -225) over the Islanders
- Rangers/Islanders Under (5.5, -134)
- Flyers/Devils Over (6.5, +102)
- Hurricanes Puck Line (-1.5, -125) and Money Line (-335) over the Blue Jackets
- Avalanche Money Line (-295) over the Sharks
- Panthers Money Line (-157) over the Blackhawks
- Predators Money Line (-115) over the Stars
- Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +180) over the Blues
- Oilers Money Line (-124) over the Flames
- Oilers/Flames Under (6, -114)
- Kings Money Line (-129) over the Ducks
- Golden Knights Money Line (-200) over the Coyotes
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.
My Picks
Senators ML (+160): The Senators have had the Canadiens number this season for whatever reason winning 5 of 8 meetings. The Canadiens played last night against Winnipeg (bad rest spot) and might look to Primeau in net tonight. The Habs are also likely without Shea Weber. The Sens are also profitable on the ML this season (+1.4u) and the Canadiens are not profitable (-9.6u). This is a good value play on a big slate tonight where there isn’t too much value.
Wild -1.5 (+180): The Wild are due to beat the Blues on the puck line. They haven’t their last two meetings which means third time is a charm. We are getting better value each game (+160 first game, +170 last game). I didn’t take it the second game but now that it didn’t hit then I love it even more. Same logic as the previous article, with even more value. They played well in both games just got themselves in a hole early. If they avoid that they should roll tonight.
Golden Knights -1.5 (+132): Vegas finally lost a game with Arizona snapping their 11 game winning streak last night. All good things must come to an end. The good news is the market has over-adjusted too much for that and I see some good value on Vegas puck line tonight. Vegas is one of the best -1.5 teams in the league and the Yotes are one of the worst +1.5 teams in the league. At plus money we are riding this one tonight.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
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