Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a massive 14 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.
This slate brings us a healthy amount of options on both the pitching front and stacking front. We also have my favorite GPP pitcher in Robbie Ray in a bounce back position. Coors Field is back so we’ll also need to determine if we go all in or fade.
Let’s dig in to today’s slates!
MLB DFS: The Aces
Tyler Glasnow ($10.7k) vs. New York Yankees – After a down performance vs. the Toronto Blue Jays Glasnow rebounded with arguably his most dominant performance of the year, 11 K’s and only 3 hits vs. the Royals.
Today he gets to take on a very up and down offense in the Yankees. For the season, the Yankees are striking out more than 25% of the time to righties. They’ve also shown limited power to righties with a sub .700 OPS and just a .141 ISO. The Yankees can be had. They can strikeout in bunches.
Glasnow has elite K ability with a strikeout rate of 36% on the year. While the Yankees can be an intimidating offense at times, they’re not clicking on all cylinders right now. Glasnow is the top arm on the slate and the Yankees propose a nice match-up for him.
Chris Bassitt ($9.3k) vs. Seattle Mariners – If you don’t want to spend all the way up for Glasnow, the next guy to be considered is Bassitt. Bassitt is not yet a household name due to pitching in Oakland, but he’s been one of the top pitchers in the league this year. He has a 26% K rate, a 3.58 xFIP, and a WHIP of only 1.
He’s also done an outstanding job of limiting hard contact. His hard hit rate this year is only 25%. Today he gets to face off against one of the worst offenses in the league, the Seattle Mariners.
Mariners on the year are striking out at a 25% clip to righties and have shown almost no power. Their .643 OPS is the second worst to the handedness of all the teams going today.
This is a great match-up for Bassitt. Salary wise, he’s my top arm today.
Robbie Ray ($9.1k) vs. Miami Marlins – When it comes to pitchers that are considered GPP only pitchers, Ray is at the top of the list.
Ray had his first rough outing of the year his last time out. Giving up 4 ER through 4, but he also managed 5 K’s which helped him still get to the 17 FD points. He proved last time out that even when he’s at his worst, he’s still going to get you some points and all is not lost.
Tonight presents Ray with a great bounce back opportunity. Marlins for the year have been striking out almost 28% of the time to lefties. Ray is never safe, but I like his chances at being one of the top scorers amongst the pitchers going tonight.
MLB DFS: The Bats
There’s a game in Coors tonight. You don’t need me to tell you that anytime there’s a game in Coors, both teams should be in your consideration. My goal here is to provide you other options if you decide to fade Coors.
Both pitchers in this game have been respectable this year and are high ground ball pitchers. With there being other solid spots for offense, fading the game is very reasonable today.
Oakland Athletics vs. Marco Gonzales – The A’s get to take on Gonzales today and I really like this spot for them. Gonzales on the season has been giving up a ton of hard contact while also giving up more fly balls than he normally does. His GB rate is at the lowest point of his career. He’s also giving up one of the highest barrel rates of any pitcher on the slate.
This all sets up well for a team that has been really solid against lefties this season. They have a .181 ISO and 114 wRC+. A’s shouldn’t be highly owned and have the chance to put a big number. My favorite here is Mark Canha ($3.7k) who has a great history against the sinker. He should be the priority in any A’s stack.
Minnesota Twins vs. Bruce Zimmermann – One of these days I’m going to get the Twins right. Tonight I feel is that night. Twins are a high strikeout team. Zimmermann will get some K’s tonight. He’s also someone that will give up some home runs. He’s given up 10 already and I’m going to chase that.
The Twins have a lot of power from the right side. Kyle Garlick ($2.3k), Josh Donaldson ($2.8k), Nelson Cruz ($3.5k), and Mitch Garver ($3.1k) all have strong power numbers against lefties.
Twins disappointed big time yesterday; today should be a different story. Playing all 4 of these guys plus Glasnow still gives you $3,150 per player for the rest of your lineup.
San Francisco Giants vs. Andrew Heaney – Don’t look now, but the Giants offense is one of the hottest in the game. They’ve scored 8, 11, 5, and 6 runs in their last 4 games.
Tonight they get a good match-up against Heaney. While Heaney has gotten a little unlucky this year with his xFIP a run and half lower than his ERA, he’s still giving up a ton of hard contact at nearly 36%.
Giants are a low strikeout team that has done really well against lefties this year. They have a .778 OPS, a .190 ISO, and a wRC+ of 115. The guys I’m going to target here are Austin Slater ($2.4k), Buster Posey ($3.4k), Mike Yastrzemski ($3k), and Mauricio Dubon ($2.1k).
MLB DFS: The Wrap Up
Robbie Ray is on the slate so I’m automatically excited for tonight! Pitching I believe is pretty clear tonight with the 3 pitches I mentioned. With so many good hitting spots I do think ownership should be more spread out.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green tonight!
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