Welcome to the Saturday, June 5th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!
If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!
Early Slate Breakdown
Welcome into a split slate MLB DFS Picks and Pivots Saturday where we kick-off the day with a 9 game Early Slate at 2PM EST.
Much like we saw last night, I think pitching is what dominates these slates and anchoring to two high K arms is going to be a must especially early with Brandon Woodruff and Lucas Giolito.
These two arms as Adam Strangis outlined in Starting Rotation give you the ability to build around two stud arms with 30% plus K rates and elite swinging strike rates and you can do so at a discount relative to what we saw last night night as even with this duo paired up you have $3.8K per batter for the rest of your build.
Another day of Picks and Pivots and another slate where the “Double Ace” build and a Rays/Reds stack seems to fit perfectly.
The Rays get LHP Kolby Allard against the Rays and any time I see a pitcher with a 45% fly-ball rate and 45% HC rate, it sets up perfectly for a power-hitting team like Tampa Bay especially in a hitters park like Texas.
Allard’s issue this year has been the RHB with a .222 ISO allowed with a 51% hard contact rate allowed and the Rays have 3 right-handed batters with .250+ ISO marks against southpaws since the start of last season in Randy Arozarena, Mike Zunino, and Mike Brosseau.
I am not sure what it is about the DK pricing but anytime I look to pair the Rays/Aces build it leads me to the Reds as a secondary stack because they seem wildly under-priced every slate.
Today they get to take on RHP Johan Oviedo who has given up a .200+ ISO and 43% HC rate to batters from the right side with a slider that has been particularly hit hard to the tune of a .239 ISO and 43% HC rate. Eugenio Suarez ($3.8K) is still too cheap and profiles really well against Oviedo as he has a .215 ISO against the slider and overall has a .236 ISO mark against RHP since the start of last season.
We again can take advantage of some cheap Reds still with Tyler Stephenson ($2.8K) and Mike Freeman ($2.4K) who give you flexibility at C/1B and SS to help align with a Tampa stack all while still having enough salary to anchor to two stud arms up top.
Main Slate Breakdown:
The Main Slate for this MLB DFS Picks and Pivots slate is about as straight forward as I can remember any slate being this year as the DraftKings pricing is just – well, wrong.
Here is the summary – you can lock in Jacob deGrom & Kevin Gausman and a full-on Coors Field stack and it is simply too easy.
Seriously – you can get the best pitcher in baseball, pair him with another elite 30%+ K arm and you still can up and down stack the A’s and Rockies. It is going to be chalky, but it is the right path and I have a hard time arguing against it.
The fact that the A’s bats are this cheap against a lefty is criminal – guys like Chad Pinder ($3.7K) and Stephen Piscotty ($2K) being this cheap opens up the clear path to this build and even the Rockies side offers you value with Alan Trejo ($2.3K) being near minimum price.
All this value to start gives you the path to the big bats on both sides and I lean towards the right-handed power on the Colorado side as all of CJ Cron, Garret Hampson and Joshua Fuentes have .200+ ISO marks against LHP since the start of last season.
Honestly – I am not even going to try and argue another path on a 6 game slate as we have such a clear and obvious build staring us in the face so eat the chalk, live in the single entry GPP’s tonight and just take the free square build.
MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up
Both of these MLB DFS Picks and Pivots slates today have a similar look and feel in that we can pay up for both arms with ease while still getting elite power stacks around them and frankly – I do not see a reason to move off that path.
Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.
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