The Open Final Ownership Projections

Welcome to The Open Final Ownership projections, I am very fond of the tourney across the pond, as far as viewing good golf, it doesn’t get much better except for The Masters. Instead of Magnolias they have rough, and I mean rough rough, hitting fairways will be very important this week, and the weather always has an effect on the tourney, right now for Thursday winds should be constant at 16 MPH with gusts to 29 MPH. Please check in Discord up until lock for the latest on the weather situation.

Lock for this tourney is MIDNIGHT TONIGHT EST, it has changed several times since last week, if you have noticed DK has changed its lock times on almost every contest these last two days and has been sending out emails, in some circles it says 1:35 EST, based on what we’ve witnessed, the earlier time is the safest for now, all bold souls are welcome to wait until the last second and see if the 1:35 EST time holds up.

All three of our programs agreed that accuracy played a more important role here than in other Open venues. It could be that any wayward shot off the fairway or into the deep bunkers probably means a bogie. As far as accuracy, you may want to bump the numbers on Morikawa, Fitzpatrick, Ancer and Conners while Spieth, Dechambeau, Finau and Zalatoris would be docked for their metrics, a mini stack with the above positive group may help move up the board, remember that there are better golfers playing, and this projection is for large field GPPs only.

Jon Rahm is the cream of the crop and is playing the best golf of his career, Xander is an acceptable pivot over the super chalky (deservedly so) Jordan Spieth. Both Patrick’s, Reed and Cantlay represent good value. Morikawa is a top ten candidate regardless of links history or lack of it.

We have identified four mispriced golfers that offer value based on lower than expected salaries, anywhere from 1000 to 1400 lower than their base value salary range. They are Berger, English, Burns and Fitzpatrick. Burns is 37th in my model and is being priced in the betting markets at 55th or worse, there are close to 120 golfers priced higher than Burns which makes no sense, at the same time, he is a cut risk, so tread carefully with him.

For my optimals I am setting my ownership ceiling at 70% for the Milly Makers, I strongly advise to not go over 90 or 100% in the Milly’s, you will just be handing your entry fee to the winners, and it’s ok to pick one or even two chalky players, just remember you must get different further down your roster and also, this is in reference to the big 10.00 and 100.00 Millionaire Maker contests.

Please know that we are coming in much earlier with our projections to give you time to adjust or make your rosters. Expect the chalkiest golfers to be 1/2 to 1% higher than listed, and feel confident that these numbers are the best in the industry.

The Open Final Ownership Projections

These final ownership figures for The Open are accurate as of 15:12 CST. Chalk may/will be slightly higher by lock.

These are my picks for the The Open

Top Tier: Jon Rahm, (I omitted Spieth after seeing owner %, he’s a great play in SE or 50/50, any cash games)

Mid Tier: Cantlay, Reed, Morikawa

Low Tier: English, Garcia, Grace, Ortiz

Out in Left Play: M. Armitage

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing the The Open Final Ownership Projections article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick, Isaiah and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon for The Open will be released in Discord later on tonight! Antonio will be releasing his BBB play and my frisky risky play will be released as well. Any late breaking steam plays or news, including weather, will be updated tonight in Discord.

Those of you who have heard Stix and Spencer’s Bettor Golf podcast know how solid their golf betting intel is, make sure you catch their show to assist with betting market and DFS considerations. last night they had a PGA pro who played in the Open with some insight on what it takes to win.

Sia and Joel have their livestream Tuesday nights at 8:00 EST and go over every price range, the top plays, value plays and sleepers. Why go anywhere else when you can hear from two experts who are closing in on $400,000 in winnings this year.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!