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The Vegas swing continues this week as 78 golfers gather at The Summit for the CJ Cup. This week we have a no-cut event that features many top players which will provide plenty of value in the lower tiers. My focus will be on virtually all the main metrics (OTT, APP, ARG and PUTT) with a particular emphasis on APP and a slight bump up to ARG. As for secondary metrics, my first look will be to BOB and Par 5 scoring. Tune in to Tuesday’s Livestream with the PGA crew for plenty more on course dynamics and the entire field of players.
Collin Morikawa (10800) – He’s a member and I think that’s a bonus this week as he apparently spends a lot of time here. His play had been questionable through the FedEx Cup playoffs but he is rounding into form. APP game is elite and everything else checks out. Be careful in tournaments as ownership is likely high.
Viktor Hovland (9900) – When his game is on he can pile up the birdies with an elite ball striking game. He has been a little erratic as of late, but I’m willing to take a chance here with another young gun. I prefer him in GPP rather than cash.
Cameron Smith (9200) – He never grades out extremely well, but always seems to find a way to get it done. PUTT can get hot and all around short game is there. The BS could be better, but he’s coming into The CJ Cup with great form.
Jason Kokrak (8500) – He’s been shaky OTT and with the short game but this is a pure upside play (GPP only) as I know he can pile up the birdies if the APP and PUTT are in sync. He’s coming off an MC but he didn’t play too poorly with a score of 4 under.
Paul Casey (8200) – Not a huge fan of rostering Casey in general but the price seems right here. His short game may hold him back but his ball striking is solid and he’ll be able to score on the Par 5’s.
Aaron Wise (7400) – Great value here as his ball striking has been very good and he has somehow managed to turn around his PUTT. Let’s hope that lasts through the weekend at The CJ Cup. Be careful in GPPs as he’s likely to be chalky.
Maverick McNealy (7300) – Another guy who is from the area and a member at this course (along with Morikawa). He’s Top 25 in almost every metric I’m looking at over the last 36 rounds and he’s 6th OTT. Last week’s MC doesn’t really worry me.
Alexander Noren (7100) – Feels like a poor man’s Cam Smith in that he never rates out particularly well in my model but always seem to find a way to get it done. His short game is elite and allows him to overcome some shortcomings with the ball striking.
Cameron Tringale (7000) – At this price I like how he rates out in Par 5 scoring and with the PUTT. His OTT game was pretty bad but that is beginning to come into form.
Keegan Bradley (6900) – A high risk option due to recent average ball striking and a bad PUTT, but I think the price is too low for a guy who has shown consistent ball striking over his career and elite ball striking last season.
Kevin Streelman (6800) – Recent history shows that Streelman is a great bounce back candidate after an MC. He also happens to rate out pretty well in my model. Not really a big time scoring option in a no-cut event but I think the price is right here.
Jhonnatan Vegas (6300) – Checks all the boxes and finds himself inside the Top 15 last 36 rounds OTT, APP, BOB Gained and SG Par 5. He’s likely to be popular and we will go over plenty of pivots in the 6500 range and below on the PGA Livestream.
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 44-13.
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