Joel Bartilotta 
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Tonight’s Thursday night match up between the 49ers (8-6) and Titans (9-5). The 49ers come in to this one riding a 2 game winning streak trying to solidify their playoff spot. They will be without Elijah Mitchell for a third straight game as was already ruled out. The AFC South leading Titans look to pad their lead tonight with a win. One of the things they have riding for them tonight is the possible return of star wideout and favorite target of Ryan Tannehill, Mr. A.J. Brown.
Let’s dig in and see if the we can find some Monkey Knight Fight games we can win.
More or Less – 3.6x Payout
Jimmy Garoppolo – 239.5 Passing Yards – More
Only the Buccaneers have given up fewer rushing yards on the year than the Tennessee Titans. The Titans own one of the best rush defenses in the league. Because of that, I expect the 49ers to have to pass more in this game. In order for them to win tonight, they’ll need to have a ton of success through the air and for Garoppolo to have one of his better games of the year. Thankfully, the Titans are nowhere near as good against QB’s as they are running backs.
They’re in the bottom 10 in terms of passing yards against. Monkey Knife Fight is giving us a goal of 239.5 yards tonight and it’s a number that Garoppolo has hit twice in the last 3 weeks. The passing game for the 49ers normally starts with George Kittle. That said, I expect Garoppolo to use his wideouts a bit more tonight as the Titans are one of the best teams in the league against tight ends.
Against wide receivers? They are one of the worst as only the Vikings have given up more yards to wide receivers. While I do still love Kittle in this game, I’m looking for Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk to be the biggest beneficiaries of the passing game tonight. I’m going with More side for Garoppolo tonight.
Ryan Tannehill – 205.5 Passing Yards – More
This is the side that is trickier in my opinion. Tannehill has not been overly sharp over the past few weeks. He’s in one of the worst stretches of his career as he’s been under 200 yards passing in 3 consecutive weeks. The common denominator in those games is that he’s been mostly without his top two targets in A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. While Jones is no longer the receiver he used to be when he was with the Falcons, he’s still an imposing force that’s very capable of catching balls.
In A.J. Brown we have someone that has back-to-back seasons of 1,000 receiving yards and if it wasn’t for injures he’d easily have a third. With both of them potentially back tonight, Tannehill will be back to having 2 of his main targets. If they are back and healthy tonight Tannehill should be able to get over the 205-yard mark that Monkey Knife Fight has given us tonight. As of writing this, they are expected to play so I’m going to side with the More. Should something happen today where neither plays, Tannehill under 200 yards for a fourth straight game seems like a no-brainer and I’d go with the Less Side.
More or Less #2 – 3.6 Payout
Jeff Wilson – 64.5 Rushing Yards – Less
With Eli Mitchell out tonight Wilson will again be the top running back for the 49ers. Last week against the 24th ranked rushing defense of the Falcons he was able to gain 110 yards rushing on 21 carries. Tonight’s a much tougher task as he’s facing one of the best rush defenses in the Titans. I highlighted it above when talking about Garoppolo that only the Buccaneers have given up fewer rushing yards than the Titans.
Although the 49ers will try to establish the run early to help with their passing game, I just don’t think they’ll have much success against a team that has given up 65 rushing yards to running backs just once over the past 5 weeks. Less side for me here.
D’Onta Foreman – 54.5 Rushing Yards – More
The Titans are expected to get some big weapons back tonight with the returns of Jones and Brown. If that does happen it actually makes me like D’Onta Foreman even more than I already do. A more spread-out offense only helps to make it a more effective offense too.
In the last 3 weeks, Foreman has eclipsed the 100-yard mark twice. While I don’t expect him to get quite up that number tonight, I do expect him to crush the 54.5 yards that Monkey Knife Fight has picked for us. I’m going with More here.
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Good luck tonight and hope you cash!
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