Adam Strangis 
NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6
We have another five-game slate tonight and this one has some very average game environments. There isn’t a Charlotte/San Antonio game tonight but there is one diamond in the rough that most of the field will flock to this evening. Let’s go over that game and then other spots to exploit in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6!
One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.
Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:
Grizzlies at Rockets
Grizzlies – Memphis played last night but is fighting for the highest seed they can get in the playoffs so I wouldn’t suspect them to sit anyone for rest. It’s a mismatch on paper but Ja Morant is at the head of the group tonight and he’s still sitting at 1.43 FPPM with a 34.7% usage rate on the season. Where he really could stand out tonight is he’s still leading the league in points scored from driving to the basket and Houston is dead last in points allowed in the paint, just as defensive rating. The price makes me a little uncomfortable but Steven Adams could flirt with 40 DK points if he got the minutes. This would check the box as a double-double spot but there is risk with him being over $6,000. The secondary targets as always are Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. and the Rockets re in the bottom 10 in 3-point frequency and field goal percentage allowed. Lastly, Brandon Clarke could be a strong value option if Adams can’t keep up with the pace here since both teams are in the top eight in pace this season. Clarke is sitting at 1.13 FPPM and if he flirts with 24 minutes, he could be in business at $4,300.
Rockets – Normally Christian Wood is the main target bt there are other players. Wood is fine at $8,000 but if Dennis Schroder can’t go again, Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green are more interesting. Green especially has been playing better as of late and when players are so young, sometimes it can take time to click in the NBA. He’s shooting better in his last five games especially at 47.1% compared to 39.8% for the season so there is a risk to playing him. Still, with the pace in this game the opportunity is certainly going to be there. Wood has a tougher spot on paper as Memphis is the best team in rebounding overall (by three rebounds per game at that) and they are 12th in points allowed in the paint as well. Alperen Sengun is always worth some exposure to in GPP as well since he can exceed 30 DK points in just 20-22 minutes. He can also land under 15 so the range of outcomes is wide for him.
Teams To Monitor
Jazz – With Mike Conley already being ruled out, Donovan Mitchell sees his usage and FPPM rise and is a prime target in his range. Outside of the $10,000 Ange, Mitchell may well be my favorite of the slate against the show-handed Thunder. I’ll be interested to see if Jordan Clarkson slides into the starting lineup because this used to be a Joe Ingles spot, but he’s now in Portland.
Thunder – They are still in the same situation they have been all week so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tre Mann, and Alexsej Pokusevski are all still ver viable options. Isaiah Roby has been a monster during the week but facing Rudy Gobert is not ideal and the $5,400 salary could backfire.
Raptors – The status of Fred VanVleet and Malachi Flynn will dictate how interested we are in the Raptors. The Cleveland defense is tough (fourth in defensive rating) but if they’re short once again, Scottie Barnes, Pascal Saikam, and Gary Trent would all be looking at 40 minutes.
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