David Stowe 
Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 17 Vikings at Packers 1.2.
If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going. If you go all-in on a showdown and tilt because it didn’t work out, it is on you.
Vegas Script: Total: 42, Packers: -12
With no Kirk Cousins for Minnesota, this game is likely to get out of hand in a hurry. I know we all joke (and rightfully so) about how bad he is in primetime games but to have (checks depth chart) Sean Mannion at the helm is a flat-out disaster and it reduces our range of possible outcomes by a wide margin and therefore our player pool. I am going nowhere near any of the Vikings sans Jefferson and Dalvin Cook. If they would allow it I would consider fading Vikings completely but that’s a different conversation altogether.
WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 17 Vikings at Packers 1.2 Captains:
Chalk: Davante Adams, $16,500: (18-20%)
Davante owns the Vikings, full stop. Just a month ago he turned 7 receptions into 115 yards and two touchdowns. In two games last year he had 209 yards and five tuddys. Rinse, repeat. So long as Aaron Rodgers is on the field Davante will play well against the Vikings. The only concern you should have is whether or not the Vikings can do anything offensively that will keep Green Bay throwing the ball.
Pivot: Aaron Jones, $13,500 : (9-11%)
Given the likely game script that we will be looking at tonight I think it is fair game to look at both Green Bay backs as core plays and while Jones is still dealing with his knee issue he should be pretty close to 100% so I think his volume will be back to normal in tonight’s contest and the Vikings are a sieve on the ground defensively on the best of days. Now, we are looking at a scenario where the Vikings’ defense will be exhausted due to not getting a breath while the offense goes on a long drive. That sort of things accumulates over a full football game so I think both backs could score at least once on the ground and will almost certainly break of some huge gains.
Contrarian #1: AJ Dillon, $7,800 : (7-9%)
While Jones is perfectly fine as a captain play I will have a little more Dillon personally. I already talked about how exhausted the Vikings defense will likely be. Now we are adding in frigid weather and a man who hits like a sledgehammer when he carries the ball. When the 3rd quarter rolls around Minnesota will not want to get in front of Dillon to tackle him and he could break off some huge chink plays in the tail end of this contest.
Contrarian #2: Aaron Rodgers $16,800: (10-12%)
I will not go crazy with A-rod tonight but I will not completely fade him as captain. We saw what happened last week when the Cowboys and Dak Prescott just kept their foot on the gas while embarrassing Washington leading to Dak’s best fantasy outing of the year. I could see the Packers do the same thing in a divisional matchup, at home, in what may be the last time Rodgers will suit up against the Vikings. This might be one of those games where due to short field situations, Rodgers only completes 24 passes for 208 yards but he throws 5 TD’s in the process.
Contrarian #3: Justin Jefferson, $16,200 : (11-13%)
At his price, with a complete unknown at quarterback, in a road game, in 10-degree weather I do not think Jefferson ends up anywhere near the 11% captain ownership that we are currently seeing. I think he settles into the 6-8% range which will lead me to have a share or two even though I am not so sure that even a man as talented as him can have a ceiling game with so many things stacked against him.
WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 17 Vikings at Packers 1.2 Flex plays:
- Aaron Rodgers
- Davante Adams
- Justin Jefferson
- Dalvin Cook
- AJ Dillon
- Aaron Jones
- K.J. Osborn
- Packers
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling
- Tyler Conklin
- Sean Mannion
- Alexander Mattison
- Allen Lazard
- Mason Crosby
- Greg Joseph
- Josiah Deguara
- Vikings
- Chris Herndon
- Dede Westbrook
- Kene Nwangwu
- Equanimeous St. Brown
- Marcedes Lewis
- C.J. Ham
- Wayne Gallman Jr.
Kickers and defenses:
Green Bay’s defense is firmly in play as a flex and even as a captain to a much smaller extent since I see them being around 10% rostered in captain tonight as the “contrarian” play that everyone flocks to in order to get different. If you do not want to spend much money on the Vikings this evening you could absolutely use kicker Greg Joseph and simply stack your Packers and call it a night as well.
It is time folks and I hope WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Week 17 Vikings at Packers 1.2 helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
