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NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/14

Another crazy week in the NBA is coming to an end, but not before some heavy matchups on a Friday night before the NFL Playoffs kick off on Saturday. It’s Fajita Friday’s edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Orlando Magic @ Charlotte Hornets

There is a lot to love in the first game of tonight’s NBA slate. With the Orlando Magic missing Wendell Carter Jr. and Mo Bamba being questionable to play after missing Wednesday’s game, there could be a possible value play in Robin Lopez versus the league’s worst defensive front court. Otherwise, all of Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Terrence Ross, and Chuma Okeke make for intriguing targets in one of the best game environments on the slate, but the return of Jalen Suggs does complicate things a tad, so we’ll wait for some news throughout the day before confirming. On the flip side of the ball, with Kelly Oubre Jr. still in health and safety protocols, the Hornets will likely continue running a tight rotation of Mason Plumlee, Miles Bridges, Gordon Hayward, Terry Rozier, and LaMelo Ball, with Cody Martin and PJ Washington being the first two guys off the bench. We’d ideally need one to be ruled out before tip, but should all the Hornets’ primary options be active, we can consider Terry Rozier in tournaments, who is reasonably priced despite scoring 17 or more points in his last five, where he’s sported a 22.3% usage rate while posting a 23.6/4.6/4.2 scoring line on 53.7% shooting, including 48.8% from behind the arc.

Golden State Warriors

While the Warriors were in tough yesterday on the road versus Milwaukee, things won’t get any easier tonight on the second half of back-to-back in a matchup versus the Bulls. Nonetheless, there will be some value to be had from this rotation, as both Klay Thompson (rest) and Gary Payton II (back injury) have already been ruled out; look for Steph Curry to return to form in an easier matchup, while Jordan Poole will likely slot back into the starting 2-guard spot, in addition to extra minutes for Otto Porter Jr.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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