brucegray19722@gmail.com 
Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.
DraftKings Players ($10,000+)
Daniel Berger ($10,400) –This week, there is a fine line between trying to get contrarian and still taking the choices you want. I feel like DraftKings did an excellent job pricing all the golfers, and ownership continues to flock to the same areas for users. And we some of those points come to fruition when we dive into my upside model, which places every $10,000 golfer inside the top-six for the Honda Classic. There is no point in me taking a bold stance against anyone near the top. I believe you could go any route and still put together a perfectly acceptable build, but I am going to try and jump the gun on Daniel Berger and hope that his back is healthy and ready to fire at PGA National.
Other Consideration – I am not going to talk anyone out of whoever they like for the week.
$9,000 Range
Billy Horschel ($9,600) – Unfortunately, YOUUUUUUU (yes, you reading this article right now) changed some of my plans during the PGA DraftCast show that we did with Jason Sobel when you guys decided to take both of my favorite targets in this $9,000 range. From a roster construction standpoint, I am proud of the group because the selections are sharp, but it did cause a massive deviation to take place for me that I was hoping to avoid. Horschel is the number one golfer in this field at short Par 70 tracks and also grades fourth for me from a safety perspective.
Shane Lowry ($9,400) – Shane Lowry ranks 11th in my recalculated tee-to-green metric to mimic PGA National and is also fourth in strokes gained approach over his past 24 rounds. Maybe you can try to pick a bone about his bunker play historically, but I do believe the Irishman is one of the safer targets on the slate.
Other Targets: Alex Noren ($9,300), Tommy Fleetwood ($9,900) – I would rather get up to Daniel Berger or down to Billy Horschel and Shane Lowry, but I wouldn’t be excluding the two in MME builds.
$8,000 Range
Brian Harman ($8,700) – Sharp money has been pouring in all week on Brian Harman, and it is easy to understand why when you look at his profile. Harman ranks inside the top-20 on fast Bermuda, difficult courses, wind, bogey avoidance and sand save percentage, and I thought was the top target on the board that went undrafted.
Jhonattan Vegas ($8,500) – There are some issues Jhonattan Vegas possesses both ATG and out of bunkers, but I love the ball-striking upside. Vegas has averaged 4.08 strokes tee-to-green over his past 13 starts. I took him first overall in the draft because of the safety that I believe he provides, but I also have an outright ticket on him because the ball-striking can shine at PGA National.
Aaron Wise ($8,400) – I’d be lying if I said I didn’t have my reservations, but Aaron Wise has been a coastal specialist throughout his career, and the improvement with his flat stick might be enough for him to reach the next level at PGA National. I am going to take the positives that Wise gained 2.8 shots ball-striking at the Genesis and hope he can continue that improved form at a venue he has averaged 5.46 shots tee-to-green in his career.
Other Thoughts: Gary Woodland ($8,200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,000) – I will consider Woodland/ Bezuidenhout and include both into my player pool.
$7,000 Range
I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.
Ryan Palmer ($7,900) – The takeaway from everyone will be that Ryan Palmer has put more balls in the water during the ‘Bear Trap’ than any other golfer, but two top-17 finishes in his past two trips makes this more than a doom-and-gloom situation.
C.T. Pan ($7,700) – I don’t think I have ever backed C.T. Pan before in any market, but he was one of my most prominent climbers when I condensed the data down to certain areas. Top-15 in weighted tee-to-green. A third-place finish at this venue in 2021 and a top-10 in his last start at the Genesis.
Rickie Fowler ($7,600) -There is a ton of volatility around Rickie Fowler, but the good portions of his portfolio make him worth a shot in GPP contests. Fowler has come inside the top-two at PGA National twice since 2017, and he ranks third in my reweighted tee-to-green data.
Chris Kirk ($7,500) – I love where Chris Kirk’s game has been trending over the past few starts. The American has gained tee-to-green in his last eight, and he has also averaged +1.04 around the green and +1.56 off the tee. Kirk is a positive putter on Bermuda and always excels on these bogey avoidance-type tracks. The 36-year-old is second in my recalculated tee-to-green category that is specific for PGA National, and he is one of only five players to grade inside the top-33 in all categories I looked at for the week — Daniel Berger, Brooks Koepka, Brian Harman and Sungjae Im are the other four.
Michael Thompson ($7,500) – Three top-24 finishes at this course for Michael Thompson in his last four attempts. The recent form provides some trepidation, but Thompson is a golfer that outperforms his price tag quite often.
Sepp Straka ($7,400) – The weighted proximity numbers are great, and the course history has been solid with back-to-back top-33 finishes.
Additional Thoughts: K.H. Lee ($7,700), Brendon Todd ($7,500), Lucas Glover ($7,400), Sam Ryder ($7,200), Stewart Cink ($7,100)
$6,000 Range
Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Mark Hubbard ($6,900), Ryan Armour ($6,600), Satoshi Kodaira ($6,600), Luke Donald ($6,400).
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