Sia 
The PGA Tour travels to Orlando this week for another installment of the Florida Swing. This course certainly caters to bombers and long iron players, but don’t be fooled, all kinds of styles have fared well here over the years and even the shorter players can get it done if they are precise with their ball striking. This week my focus is on the usual suspects including a heavy emphasis on OTT and APP, but I will also focus on driving accuracy, Par 5 scoring, Prox 200+ and whatever else @TeeOffSports tells me to focus on during our PGA Draftcast at 8:00 Tuesday night. Make sure you tune into that show, read all of our articles and get into our Discord. The family has been red-hot and we plan to keep it rolling. Now let’s get to the the picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
Rory McIlroy (11400) – Everyone in this range is a great option and I go back and forth between Rory and Rahm as the best option, but Rahm has never played here and Rory’s history is too good to overlook. Rory’s metrics aren’t great considering his price, particularly on APP, but he just seems to be incredibly comfortable here.
Hideki Matsuyama (10300) – Often overlooked and always underappreciated, Deki could be an interesting pivot off of the two big names at the top. His finishing positions haven’t been outstanding, but that’s mostly due to some very bad putting and his putter has started to improve, ever so slightly. Could be a good mix for a big win at slightly lower ownership than the big boys up top.
Marc Leishman (9100) – Not inlove with this range as it turns out, but there are plenty of names to consider including Sungjae, Zal and Fitz. My favorite option is the lower priced and likely lower owned Marc Leishman. His metrics over the last couple of months have been very good and his history is great as well.
Talor Gooch (8600) – A little scary to roster a guy who lost almost 9 strokes his last time out at The Genesis,, but I prefer to chalk that up to a random event as his play prior to the Genesis was elite (other than a questionable putter). I expect him to put it in play OTT and to comfortably hit greens on APP. A tourney play only this week for me.
Jason Kokrak (8400) – Not rating out particularly well in my model, but I still think there is value here at this price. Kokrak has plenty of upside (along with some MC equity) and I like his history here and recent history. He’s got an 8th, 18th and 10th over his last three efforts at The Arnold Palmer.
Keith Mitchell (8100) – He could get himself into trouble if he doesn’t find enough fairways as the rough here will be penal, but I’m playing the value and upside here, and he’s proven to have both with finishing positions of 43rd, 5th and 6th over his last three. The recent history is very good as well.
Maverick McNealy (7800) – Feels like he’s fallen off people’s radar lately in spite of some great finishes, including a Top 10 at The Genesis. His history at the Arnold Palmer isn’t great, but he feels like a much better golfer now than he was the last couple of years. He’s Top 10 over the last 24 rounds in SG Par 5 and Prox 200+ and he’s inside the Top 50 OTT, APP and ARG. He’s been a great putter lately as well.
Cameron Young (7500) – There is plenty to like right in this precise mid-7k range including Seamus Power, EVR and Chris Kirk, but I’ve decided, for now, to tail the upside of Cameron Young who must have missed the memo that you’re not supposed to dominate the tour as a relative unknown. He’s been elite OTT lately and reasonably consistent on APP. The ARG is a problem spot but when he loses there it’s typically minimal. I don’t mind being late on Young.
Tom Hoge (7300) – Price is simply too low here as Hoge has gained BS in 11 of the last 12 tournaments and we know the PUTT can get hot. He’s proven he has upside and I think he’s deserving of being priced in the upper 7k range. I think there is value in rostering Sepp Straka at 7300 as well.
Lee Hodges (6600) – A potential riser who has shown he can play with the big boys. His BS has been great as of late and the only weak spot appears to be the PUTT. If you need to dip down into this range, I like Hodges, Svensson and Rai as of now.
Secret Weapon – 49-17. See you in Discord.
Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our PGA Draftcast LIVE show tomorrow night and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.
