The Players Championship Final Ownership Projections

Want to win The Milly Maker this week ? Come on inside. You know you want to.

The Course and courses horses for The Players Championship Final Ownership projections

Welcome everyone to The Players Championship Final Ownership Projections. This week we are in Florida at TPC Sawgrass, the home of the Players and the infamous island green on 17, where even songs have been written about it, most likely the blues. This field is stacked, the deepest this year and the most top fifty players in quite some time. There are 17 holes with water in play, you could say it resembles the Honda with all the water, only the Honda greens averaged 7500 feet while Sawgrass greens come in at a miniscule 5500 feet. The rough is half as long as it was last week but it doesn’t need to be with water surrounding the course. Distance, accuracy, and especially approach along with a knack around the greens will help.

Speaking of last week, the top pick in my article, Mr. Scheffler, won the Arnold Palmer, All my picks made the cut and Danny Willett, the frisky biscuit, brought solid value at 6400 salary. He was listed in Discord where every Wednesday night you will find my risk play, along with Sia’s secret weapon play, which is 49-18 and has the harshest rules to succeed, yet he continues to amaze week after week. The course that Arnie built, with the wind built in as well, was nothing short of brutal, it was more of a survival mode than a test of golf skills, and the competition committee made no bones about why Arnie bought Bay Hill. Expect a major tourney to be announced there soon.

One of the players I’m looking at this week is Sergio Garcia, he has never missed a cut, he’s 18 for 18 at Sawgrass and depending on ownership, will be in 20-30% of my lineups. Si Woo Kim also has a solid record here. Conners, Poston and Ancer have each played here twice and all have made the cut both times as well as finishing 25th or better in each tourney. Of the three I favor Ancer, he plays well on Pete Dye courses.

Our fade this week is going to be Cameron Young, its risky because he is an elite ball striker, when they asked Sergio how he has made every cut, he said, “you will be forced into shots you may not want to make, you just have to make sure to hit it where it causes the least damage.” Cam Young doesn’t know where not to hit it at Sawgrass.

With so much talent on this course at the same time you will have to be different in your selections, picking the heavy chalk means you tie 80,000 other entries. The average ownership for winning the Milly used to be 55- 60 %. it is now 78 -80% due to the popularity and explosion of DFS golf. The last seven Milly Maker winners have come in at a 79% ownership average. If you have 110 % of ownership in your lineup you are pretty much dead in the water, that doesn’t mean taking six players in the 6K range, but having two or possibly three that aren’t pure chalk will diversify your lineups to give you a shot. You do not have to be extremely different, just a little bit will do.

Lets look at the numbers to give you a heads up, and see where the chalk is…and isn’t.

These projections are accurate as of 17:52 CST, chalk will be higher by lock in the upper tiers.

My picks for The Players Championship

Top Tier: Scheffler

Mid Tier: Lowry

Low Tier: Ancer

Out in Left Play: Wise

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Garcia

FR Leader: Munoz (risky)

GAMBLERS: You have to check out the Bettor Golf Podcast with co hosts Stix and Spencer, (the writer of the year) which is available every week on Tuesdays, it’s on Anchor on Spotify. They have been targeting golfers that are making the top 40 thru top 10 and includes first round leaders and outright winners. If you aren’t listening, you are losing. Period. C’mon, get on board that money train !

Last nights DRAFTCAST featured John aka The PGA Tout. It is well known that John’s first preview and Sia’s initial look on Mondays are the most comprehensive in the industry and a must for DFS and betting markets on players. Last week, for the second week in a row, the audience, under Sia’s guidance, won and will now go for the three peat. Trying to stop the crowd will be Spencer, who did win two in a row and then had a second place, which would be the “Tiger Slam”. Joel went with pure ball strikers and had a defensive mind set as well, check in Discord and Twitter to follow the progress of who will win. For the fastest draft with the most fun and definite audience participation, check out the DRAFTCAST show on Tuesdays at 8 EST. There was some light hearted banter that the winner would win a trip to Augusta. It did not specify Augusta National, just a trip to Augusta. You could probably have a Uber driver take you around the block a few times and then you could set yourself up as a tour guide for those that did have tickets, or you could rent yourself out as a security guard for all the impromptu parking lots that spring up. You could also be a sign spinner for anyone, you know, just like the sign says….

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!