Tonight, we have one of the largest slates of the week. It will be important to disregard ownership and instead hone in on a few spots which are highlighted below.
3/24 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
Tampa Bay Lightning (-110) at Boston Bruins (-110) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Dallas Stars (+160) at Carolina Hurricanes (-185) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Detroit Red Wings (+185) at New York Islanders (-230) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Florida Panthers (-245) at Montreal Canadiens (+205) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Philadelphia Flyers (+220) at St. Louis Blues (-275) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Vancouver Canucks (+180) at Minnesota Wild (-225) – 6 Projected Goal Total
San Jose Sharks (+205) at Edmonton Oilers (-255) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Ottawa Senators (+225) at Winnipeg Jets (-285) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Nashville Predators (-110) at Vegas Golden Knights (-110) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Chicago Blackhawks (+155) at Los Angeles Kings (-190) – 6 Projected Goal Total
3/24 NHL Favorite Lines Per Dollar
Top Line – Edmonton One “Evander Kane ($6,200), Connor McDavid ($9,000), Kailer Yamamoto ($4,100)“
Making a consecutive return to the top of the Hot Shot rankings is Edmonton One. A lot of the other bigger money line favorites either have a lot more disbursement among their lines or are in lower total games. Point per dollar they continue to offer us a solid return and all three skaters share correlation on the top power-play unit. Not surprisingly, they remain among the top lines in the NHL in terms of goals scored over their last ten games.
They have been hot and have a juicy matchup hosting the Sharks as -255 favorites. This is a ten-game slate so within that threshold they will be chalky but with ownership dispersed enough, not that chalky.
Secondary Line – Winnipeg One “Blake Wheeler ($5,700), Nikolaj Ehlers ($6,300), Mark Scheifele ($6,300)”
As you can see from the graphic above, the core of this line has been fairly hot as well and should be higher up on that list, tying Calgary One for 2nd in the NHL in SATF which includes total shot periods, with 121 across that span. Much like the Oilers, the Jets are a huge favorite against a hapless team, coming in as even shorter favorites at -285 against the Ottawa Senators. Making things even better, it is Nikolaj Ehlers on this line and not Paul Statsny, who I have been routinely fading for this last decade or so. Ehlers does not share power play correlation with the other two skaters on the top power-play line, but I guess you can’t have everything. With gas can goalie Anton Forsberg projected to start for Ottawa as of the time of writing and a six total “only one 6.5 on this slate”, Winnipeg One makes sense for a secondary line.
3/24 NHL Honorable Mention: Any of three Minnesota Wild lines
It’s rare I write up all three of a team’s lines but all three have been putting up their fill of statistics. Here I have everything sorted over the last ten games specifically for SATF.
In terms of SATF, all three primary Wild lines are in the top twenty in the NHL, wow! Minnesota is another one of the big home favorites at -225, facing the Canucks who come in on the 2nd half of a back-to-back. My suggestion would be to use the line that makes the most sense in terms of your remaining salary. If I were making 5 to 10 lines I’d get some exposure to all three.
Top Defender
Tyson Barrie – Edmonton Oilers – $4,600 – It would be easy to just go back to Roman Josi here. However, now over $9,000 he basically dictates the rest of your build. I think using him makes more sense on a smaller slate as opposed to a big Thursday slate. So, we can roll with Barrie who enjoys the same juicy matchup as Edmonton One mentioned above. He has slowed his roll over his last two games but previously had four straight double-digit DraftKings point games.
Top Goalie
Juuse Saros – Nashville Predators – $7,800 – There is not much going on at all in the cheap range tonight so the lowest I would look is at Juuse Saros. He has not had quite the same form overall since the all-star break but has been a bit better recently. Vegas has not had the season they wished for but here in a pick-em game, they should be able to put some shots on net, hopefully, lots of bad ones!
3/24 NHL Best Bet
Minnesota Wild 60 Minute Moneyline (-135) DraftKings – As noted above, this is a team with three full lines clicking right now and they will be rested as opposed to the Canucks. Vancouver might have had a thrill on night one of the back-to-back beating the Avalanche. However, the only thrill tonight will be Kirill the Thrill!
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