Dave Gloeckner 
We turned a 6-2 day at the Sweet Spot yesterday as the K’s were flowing. Those hits turned a 3.8 unit profit and moved our totals to 38-14 and +21.1 units on the month.
It is a light day for DFS today and we broke down the card on WinDaily YouTube channel last night (click video below). So I’ll just post my favorite bets and props for today.
There are many tools available, but I hope you’re using the WinDaily Projection Model as that has been very helpful in rostering key players each night.
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NOTE: MLB 2022 Season Props/Bets are +75.9 units
MLB PROP BETS
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES over 1.5 runs F5 (-110 DK):
This prop is 7-3 in Pablo Lopez’s last 10 starts. He’s only allowed less than 2 ER’s in 2 of his last 10 starts.
BRYCE HARPER over 0.5 RBI’s (+160 DK):
Harper is starting to heat up and we all want to get in on that ride sooner than later. He has 4 RBI’s and 2 home runs in his last 4 games. And in his career, he is batting 0.357 with 3 RBI’s off Pablo Lopez.
CARLOS CARRASCO over 5.5 K’s (-120 DK):
For the record, this is one K higher than I like. But Carrasco has gone over 5.5 K’s in 10 of his past 21 starts. Bring in the 2nd highest K rate team in the league and our chances go up exponentially that he surpasses this number.
JAMES KAPRIELIAN over 1.5 BB’s (-160 DK):
The A’s pitcher has offered at least one free pass in 18 of 20 starts this season. He has gone over 1.5 BB’s in 14 of 20 starts (70%). Taking a bet at -160 odds implies it will win 61% of the time. So we have a +9% EV on this bet without even factoring in the Astros walk rate which is good for 8th best in the MLB.
ST LOUIS CARDINALS over 4.5 runs (-135 DK):
The Cardinals have 74 runs in 14 games against the Reds this year which is good for 5.2 runs per game. Reds starter Chase Anderson has a 9.00 ERA in 4 appearances this year.
Now that you finished reading the MLB Sweet Spot article make sure to check out MLB Lineup Optimizer and our YouTube Livestream that breaks down the entire slate of games and gives you the info to nail MLB Prop Bets and DFS Plays.
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