Thursday is another odd slate of games, but at least most are in the evening! There are a few spots to attack, and a couple arms that won’t be exciting to roster, but could pay big dividends! Let’s get to it!
MLB DFS Aces
Matt Strahm vs Colorado Rockies
Strahm is the only massive favorite on this slate, and for good reason. The Phillies are facing Ryan Feltner and the weak Rockies offense OUTSIDE of Coors. They haven’t been much better in the friendly confines either.
For the season, Colorado is the worst hitting team in MLB in terms of WAR. They have a 76 wRC+ as a TEAM, strike out over 24% of the time, and walk just 7.1%.
Strahm is not a dominant pitcher by any stretch, but he will be uber chalk tonight, and he makes a lot of sense. He is a -235 favorite.
Kodai Senga vs San Fransisco Giants
Senga has fared well in his short time in MLB…aside from his last outing against Oakland. He gave up a pair of homers and allowed 11 baserunners (7 hits, 4 BB).
Overall though, he has struck out 21 in 18 frames, and this is a Giants offense that has been very inconsistent. They are third in MLB with 28 homers, so keeping the bases clear will be essential for Senga to find success. Reliable arms are tough to find tonight, but i like his upside.
Sean Manaea vs New York Mets
Listen, this is one that I am not overly excited about, but I also like Manaea more than most. Navigating a Mets lineup that has some scary bats in it is a tall task. That said, the Mets are 25th in team BA, 22nd in Slugging, and just 16 in OPS. This team has been getting on base a lot, but not doing much with it.
Manaea has been solid in his last two outings (9.1 IP, 12/2 K/BB, 7 H, 3 ER). He has the upside to make a difference tonight…and the rest of the games have totals of 10+.
MLB DFS Stacks
All Wrigley, All Night
If the weather holds up rain-wise, we are in for a fun one in the Windy City. Winds are blowing out close to 20 MPH, and both pitchers are hittable.
Take your pick with power bats once lineups are out, but I will be heavy on the Dodgers. Freeman, Outman, Betts, even the corpse of JD Martinez. Grabbing pieces of both sides looks like a smart investment here.
The total currently sits at or around 11 runs. Giddy up.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Ryan Feltner
The Phillies overall have been an offensive disappointment thus far in 2023. This is a perfect ”get-right” spot against Feltner.
He has allowed a ridiculous 26 baserunners in just 13.1 IP in 2023.
Kyle Schwarber is my favorite of the bunch. Nick Castellanos has been poor overall, and his batted ball numbers don’t suggest that will change any time soon.
Realmuto, Turner, and Marsh are next in line for me. Fire it up!
MLB DFS Summary
Thursday is a small slate, but should be a fun one. I will see you at the top of the leaderboards!
Find the team in the Discord and let’s chat about some plays!
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Check me out on Twitter @BigItaly42 and let me know who you are playing tonight! Always around to talk some MLB!