Joel Bartilotta 
Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s Monday Funday and we have a nice-sized 8-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. We have some clear mismatches on the mound and we also have some glaring spots for offense. It’s looking like a fun evening of MLB DFS.
Let’s dig and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Zac Gallen vs. Miami Marlins
The biggest mismatch of the day today will belong to Zac Gallen vs. the Miami Marlins. Gallen has been a rockstar this season. Over the last month, Gallen is sporting a nearly 42% k rate and when he’s not striking batters out, he’s inducing ground balls with a 50% ground ball rate. Hitters have just a 68% contact rate vs. him as well.
It’s still early, but Gallen is making a case for his first Cy Young award this season. He’ll surely be able to breeze through a Marlins lineup that has a 24% strikeout rate vs. righties. The Dbacks are huge favorites tonight and rightfully so. Look for Gallen to have a monster night tonight.
Dylan Cease vs. Kansas City Royals
To say the 2023 season has been a huge disappointment for Dylan Cease would be quite an understatement. If we look at some of his metrics, all isn’t too bad and the old Dylan Cease is still somewhere in there. He’s been extremely unlucky as his BABIP against over the last month is a massive .375. That kind of number can’t stay consistent and we’ll see some positive regression coming his way soon.
There’s no better opponent for that to come against than the Kansas City Royals. Yes, the Royals just put up a whole bunch of runs but they were also playing against the Oakland Athletics. They struggle against good pitching and they’ll face good pitching tonight. Look for the old Dylan Cease to appear tonight.
Other arms that I have interest I tonight will be Nestor Cortes vs. the A’s, Hunter Brown vs. the Angels, and Marcus Stroman vs. St. Louis (weather is not conducive to hitting tonight in Chi-town).
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
New York Yankees vs. JP Sears
With it being a day ending in Y, we’re going to go ahead and attack the Oakland A’s and whoever they throw out on the mound. Now yesterday was a little bit different as the A’s threw out a competent start in Mason Miller, but once he left the A’s bullpen proceeded to give away 3 runs pretty quickly. Sears is coming off a start that saw him shutout the Mariners for 6 innings, with the bullpen proceeding to give up 7 runs in the final 3.
Notice the trend? No matter who they throw out, good or bad, the bullpen is awful and runs will be scored. The one area of concern here is that the Yankees lineup has some holes. They don’t have Judge (he should be back tomorrow) or Stanton. I just don’t care here as the A’s are bad.
I’m starting off my Harrison Bader. Although Bader has only been back for 5 games, he’s made his presence felt immediately. Over the weekend he was on fire, going 5 for 7 with 4 RBI and even a homer yesterday. He fell a double shy of the cycle yesterday. He’s still very cheap at $3.5k and in an absolute dream matchup today.
Other than Bader, I’ll look to guys like DJ LeMahieu, Gleyber Torres, and Anthony Volpe. I preach this time and again, don’t leave Anthony Rizzo of your stacks when facing lefties. He has a .406 wOBA vs. them this year and that’s been somewhat consistent throughout his career.
Chicago Cubs vs. Miles Mikolas
I wish the weather was a little more conducive to hitting tonight (wind blowing left to right), but what a spot for the Cubbies tonight. Mikolas just hasn’t been good. Other than 1 start vs. the Giants, he’s been getting rocked. Over his last 28 innings of work, Mikolas has given up 9 barrels and 6 bombs. His hard-hit rate against is over 36%. Just not good numbers. Lefties are going to be important here as they’ve been crushing Mikolas. They have a .239 ISO and a 51% hard-hit rate.
You know what that means, enter Cody Bellinger. The rebound that Bellinger has been having this season has been fun to watch. While he didn’t homer this past week, he did go 9 for 29 with 6 runs scored. He’s been a huge part of this offense and one of the better off-season signings for any team.
Other guys I’ll look to here will be Ian Happ to get that lefty bat, and then Trey Mancini and Nico Hoerner. Rookie Matt Mervis is a solid value at just $2.2k. Can he get his first homer tonight off a pitcher getting walloped by lefties?
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Diamondbacks vs. Braxton Garrett, Giants vs. Jake Irvin, and Mariners vs. Jon Gray.
MLB DFS Summary
This should be a fun slate. We have a decent number of options both on the mound and at bat. With the weather being warmer today, look for the ball to fly out of the bandbox we like to call Yankee Stadium.
Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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