Joel Bartilotta 
Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s Wednesday and that means we have a split MLB DFS slate, with a 5-game early slate and an 8-game main slate. This article will be solely focused on the main slate tonight. This slate brings us not much in the way of pitching as we have just a few middle-tier pitchers throwing tonight and then just a bunch of bad arms. What it does bring us is plenty of options for stacks.
Let’s dig and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Kodai Senga vs. Chicago Cubs
Kodai Senga is coming off by far his best outing in the big leagues. In his last outing vs. the Rays, he was masterful, throwing 6 innings of 1 run ball and striking out a career-high 12 batters. He’ll look to build on that outing tonight vs. the Cubs. The Cubs are no walk in the park, as evidenced by their drubbing of Tylor Megill last night.
That said, I really like the spot for the Senga tonight as the Cubs are a team that can be beat. He also has some K upside tonight as the projected lineup for the Cubs has a strikeout rate of nearly 26% vs. righties. He doesn’t come without risk, but I’ll be rocking Senga tonight as my SP1.
Bryce Miller vs. Oakland Athletics
The pitcher with the best matchup tonight on paper goes to Bryce Miller of the Seattle Mariners. The A’s have been extremely poor against righties this season. As a team, they have a 26% K rate and an OPS under .650. They are bad, very bad. Although I just focused on how bad the A’s are, it shouldn’t take away from the fact that Miller has been really good.
Through his first 4 big league starts, Miller has pitched to a 1.42 ERA, an xFIP of 3.8, and a 25% K rate. The best number for him though has been his WHIP. His WHIP this season is a staggering .51. He’s done an amazing job of keeping runners off the bases and if he can continue with that tonight, he should be able to walk through a bad A’s team.
Other pitchers I’ll have interest in tonight will be James Paxton vs. the Angels and Sandy Alcantara vs. the Rockies.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Seattle Mariners vs. Ken Waldichuk
The Mariners were a huge bust last night, scoring just 3 runs vs. the 40-loss Oakland A’s. Luis Medina has been one of the better pitchers of the year and it’s understandable that they didn’t put up a mammoth number last night. That all changes today as Ken Waldichuk has been one of their worst pitchers of the year. He’s started 9 games so far this season and has allowed less than 3 ER just once.
Over the last month, he’s allowed 6 homers and 11 barrels in 26 innings of work. Most importantly though his WHIP over that stretch is pushing 2 at 1.85. He allows a ton of baserunners and if the Mariners can be patient, they can have a field day against Waldichuk. I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits as both sides of the plate have a wOBA over .400 against him. That said, lefties have shown way more power against him with a .407 ISO.
I’m starting my Mariners stack tonight off with Jarred Kelenic. The kid has been a beast vs. lefties this season. All of his metrics this season have been better vs. lefties. His average is more than 70 points, his slugging 221 points, and his OPS is 1.099 vs. them. The past 2 seasons’ struggles seem to be a thing of the past and his top-prospect ability is finally showing.
I’ll look to also include Julio Rodriguez, Eugenio Suarez, and Cal Raleigh in this stack. Teoscar Hernandez is also in play but he’s been mostly a bust this season and very well could net you a big fat 0 today.
Kansas City Royals vs. Matthew Boyd
The 2023 version of Matthew Boyd has not been good. On the year Boyd has pitched to a 6.21 ERA and that’s ballooned to over 7 over the last month. Over his last 23 innings of work, Boyd has given up 5 homers and 6 barrels. It’s been the flyballs that have been killing him as his flyball rate over the last month is well over 50%.
It’s tough to succeed when the ball is in the air that much. With Boyd, we’ll want to focus on the righties. He’s significantly worse against them. Righties have a nearly .200 ISO vs. him this season and a wOBA over .350. All 6 of the homers he’s allowed this season have been to righties.
Knowing how bad Boyd has been against righties, we’ll start this stack off with our good friend Salvador Perez and his teammate Bobby Witt. Witt has been great vs. lefties this season. His ISO is up to .300 and his wOBA is at .341. He’s in line for a nice night tonight. With Perez, we have someone who has historically done really well vs. lefties. The power numbers are a bit down for him vs. lefties this season but he still has a respectable .154 ISO vs. them. Other bats I like here tonight will be Maikel Garcia, Edward Oliveras, and Matt Duffy. All 3 have decent numbers vs. southpaws.
Other stacks to look at tonight will be the Nationals vs. Ryan Weathers, Padres vs. Trevor Williams, and Baltimore Orioles vs. Nestor Cortes. Cortes is not the same pitcher we saw in 2022 and should struggle against a very good Orioles lineup tonight.
MLB DFS Summary
This slate is packed with stacks that should do well. Pitching is suspect but I do really like both Senga and Miller tonight to have solid outings.
Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
