Adam Strangis NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/16
With the NFL playoffs in full swing on Sunday, the NBA countered with just three games so this is not a slate to play cash games. Ghost and I are going with the roundtable approach for the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/16 to help find the green screens tonight!
One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.
Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:
Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”
Ghost: I’ll be taking a balanced approach with one stud at the top of the pricing grid, with most of my exposure being in the Sacramento/Houston game.
Adam: I’m planning on going right back to the well as far as stacking up the Houston Rockets and Sacramento Kings, at least as much as we can. No player is more than $8,100 on DraftKings and we’ll have a couple of value pieces along the way to fit players. It’s fairly easy to fit at least 4-5 players from this game.
Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”
Ghost: One of De’Aaron Fox or Tyrese Haliburton paired with Christian Wood.
Adam: The duo of De’Aaron Fox and Christian Wood. While Nikola Jokic is on the slate, the game stack from Sacramento is just way too appealing and these players can match what Jokic puts out on a point per dollar basis.
Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”
Ghost: Karl-Anthony Towns just doesn’t carry a lot of intrigue for me in this game, and while he can certainly exploit a Golden State defense that will be without Draymond Green, he simply does not carry the same upside as Donovan Mitchell for far less salary, or Nikola Jokic at the top of the pricing grid.
Adam: While Nikola Jokic is on the slate, the game stack from Sacramento is just way too appealing and some players can match what Jokic puts out on a point per dollar basis. I’m never going to say that you can’t play him, but the Fox/Wood combo costs $16,100 and can score around 100 DraftKings points with potential for 100+. If Jokic has a normal game of 60-65 DraftKings points, I’d rather have the combo.
Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”
Ghost: Two of Fox, Haliburton, Wood, and Donovan Mitchell will be optimal tonight, and I’ll be looking to get three of them with Jordan Poole as my main value.
Adam: Jordan Poole and the Fox/Wood duo. With Steph Curry and Draymond Green sitting out for the Warriors and Klay Thompson still not playing his full complement of minutes, Poole has a 32.1% usage rate and 1.03 fantasy points per minute. He’s not even $6,000 on DraftKings and fits perfectly in the stack.
Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”
Ghost: Jordan Poole carries the Warriors to a win behind his 30-5-5 performance.
Adam: The Kings and Rockets combine for over 255 real points running it back from Friday night.
You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life
