Adam Strangis NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/6
We have just four games tonight and this is going to be a very interesting slate. We have almost no options in the high range today and the ones we do have are on a back-to-back, which can lead to guys sitting. It could turn into a balanced slate or stars and scrubs if people sit, so let’s get to work in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/6!
One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.
Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:
Warriors at Pelicans
Warriors – We’re starting with the Warriors because it sure seems like we’re going to have value. Coach Steve Kerr said Steph Curry is “uncertain” with a quad and that would explain Curry having a miserable game last night. When he’s off the court, the duo of Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins have the usage lead at 32.5% for Poole and 27.9% for Wiggins. Poole has also generated 1.10 fantasy points per minute and Wiggins is at 0.84 and Poole is $1,000 cheaper, so this is an easy decision in my view. The defensive rating of 24th for the Pelicans is also appealing and we could get other value as well. Otto Porter and Andre Iguodala were both out last night so players like Gary Payton, Damion Lee, and others could be in play.
Pelicans – They are mostly healthy so it’s likely best to stick with the big guns if we’re looking for a run-back option. Jonas Valanciunas and Brandon Ingram both stand out as Ingram has a 30% usage on the season and JoVal has 1.25 fantasy points per minute. Golden State is in the top 10 in rebounds and points allowed in the paint, but Valanciunas is a guy that can challenge that interior. He’s ninth in paint touches in the league and sixth in points scored in the paint.
Clippers vs Suns
Clippers – The salaries are back down to playable to some extent and they got smoked in their last game out. They will still be down to Reggie Jackson, Eric Bledsoe, Marcus Morris, and Terrance Mann as the main guys. Serge Ibaka has been popular in the last few games but he’s been miserable. He went 7-7 from the floor last game and still only scored 25 DK and has yet to exceed 22 minutes. The first trio leads the team in usage rate and they all hover between 25-26% in the past couple of weeks. I’d rather go with a guard here like Jackson since Morris could see Mikal Bridges, not something I’m super excited to tangle with. I’m likely going just one Clipper with possibly two.
Suns – We’re right back to the Jalen Smith Express since Deandre Ayton and JaVale McGee are out of protocols but not active yet. The last game saw him deal with foul trouble and an injury scare, so he only played 16 minutes and he still put up 22.3 DraftKings points. He has 1.24 fantasy points per minute over the past two weeks and with the Clippers still being short big men, this is a strong spot. He has averaged 8.2 points in the paint since he was thrown into the starting lineup and he can even hit an occasional three. Devin Booker has been playing lights out lately and he’s sporting a 32.5% usage rate with the Suns down the players they are and 1.28 points per minute. He shouldn’t be under $9,000.
Teams To Monitor
Celtics – They are almost totally healthy but did play last night. With some guys on the Covid list for a lengthy amount of time, it’s possible someone sits that we don’t expect right now.
Memphis – The duo of Dillon Brooks and De’Anthony Melton is questionable for this game, but Desmond Bane and Kyle Anderson are both doubtful. That would leave Ja Morant in a great spot as Detroit is surprisingly in the top 10 in pace this season and in the bottom six in defensive rating. It’s only a 52-minute sample, but Ja is at 1.46 fantasy points per minute and Brooks is at 1.28. If Brooks is not limited, they make a strong duo to target here.
You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life
