Adam Zibuda What is up everyone, happy Friday! Check out the FanDuel MLB 10/1 breakdown below.
As usual, I will be going over 3 pitchers and 3 teams that we should be looking to stack in our FanDuel lineups. We have a solid 14 game slate to attack before the weekend. There are not any games with a PPD risk from a weather standpoint, so that is always a nice way to kick off the slate. With that said, let’s get into the picks!
The Aces
A. This will be my last regular season article for MLB as this is the final day of the MLB season. I still remember going to an Opening Day party like it was yesterday, so to say that this season and this summer flew by is an understatement. The most expensive arm of the evening is Clayton Kershaw, but I have recent performance and pitch count concerns, so I will be avoiding him. A pitcher in much better form at a much lower price is Ranger Suarez ($9,000), who will be throwing against the Miami Marlins. The Marlins have not been an offense that scares us this season and Suarez is in the best form of any pitcher on this slate. He threw a full complete game shutout his last time out, and owns a 1.45 ERA on the season. While his SIERA indicates that he is not quite that good, he is still extremely talented and could end up as the highest scoring pitcher at a mid-tier price tag.
B. If looking to save even more salary on FanDuel, Huascar Ynoa ($7,600) is a potential option that can help us pay up for some expensive stacks. Ynoa is not in the best form, as he has surrendered some serious run production across his last few starts, but the strikeouts have also been there. This Mets team has extensively documented struggles at the plate this entire season, and Ynoa has shown that if he is able to limit the runs, then he does have a ceiling at this price. He has five or more strikeouts in five of his last seven starts, and while we could see him limited as the Braves prepare for a playoff push, he is not exactly the caliber of arm that tends to be limited and saved for the postseason.
C. As you can tell from my SP2, the pitching is pretty ugly for such a large slate on FanDuel, however this does make sense as teams do not want to throw out their aces on the final game of the regular season. Due to this, I am forced to look to Eduardo Rodriguez ($8,200) and his ugly 4.93 ERA. The underlying numbers are a bit better, as E-Rod owns a 3.62 SIERA, 27.4% strikeout rate, and a 6.8% walk rate. The Red Sox have all of the motivation here and are listed as a massive favorite against the Nationals who have been out of the playoffs from the jump. While Rodriguez is very tough to trust and does tend to get blown up quite a bit, I think he is a decent option strictly due to the narratives behind this game and his high ceiling if he is able to limit opposing run production.
The Bases
A. Luckily for us, when there are not many strong pitching options, there will always be plenty of strong batting options. Leading the way is a team still fighting for playoff positioning, the Toronto Blue Jays who will be taking swings against Tom Eshelman. Tom has struggled to an insane 6.07 SIERA, and if you have been reading this article all season you know that SIERAs very rarely get higher than 5. You have to be next-level bad to get this metric up to 6, and that is a feat that Tom has accomplished. We have a motivated team coming off of a 2-1 series loss to the Yankees, facing one of the worst pitchers not only on this slate, but in all of MLB. Do not overthink this one, get as many Blue Jays into your lineups as possible.
B. The Red Sox draw a very solid matchup this evening as well, but they are the Red Sox so I would never recommend that we roster them. On the contrary, we can look to the Kansas City Royals on FanDuel, who will be taking swings against John Gant of the Minnesota Twins. Salvador Perez is chasing the 50 homerun mark on the season and will be swinging for the fences every time that he steps up to the plate. The rest of this team does not have motivation on their side, but this is baseball and whenever a team is facing a low-quality pitcher, they have a good chance to erupt. Gant’s walk rate of 14.7% is laughable, and is nearly as high as his strikeout rate, which is always a red flag. The Twins do not have any motivation here either, so this game should come in at lower ownership as the field focuses on the narratives this evening.
C. It feels strange to make the final two teams that I recommend for the regular season be two teams that are not making the playoffs and do not care much about this game, but that’s baseball. I will look to the other side of this game and stack up the Minnesota Twins as they draw a juicy matchup against Jon Heasley. This is a battle of two Jon/John gas cans, and I expect the over to hit easily. With a 5.09 SIERA, 13.5% strikeout rate, and a 5.4% walk rate. really his only strength here is a solid walk rate. The Twins still have some bats with pop, and I think both teams score 5+ runs in this game so a game stack is definitely in play just like we do in NFL!
Thank you for reading my regular season article this entire MLB season! I hope that you enjoyed and were able to make some money in the DFS streets. I will likely still write articles breaking down playoff slates depending on the size of them, so stay tuned for that and also check out my NFL QBs and stacks article.
That will do it for me today! Please also check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to lock. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in the MLB chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!
