After a long time away, it is finally time for the return of the Champion’s League Group Stages.
As we dive into UCL MatchWeek One below, we will analyze the match odds, single out players on each site in every price range and even provide a top bet.
Tuesday 9/6 UCL
Match Odds
Maccabi Haifa (+1100) at Benfica (-425)
Real Madrid (-160) at Celtic (+425)
AC Milan (+105) at RB Salzburg (+265)
Juventus (+750) at PSG (-290)
Shaktar Donetsk (+1100) at RB Leipzig (-450)
Manchester City (-275) at Sevilla (+750)
9/6 UCL Top Plays
Forward
DraftKings Forward
Timo Werner – RB Leipzig – $7,800 – Leipzig comes in as one of the two biggest favorites on the slate hosting Shaktar Donetsk. Nevertheless, we get a decent price break on their star striker back on loan with the club where helped earn his huge transfer fee. His teammate, Christopher Nkunku has a higher floor with a small role on set pieces but also costs nearly $3,000 more and shares set pieces so no monopoly “more on that below he shares with two people”. Furthermore, on a Champion’s League slate like this with many large favorites, goals will be needed. For a little more you could turn to Benfica’s forwards such as David Neres ($9,700) or Goncalo Ramos ($8,200). On the high, high end, PSG is a -290 money line favorite hosting Juventus but their stars are $11,000 or above aside from Messi at $9,900.
FanDuel Forward
David Neres – Benfica – $18 – David Neres “mentioned above” comes in a bit cheaper on FanDuel relatively speaking and I do give Benfica’s matchup the slight nod over Leipzig’s. RB’s opponent Shaktar has a world of Champion’s League Experience as compared to the Israeli team Benfica will be hosting. Neres was stellar in the Champion’s League Group Stage qualifiers. The PSG stars are also much more in play on FanDuel than DraftKings as they are much closer in price.
Pivots:
DraftKings – Olivier Giroud/Junior Messias – $5,400/$5,900 “low-end”, Goncalo Ramos – Benfica- $8,200 “mid-range”, Lionel Messi – PSG – $9,900 “high-end”
FanDuel – Junior Messias -AC Milan – $14 “low-end”, Timo Werner – RB Leipzig – $19 “mid-range”, Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $20 “high-end”
Midfielder and FanDuel Second Forward/Midfielder
DraftKings Midfielder
Dominik Szoboszlai – RB Leipzig – $6,300 – Wow, what an underprice. Szoboszlai is one of the set piece takers for RB Leipzig and an up and coming star. As mentioned under Timo Werner’s writeup, Leipzig is heavily favored and should control much of the possession and attack leading to a lot of opportunities.
FanDuel Second Forward/Midfielder
Dominik Szoboszlai – RB Leipzig – $16 – Not as juicy as on DraftKings, but this may be the best bargain on FanDuel. As the part set piece taker for Leipzig in a forward role, there is a lot of upside here for a mid range price. Leipzig also provides another value forward in Emil Forsberg if looking for further quality savings.
Pivots:
DraftKings – Emil Forsberg – RB Leipzig – $6,500 “low-end”, Joao Mario – Benfica – $7,500 “mid-range”, Neymar – PSG – $11,100 “high-end”.
FanDuel – Emil Forsberg – RB Leipzig – $12 “low-end”, Timo Werner – RB Leipzig – $19 “mid-range”, Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $20 “high-end”
DraftKings Defender
Alejandro Grimaldo – Benfica – $6,000 – Given his role on set pieces and Benfica’s status as a heavy favorite and Alejandro Grimaldo was perhaps the first person in my DK lineup. He will be very popular in all formats so a scratch in most instances, but popular for good reason.
Pivots:
Sergio Gomez – Manchester City – $4,400 “low-end”, Gilberto/Alexander Bah – Benfica – $5,400/$4,900 “mid-range”, David Raum – RB Leipzig – $6,700 “high-end”
FanDuel Defender
Antonio “listed with his full super long name” Silva – Benfica – $5– Min price defender playing for a big favorite with solid clean sheet odds. This position is not great per the usual on FanDuel so better off punting.
Pivots:
Sergio Gomez – Manchester City – $8, Nathan Ake – Manchester City – $9 “everyone is low-end”
DraftKings/FanDuel Goalie
Odysseas Vlachodimos – Benfica – $5,900/$8 – Easily the best clean sheet and win odds for minimally more in price than the other goaltenders.
Pivot: Peter Gulacsi – RB Leipzig -$5,800/$11
UCL Top Bet
Bet – Parlay – Benfica ML/RB Leipzig ML/Real Madrid “Draw No Bet” (-116) DraftKings – 1 Unit -It’s been awhile since we had a parlay for our best bet but with some of the odds this makes sense.
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