A fully-loaded main slate awaits us on the final Friday of the regular season. With the postseason picture developed, the focus of the 9/27 DFS Hitting Picks will be to just have fun.
And get paid.
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9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher
Jorge Alfaro, MIA at PHI
DK ($3,800), FD ($2,700)
Alfaro has three homers this week and has spent September showing signs of becoming a useful offensive backstop. He’s hit .234/.355/.453 (.808 OPS), with his OBP an encouraging sign that Alfaro will start cutting down his 33.6% strikeout rate. His hard contact rate stands at 44%, and with neither the Fish or Phils having little to play for, Alfaro could be in line for a power display against his former teammates.
9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman
Max Muncy, LAD at SF
DK ($4,300), FD ($3,900)
His bat is starting to awaken just in time for the postseason. Muncy has a .952 OPS in the past week and hit his first homer of the month in Tuesday’s win over the Padres. He’s been more potent on the road, sporting a .921 OPS with 21 of his 34 homers hit outside Dodgers Stadium. Despite the drop in Isolated Power from last year’s .319 to this year’s .262, Muncy continues to hammer the ball consistently, as his 45.7 hard contact rate puts oomph in his .282 BABIP.
9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman
Garrett Hampson, COL vs. MIL
DK ($4,300), FD ($3,700)
My choice at 2B on Wednesday, Hampson has since added a pair of steals, three hits and an RBI. He now closes out the season at Coors Field, which should add icing on a September that has seen Hampson go .361/.418/.625. His .330 BABIP offsets his 26.7% strikeout rate, while his 38% fly ball rate has resulted in five homers this month. Hampson has the speed to make his 42.7% ground ball rate work in his favor, and the ability to hit to all fields makes him a good fit tonight.
9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman
Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA
DK ($5,200), FD ($4,500)
Thursday’s homer was Bregman’s seventh against Angels pitching this season, giving him an 1.186 OPS along with 20 RBI and 18 runs scored. Bregman has a 12.1% strikeout rate that’s countered by a 16.8% walk rate and a 45.5% fly ball rate that’s been the driving force behind his 79 extra base hits. In today’s swinging for the fences craze, the fact Bregman has struck out just 82 times while hitting 40 homers is more impressive. It’s also a reason he should be a more serious AL MVP candidate, but that’s just me…
9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop
Gleyber Torres, NYY at TEX
DK ($4,900), FD ($3,700)
Nothing like Rangers pitching to help spark a bat before the postseason. Torres hasn’t hit well this month (.775 OPS) yet does have five homers and four doubles among his 16 September hits. His .258 Isolated Power is due for an extended power spike, and a 41.6% fly ball rate projects well in homer-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington. Texas goes with lefty Joe Palumbo, he of the 9.22 ERA and 2.63 HR/9 rate. You know where this is leading to, right?
9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder
Aristides Aquino, CIN at PIT
DK ($5,000), FD ($4,000)
Like the aforementioned Torres, Aquino hasn’t hit well this month, but is warming up just in time before the end of the season. Aquino slammed his 18th homer on Thursday and has a .929 OPS over the past week. He’s hit the Pirates well in his brief time in the bigs, going .417/.462/.833 with a homer in 12 at-bats versus Bucs hurling. A 28.8% HR/FB rate pairs well with a 44.7% FB rate, and despite the significant dip in hard contact rate, Aquino still has an above-average 39% total.
9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder
Ryan Braun, MIL at COL
DK ($5,800), FD ($3,800)
Braun brings a sizzling bat into Coors Field, having gone 8-for-15 with two homers, eight RBI and six runs scored in his past five games. Over the past two weeks, he’s delivered an OPS of 1.210 that has been key toward Milwaukee’s run to the postseason. He’s also boosted his Isolated Power to .221 and brings an exceptional .323 BABIP into tonight. He has hit the ball hard all season, but his 45% hard contact rate has been at its loudest when the Brewers needed it to be.
9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder
Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA
DK ($4,700), FD ($3,100)
The power is coming alive for Tucker, who homered on Thursday, his second straight with a dinger and fourth in 62 September at-bats. His BABIP stands at .350 and his hard contact rate has reached 47.7%. Tucker whiffs too much (27.7%), which remains the biggest thing hampering his upside, and even with the Angels going with lefty Patrick Sandoval, the Astros will likely give Tucker the start.
9/27 DFS Hitting Stacks
9/27 Hitting Stack of the Day: Milwaukee Brewers: Start with Braun and add Mike Moustakas ($4000 FD) and Yasmani Grandal ($3800 FD). I’d sacrifice some pitching if it meant adding Keston Hiura and his $4200 salary at FanDuel.
9/27 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: New York Yankees: As usual, it will cost to stack with Pinstripes, but is worth it tonight. You could go with Torres and follow up with Aaron Judge ($5300 DK) and an affordable Austin Romine ($3800) if he is getting the start behind the plate. D.J. LeMahieu comes in at a stiff $5400, but find a solid punt play at pitcher and load up.
9/27 Hitting Stack to Consider: Oakland Athletics: Even with Khris Davis and Mark Canha banged up, there’s still lumber to stack, starting with Matt Chapman ($3600 FD). Marcus Semien ($4100 FD) is a good middle infield choice, and Ramon Laureano ($3300) is an affordable sleeper pick.
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