One more Sunday, and the 2019 MLB regular season is over. The 9/22 DFS Hitting Picks will swing for the fences today, knowing that chances to make the long green are running out.
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9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher
Tom Murphy, SEA at BAL
DK ($4,200), FD ($3,200)
Murphy’s breakout season has been built on the backs of woeful lefties, whom he has a .348/.402/.714 slash line against with 11 of his 18 homers coming against them. Having a moderate-priced catcher with a 47.8% fly ball rate should pay dividends in Camden Yards. Orioles rookie John Means gets the start and has somehow managed to post a 3.65 ERA despite a 50.6% fly ball rate. Bet on Murphy putting a boost to Means’ 9.7% HR/FB rate.
9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman
Ryan Braun, MIL at PIT
DK ($4,500), FD ($3,200)
With six hits in his last three games, Braun is doing his part to keep the Brewers’ postseason hopes alive. Five of his last eight hits have been for extra bases, which has shot his OPS to 1.027 over the last week. His power numbers are similar to his 2018 production, but Braun’s .319 BABIP is 45 points higher, resulting in his career-high 45.3% hard contact rate having more impact.
9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman
Yoan Moncada, CWS at DET
DK ($4,400), FD ($3,800)
Moncada has spent much of 2019 torturing Tigers pitching. He’s hit .357/.404/.714 with four homers and 11 RBI off Detroit hurlers and comes into today with a .474/.492/754 slash line over the past two weeks. Moncada’s .403 BABIP hides the sins of a 7.6% walk rate and 27.5% strikeout rate. His line drive rate of 23.7% and improved ability to hit to all fields makes him a great play in the 9/22 DFS Hitting Picks lineup.
9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman
Miguel Sano, MIN vs. KC
DK ($5,200), FD ($4,000)
Despite hitting .244 against Kansas City pitching this season, Sano has made the Royals hurt when he does reach base. Six of his 10 hits off KC hurlers have been for extra bases, including four homers. Sano has a 1.019 OPS this month, driven mainly by a .394 OBP that should scare the hell out of all of us if this carries into 2020. To what should be shocking to no one, Sano manages soft contact just 9.3% of the time, so you’re going to be cheated when using him today.
9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop
Carlos Correa, HOU vs. LAA
DK ($5,200), FD ($3,800)
Ponder the fact that Correa has 21 homers and 59 RBI in just 75 games. Prorate those numbers, and you’d be talking about a potential AL MVP candidate. He’s a monster at Minute Maid Park, sporting a 1.034 OPS with 11 of his 21 homers coming at home. His .282 Isolated Power and a 17-point improvement in BABIP only makes you wonder what he could have done had he stayed healthy this season. After a 28.8% hard contact rate in 2019, Correa comes into today with a 44.7% rate. Can’t make up for lost time, so indulge in Correa’s final home game of the regular season.
9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder
Eloy Jimenez, CWS at DET
DK ($4,100), FD ($4,100)
He’s had four multi-hit games in his past six starts, continuing a blistering September that has seen Jimenez hit .358 with seven homers and 21 RBI. Jimenez has been surprisingly more effective outside of hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, producing an .875 OPS compared to .750 at home. His modest 33.6% fly ball rate is countered by a 27.1% HR/FB rate, all the more reason Tigers ace Matthew Boyd had better be on notice.
9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder
Howie Kendrick, WAS at MIA
DK ($5,200), FD ($2,800)
He. Won’t. Stop. Hitting. Kendrick is 10-for-17 (.588) during a September run where he’s swinging it at a .432/.468/.659 clip. Unlike most of the aforementioned players in the 9/22 DFS Hitting Picks, Kendrick isn’t a serious threat to homer, but he will continue spraying the ball all over the field. He’s making hard contact at a 45.8% rate, which means a lot of his grounders (48.9%) are quickly finding their way past outfielders.
9/22 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder
Trey Mancini, BAL vs. SEA
DK ($4,100), FD ($5,100)
Mancini has a nine-game hitting streak and has scored at least one run in seven of his past 10 games. What has made his season interesting is that for a hitter whose hard contact rate is just about league-average (36.9%) who also doesn’t put the ball in the air as much as you’d think (31.7%), he’s pounding the daylights out of the ball. Mancini’s hitting more line drives (21.8%), but the hidden number just might be his .319 BABIP, which is nearly on par to his 2017 coming out party.
9/22 DFS Hitting Stacks
9/22 Hitting Stack of the Day: Houston Astros: As a team, the Astros hit .282/.360/.512 at Minute Maid Park, so why not load up one last time this season? Yordan Alvarez ($4,300 FD) and Alex Bregman ($5,400 DK) are anchors that can hold on to Jose Altuve ($4,200 FD) and Michael Brantley ($4,500 FD). It will cost to go all-in with an Astros stack, so be prepared to find a punt at pitcher.
9/22 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Minnesota Twins: Start with Sano and build from there with Max Kepler ($4,700 FD), Mitch Garver ($5,500 FD) and Eddie Rosario ($4,900 FD). Make sure to add Ehire Adrianza ($3,400 FD) if the OBP machine is in the lineup.
9/22 Hitting Stack to Consider: Chicago White Sox: Moncada and Jimenez are the building blocks. Add Jose Abreu ($3,700 FD) to corner the market on the heart of the Chicago order. Yolmer Sanchez ($2,500 FD) is an interesting add considering he has five hits in 11 at-bats against Boyd.
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