7/22 LPL/LCK League of Legends Breakdown
Welcome to my 7/22 LPL/LCK League of Legends Breakdown. We are coming off back-to-back nights of Takedowns and it has been amazing to see all the green in the chat. Tonight we are blessed with less chalk on our 4 game slate. Tonight we have GEN/LSB, T1/AF, BLG/RA, and RNG/UP. I am really liking the slate tonight and I am ready to keep our streak going.
For those that are newer to the LOL scene or are coming back to the game. I would like to touch on some stack rules before it’s too late. For stacking in LOL the most used and successful in my opinion in the 4-3 which gives you four players from your favorite team while filling in with another team you believe wins on the day. The usual captains that I like to employ are the JG/MID/ADC positions. These are where you can expect the highest scores from night in and night out. The core I had last night shows the ideal way to stack with a mid at captain, from the team you believe will be the highest scoring you are going to want to play the three highest-scoring positions along with the support from that team.
The support is not one of these positions that tend to go off on the nightly, they usually score the lowest on the team but you want the correlation with the rest of the team. If the rest of the team is doing well then that means the support is there making plays for them and racking up the assists for the rest of the squad. The correlation here is the main thing for LOL and on these 4 game slates, I believe it is key to having a takedown chance. Now that we touched on that let’s dig into today’s slate.
GEN vs LSB
This is our first match of the night and it comes from the LCK, which is generally the slower of the two regions and tends to put fewer kills on the board on average. I believe this is going to be one of the sneaky games on the slate tonight for upside as LSB tends to die a lot in losses. GEN is going to end up being one of my favorite stacks tonight but I am also a little on the fence for this game, Sandbox has been a big surprise this split and has played very well. GEN though has taken a hold of first in the league and I can’t see them letting go of that position anytime soon.
These are both middling teams in terms of pace in the LCK but I consider both to be an anomaly compared to the rest of the league. In losses, GEN does not give up kills which tanks their CKPM numbers while they are able to rack up the kills in wins. The contrary is true for Sandbox as in losses they tend to feed kills over to their opponent while in wins they are low kills not going for the proactive plays across map. Stats here all point to GEN as they are one of the best macro teams in the LCK, I am expecting GEN to win a 2-0 here but I would not be amazed if LSB was able to take a game or even somehow the series with how they have been playing, I though will not have any shares of LSB personally, and will have GEN in cash.
T1 vs AF
Our second LCK match of the night and one I am much less fond of. In all reality, this should not be anywhere near a competitive match and T1 should just be able to roll over AF, though I do not expect that to happen. At best from T1 tonight I can see them winning a 2-1 match but I do not see the kill upside coming from them tonight. AF is one of the slowest teams in the LCK and T1 goes along with this playstyle. I do believe it is possible that in a win T1 can rack up some kills but I do not see AF being in any winning lineup today in cash or gpp.
I can see having some shares of T1 tonight as they have a better chance to rack up kills then AF but I still do not like them too much. The roster changes for T1 are what I believe are going to be the keys here for them to win with the jungle chance to Oner and Teddy to Gumayusi. I like T1 for some value tonight but nothing more than that, I can see a 1 off at team or top but I do not like anymore than that. It is a small stack at the max.
RA vs BLG
This is going to be the main play on tonight for value as both of these teams are underpriced and having BLG as the underdog will load up on the ownership. I can see BLG being the best value on the slate and stacking them allows you to get to the most coveted team on the slate in RNG. The main problem I see with this matchup is there will almost be no kill upside with RA being in this match. They are one of the slowest teams in the LPL sitting at a CKPM of 0.78. Also to show of the difference between the LCK and the LPL as this would make them the fastest playing team in the league. BLG has the talent to beat anyone in the league and I cannot see them losing this here.
BLG is going to give us the value and upside we need tonight and I will not be against taking them. I will say though I am a bit worried here about them as they should be the chalk of the slate tonight. RA has been surprisingly one of the best teams in the league and many are going to forget this as they haven’t had many matches recently. I am taking BLG here to win in a close 2-1 match and there is some possibility of kill upside but not my favorite, I would play BLG in both a full and small stack fashion. I am not against taking either side here but RA doesn’t have the upside I would be looking for in a win tonight.
RNG vs UP
This is looking to be my favorite match tonight for kill upside tonight and I am looking to be full stacking RNG if im able to. The only ways I can see to be able to play 4 RNG tonight are going to be RNG/BLG, RNG/RA, RNG/GEN or RNG/LSB. There is nothing else I would consider for playing them tonight, atleast as a four stack. Chances are tonight you are going to end up having to take RNG as a small stack tonight in order to be able to afford them in lineups unless you want a support captain tonight.
This match also has the highest upside tonight with the CKPM’s above everyone else here with the two highest on the slate. This is also going to be one of my favorite cash matchups as it is looking to be a very lopsided match with RNG taking a quick 2-0 over UP as they are easily the much better team here and many will see that after they were just able to take a win over EDG in a sweep. I really like playing RNG tonight and would play them if you can, no need to force them into your lineups but they do have slate breaking upside.
Summary
Tonight my player pool is going to be limited to a few teams. Namely RNG/BLG/GEN as my favorite plays toinght and who I would be looking to play first and foremost, followed up by RA as a hedge pick, T1, and LSB as a hedge pick. If anyone has any questions tonight I will be in discord to answer them. For our other articles here at WinDaily click here and to join our discord click here. Good Luck everyone tonight, I am looking to continue our hot streak tonight here.