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7/11 ESPORTS DFS: League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown Featuring Jim Thomson

We are going to start by breaking down the four-game LPL LCK DFS slate scheduled to go off at 4 am Eastern standard time on Saturday. The DraftKings and FanDuel slates lock at 4 am SHARP. The slate is four best of three-game series combining games from the LPL and LCK (Chinese and Korean League). I will be giving a short and to the point breakdown of each match.

At the later stage of my article, I will have a list of my favorite captain’s/stars in order of preference. This article is for both Draftkings and FanDuel.

LCK MATCH ONE (4 AM EST):

DRAGON X (DRX) (-125) VS. DAMWON GAMING (DWG) (-110).

LCK PROJECTED STARTERS:

(DRX)

(TOP) DORAN
(JNG) PYOSIK
(MID) CHOVY
(ADC) DEFT
(SUP) KERIA

(DWG)

(TOP) NUGURI
(JNG) CANYON
(MID) SHOWMAKER
(ADC) GHOST
(SUP) BERYL

Two of the top teams in the LCK face-off against each other in the first match of the LOL DFS slate tonight. This match could go one of two ways, either it is a low killing game that lacks production, or it can be a slugfest, back and forth kills with no winner in sight until the very last minute. I am going to go with option two. I think both of these teams have the potential to be extremely aggressive in every game. DRX can not only farm well but can continually set up picks on their opponents, and before you know it, they have produced ten kills in ten minutes.

DWG is an up and coming tornado of a team. They have chewed up and spit out almost every team they have faced, except in their one series loss to Gen G. DRX also only has one loss on the season, and it is in their most recent matchup vs. KT. DRX showed that they have a human side and can be beaten just like anyone else.

In this matchup, I feel as if DWG will follow up on what KT did to beat DRX. DWG has to put them into uncomfortable situations and force them into spots where they have no business fighting in. My lean for this series will be on DWG, as I believe that they could set up DRX in random uncomfortable situations and back them into a corner. DWG will put pressure on DRX, which will force them to chase objectives and fight at a disadvantage. This series should go to three games. My exposure to DWG is going to be 60%, and my exposure to DRX is going to be 40%.

MY LCK DFS PICK: DAMWON GAMING (DWG) (-110).

LCK MATCH TWO (7 AM EST):

SEOLHAEONE PRINCE (SP) (+265) VS. AFREECA FREECS (AF) (-385).

LCK PROJECTED STARTERS:

(SP)

(TOP) IKSSU
(JNG) FLAWLESS
(MID) MICKEY
(ADC) HYBRID
(SUP) SECRET

(AF)


(TOP) KIIN
(JNG) SPIRIT
(MID) FLY
(ADC) MYSTIC
(SUP) BEN

This matchup is more of a more comfortable pick, in my opinion. AF is a decent team. They have taken losses to three of the best teams in the LCK (DRX, DWG, T1). They have consistently beaten every team that is below them like clockwork. Afreeca Freecs have a squad that they can lean heavily on for killing purposes. The unit can somehow manage to repeatedly setup picks and produce kills by forcing their opponent into uneven combat, whether it be two vs. one, three vs. one, or even sometimes four and five vs. one. AF can produce kills in a hurry, and against a kill feeding team like SP, the sky is the limit.

SP is really really bad. They do not know how to finish a game. Every time that they have had a lead, they have blown it, except for the first match of the split versus HLE(another really really bad team). SP does not know how to avoid fights. All the teams that they have battled so far had to do was wait. When every team they have faced waited it out, SP made huge mistakes on their own, not even being forced to make those mistakes.

SP will basically roll over and get killed if they feel it is easier just to die and respawn with a full health bar, or at least that’s what it seems like. They do not know how to play defensively, and versus a team like AF(aggressive team), they will get obliterated. I can see this game ending in an AF sweep, with AF producing almost 40-45 kills in those two games. I will have massive exposure to AF stacks (90%) and only 10% of SP (not recommended).

MY LCK DFS PICK: AFREECA FREECS (AF) (-385).

LPL MATCH ONE (5 AM EST):

DOMINUS ESPORTS (DMO) (-145) VS. ROGUE WARRIORS (RW) (+105).

LPL CONFIRMED STARTERS:

(DMO)


(TOP) CHELIZI
(JNG) XIAOPENG
(MID) TWILA
(ADC) XUBIN
(SUP) YUI

(RW)


(TOP) HOLDER
(JNG) HARO
(MID) WUMING
(ADC) ZWUJI
(SUP) LEY

The fact that I think this game is going to be viable in GPP builds kind of makes me sick to my stomach. We have a team with a record of one win, eight losses (DMO), and another team that is winless out of eight total matches (RW). DMO is a favorite, which is extremely hard to say, mainly because I feel as if RW is the better team. DMO has done nothing special so far this split in terms of showing that they can do better. They have shown that they can hang in a game a little bit, but have not competed for much in those games.

RW has produced well in multiple losses this split. They have had players with over 90 fantasy points on numerous different occasions. If Zwuji gets going and levels up faster than Xubin, it will be a long day for the players on DMO. My exposure to this match is going to be 60% RW and 40% DMO.

MY LPL DFS PICK: ROGUE WARRIORS (RW) (+105).

LPL MATCH TWO (7 AM EST):

TOP ESPORTS (TES) (-260) VS. FUNPLUS PHOENIX (FPX) (+185).

LPL CONFIRMED STARTERS:

(TES)

(TOP) 369
(JNG) KARSA
(MID) KNIGHT
(ADC) JACKEYLOVE
(SUP) YUYANJIA

(FPX)

(TOP) KHAN
(JNG) TIAN
(MID) DOINB
(ADC) LWX
(SUP) CRISP

This match finishes out an aggressive kill-happy LOL DFS slate. TES is number one in the LPL right now, and I would go as far as to say that they are most likely number one in the world. TES is killing everything in their path, making minimal to no mistakes, setting up opponents, and taking out team after team in the LPL. JackeyLove and Knight are by far the best MID and ADC combo in the league. With both superstars on the starting roster, there is nobody that I can see possibly dethrone TES from the top of the leaderboards.

With that being said, incomes FPX. FPX used to be this, used to be that, used to be world champions. I have heard it all. They are no longer that team. FPX does not have much of a chance here, even though odds suggest that they do. They have given up a couple of what should have been easy wins this split so far, and a top-caliber team should not be doing that. FPX looks like they are struggling to mesh well together, and that is why I will have 80% TES exposure and 20% FPX.

MY LPL DFS PICK: TOP ESPORTS (TES) (-260).

FAVORITE CAPTAINS / STARS:

MYSTIC (AF) (ADC)

GHOST (DWG) ADC)

JACKEYLOVE (TES) (ADC)

ZWUJI (RW) (ADC)

SHOWMAKER (DWG) (MID)

KNIGHT (TES) (MID)

FLY (AF) (MID)

DEFT (DRX) (ADC)

CHOVY (DRX) (MID)

LWX (FPX) (ADC)

SLATE SUMMARY: LPL LCK SUMMER SPLIT

I will be building twenty ESPORTS DFS lineups. My exposure in my LOL DFS lineups will consist of 90% AF, 80% TES, 60% DWG, 60% RW, 40% DRX, 40% DMO, 20% FPX, and 10% SP. All of my stacks will be four/three. I will prioritize using ADC and MID in my captain spot. Any lineup that I can not use ADC or MID because of salary requirements, I will be using JNG. If by chance, JNG does not fit and ONLY if I can not fit the three prior positions, I will use a TOP or SUP in my captain spot. My main focus is trying to build lineups using my favorite captain/star for each individual team stack.

Any questions I am always available in our WinDaily DISCORD chat. LET’S MAKE SOME MONEY AND DONT FORGET TO COME BACK AND WIN DAILY!

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