Sia 
3M Open 2020: Initial DFS Picks
We’ve got a very big and very watered down field this week for the 3M Open. I’ll be putting a priority on APP and OTT. It should be easier to scramble here relative to last week and the greens aren’t as abusive, so scrambling and putting take a back seat.
Below are my initial picks for DraftKings for the 3M Open. As usual these picks will be developed and discussed with all subscribers and the Win Daily Golf Team in Discord. Further, just like any other week, there will be a number of articles that come out over the next 36 hours from our writers (which include The Range article which has already been published on Win Daily). Can’t wait to dive into all the articles and into Discord with everyone. Tune into the Livestream Tuesday night at 8:30 and subscribe to our podcast. And of course, stay tuned for the secret weapon.
Dustin Johnson (11500) – I fear opening this article with DJ for fear that literally everyone will dismiss the rest of my picks. Shooting back to back 80’s at the Memorial seems to be standard DJ when he knows he’s not going to make the cut. This guy is not going to grind to try to put a respectable score together if he knows he’s not playing the weekend. With that said, DJ on his best day is better than every golfer in this field, so while I won’t be overweigh on him, I need to have some shares. The Par 5’s are very gettable this week and DJ’s eagle opportunities could be big this week. The DJ upside was visible last month when he took down the Travelers. Look for a bounce back this week.
Tommy Fleetwood (10500) – This 10k and above range is tough to navigate, but I’ll be dipping my toe into DJ and Fleetwood and therefore largely fading Finau, Brooks and Casey (I am not a full fade on Casey). As it stands now, it looks like DJ and Fleetwood will be less owned than Finau and Casey. If it’s ball strikers you want on this course (which, you do), then Fleetwood is your guy. Word on the street is that he’s in good form despite not playing lately and the good news is that you can catch that form on Wednesday when he plays in the charity event with Matt Wolffe, Paul Casey and Will Gordon (airs on Golf Channel from 3-5 EST).
Russell Henley (9200) – Henley is a bit pricey and you would think that would keep ownership down, but it looks like the entire 9k range will be chalky (other than Bubba Watson who appears to be a good leverage play considering how well he is ball striking of late). Henley is fantastic on APP (and as you may expect T2G). His putter and OTT tend to let him down but I think his APP game pays off the pricetag. Finished 7th at the Workday and 32nd at the Travelers so he’s certainly in good form.
Harris English (9000) – English led many teams last week to green screens, particularly with his relatively impressive Sunday finish. English gains in every SG metric, particularly OTT and APP. Reasonable pricetag for a guy who has had four Top 20s in his last 5 events (which date back to pre-restart). I should note he did miss the cut here last year. No worries for me in that department.
Doc Redman (8700) – Both Redman and English will be chalk so make sure you find leverage elsewhere. For this reason, I may be a bit underweight on Doc The Chalk (I just trademarked that . . . you can’t have it) but he really does grade out well on this course and he can’t be ignored. He’s coming off a missed cut at the Memorial but he was lights out prior to that (should be noted that he struck the ball well at Memorial but just couldn’t make anything happen ARG or with his putter and he lost all of his strokes in those departments). Doc The Chalk is great OTT and even better on APP. His trouble with ARG shouldn’t hurt him too much this week.
Troy Merritt (7500) – I’m going to give most people a pass for missing the cut at the Memorial as the conditions led to some good players having some very bad holes (Paul Casey is a great example of that). Merritt is another hot hand who has made four of his last five cuts (Memorial being the missed cut). He was Top 10 at the Rocket Mortgage and 22nd at Workday. And by the way, he was 7th here last year.
Richy Werenski (7400) – If anyone has been tracking my “secret weapon” plays, you were on Richy two weeks ago (it was Chez at Memorial, you’re welcome). There is absolutely nothing about Werenski’s numbers that scream that he needs to be in your lineup, but he certainly has a hot hand. Since the restart he’s made 4 for 4 cuts and before the restart he was 17th at Honda. This guy is peaking and now enters a soft field, good value at this pricetag.
Chesson Hadley (6900) – I’m happy to find a ball striker of Hadley’s caliber in the 6k range. Hadley gains on APP and OTT and simply needs to find a hot putter to payoff his pricetag this week. He’s made 3 out of 4 cuts but his finishes have been relatively unimpressive. Now he enters a field with much less talent than his last four tournaments so it’s time for the ball striker to strike.
Stewart Cink (6600) – If you end up taking some high priced horses, you’re going to need to dip into this range. He’s made two cuts in a row including a 17th at the Workday. He’s also made 5 out of his last 6 cuts in fields with much greater talent. He gains on APP but is shaky in most other places. If you’re dipping down low, Cink is a solid option.
Again, stay tuned for the Win Daily Livestream tonight at 8:30 @windailysports where we will discuss the 3M Open golf picks and many more (the Livestream will include some NFL, NBA and MLB talk as well). See everyone in Discord!
