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3/7 LPL/LCK League of Legends Breakdown

3/7 LPL/LCK League of Legends Breakdown

Welcome to my 3/7 LPL/LCK League of Legends Breakdown where I am looking to give you the edge on tonight’s 5 game slate. Last night we should have snuck out with cash going FPX/RNG as FPX scored well enough in a loss to keep us afloat for the cash line and having RNG pick up another good looking win over EDG as the best two teams in the LPL faced off. Tonight we have another 5 gamer and I expect some fireworks here tonight. We have HLE/GEN, DRX/BRO, RW/OMG, BLG/TT, and finally TES/IG. I am very excited to get to these matches for you guys so lets take a dive in.

DRX (-300) vs BRO (+220)

Our first match and one of the slower paced ones on the night. I will also enjoy having the luxury to call this a freebie match even though it may seem to be closer upon a glance at the odds but I fully expect DRX to be able to roll over BRO here and take a commanding 2-0 win. DRX holds advantages in all categories expect for first drake which BRO takes away. I expect DRX to be a strong cash game play tonight but I do not like them in gpp’s as I believe their upside is not going to be big and I will not be playing them there.

GEN (-180) vs HLE (+140)

Our second LCK match on the night and one I expect to use fully for value here tonight as HLE is being priced as the under dog in this matchup. GEN has been faltering recently dropping games to teams such as AF and DRX ultimately culminating in a 2-0 loss to the likes of Sandbox. HLE on the other hand has cruised in their recent wins putting up high kill numbers and is a team I can fully expect being a winning 4 stack on tonight’s slate. HLE is priced to allow you to fit whoever you want with them tonight. Lets dive into stats really quick to see where they are pointing towards. The stats here are very split with GEN holding slight leads in the early and late games but with HLE’s vision numbers I believe these are negligible leads and I give it over towards being a draw in statistics. I am taking HLE to win here and be one of the best plays on the night. Deft, Morgan, Chovy are some of my favorite plays.

OMG (-125) vs RW (-105)

Our first match of the night in the LPL and a matchup of two bottom dwellers in the league as RW and OMG are two of the worst teams in the LPL both having only picked up one win on the split. RW has recently returned star ADC Betty though I do not expect this to matter too much as in their recent matches with him back they have dropped games to the likes of even LGD. OMG is a team that likes to stay competitive in matches but can never finish off teams making them take a hard loss in most matches. I expect OMG’s early game to lead them to a victory here led by AKI, I am taking a 2-1 from OMG and would be tempted to full stack them in tournaments tonight.

BLG (-260) vs TT (+190)

BLG is one hell of a team that can not seem to put all the pieces together this split with their new roster additions. TT has been a team on the rise recently with their ADC in SamD coming back into form and carrying them to recent wins through his play. TT recently dropped a match over to SN while BLG dropped an 0-2 over to the likes of IG. Xiaopeng has been a main reason in favor of TT and why they have been able to pick up some recent wins. I expect BLG to win here as they control the early game over TT through their jungle in Meteor. This team is going to have to play through Zeka/Meteor to win and I like this spot as a small stack game and I am taking a 2-0 here from BLG.

TES (-195) vs IG (+155)

The last match of the night and the one I am most excited for as I fully expect this to be the best bloodbath that we have seen in a long time in the LPL or any league for that matter. These are two of the scrappiest teams in the LPL and both love to fight. Everyone knows IG and how they tend to beat some of the best teams while losing to the lowly teams in the league. These are two of the highest Ckpm’s in the LPL and I expect this to be the main spot to look for your winning 4 stacks on the night. TES surprisingly leads in every statistical category giving them the stat advantage especially in the early game which allows them to snowball these advantages while constantly scrapping through the fights. I am looking to hedge here as both teams in a win will be the optimal 4 stack tonight and I am loving JKL, Knight, Karsa, and Zhuo.

Summary

DRX 2-0, HLE 2-1, OMG 2-1, BLG 2-0, TES 2-1. The last match is where I am going to be looking for my main 4 stacks and I am also looking to have some value from HLE tonight for the TES looks. For our other articles over as Win Daily click here, to join our discord click here, you can also find me on Twitter here @DfsGet.

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