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August 7, 2024

This week we are in North Carolina for the Wyndham Ownership Projections brought to you through the courtesy of Win Daily Sports. This week we have 40 of the top 70 golfers and many others scrambling to add, solidify, or push their way inside the top 70. The number 71 golfer will be in the playoffs due to Grayson Murrays (30) successful suicide attempt. This short course offers those with smaller driving and approach shots an equal setting which means almost the entire field is in play. Discerning who has the edge is why we’re here. The Wyndham Ownership Projections are motivated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.

The Olympics final was stunning and riveting. Rahm had a 4 shot lead until the back nine prevented his medal chances. Scottie Scheffler roared up and took the gold. Then it got to him. He was extremely emotional when he realized he had climbed the pinnacle for not only himself, but for his country. A long time ago we returned some kidnapped children back to their village. The village elders brought out a tiny U.S. flag and a beat up cassette recorder that proceeded to play a scratchy and slowed down version of the Star Spangled Banner. We were ten thousand miles from home and the entire Force Recon team got bleary eyed. We found out later that they only played it for a special occasion. Batteries were 120 klicks (75 miles) away and expensive. I get it when Ryder Cup golfers say “there’s nothing like playing for your country.”

Win Daily Sports golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The PGA Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

The early narrative is that the golfers hovering around the 70 player mark have more to play for and might do well. Hmm. If they have been playing mediocre all year they are going to hit this last tourney and smash it? Naah. I could be wrong though. Players close to the magic 70 include Hubbard, Dunlap, Vegas, Grillo, Power and Todd. (on the inside for now) with Perez, Riley, Putnam, Kitayama, List, Glover and Hodges on the outside looking in. With such a short course that brings many more golfers into the mix we have the following in our pool—Rai, IM, Griffin, Cole, Harman, Kim, Horschel, Poston, Bradley, Detry and CBEZ—More will be added/deleted once ownership comes out.

Recent Results

THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week there was no Frisky Biscuit selection due to no cut. Our Frisky Biscuits record is now 36-8 for a 5-6K golfer at 5% or under ownership to make the cut. Our Biscuit picks and others will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!

Deep Dive Dave. Hit. Again. And Again. Time after time Dave is putting outrights up almost every week. If you followed his plays you would be up around 115% in the last month. It’s an amazing accomplishment. Outright winners. Top 10, 20, and 40 positions.

Whether to trust the Weather

The weather is currently scattered everywhere. It has only changed 11 times in the last 12 hours. The remnants of the hurricane may bring 5-7 inches of rain today, with sustained winds of 28, gusting to 47 for most of Thursday. It looks like Thursday am/ Friday pm is the safest trek through the minefield and there is no guarantee they go off as planned. Stay tuned to Win Daily Sports Discord this evening for more comprehensive reports from Deep Dive Dave.

Let’s take a look at the Wyndham Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONOWN %SALARY
Im, Sungjae31.410700
Harman, Brian24.29300
Rai, Aaron23.38800
Kim, Si Woo22.710000
Horschel, Billy21.910200
Lowry, Shane19.110300
Thompson, Davis 18.39200
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan17.98700
Davis, Cameron15.68900
Bhatia, Akshay 15.59100
Young, Cameron14.89700
McCarthy, Denny14.17500
Cole, Eric11.97700
Perez, Victor 11.27200
Spieth, Jordan10.69500
Detry,Thomas 10.38400
Bradley, Keegan10.28500
Kitayama, Kurt 9.67900
Vegas, Jhonattan9.58000
Ghim, Doug9.57300
McNealy, Maverick9.48100
Griffin, Ben8.97300
Clanton, Luke (a)8.88600
English, Harris8.78000
Hojgaard, Nicolai8.68200
Greyserman, Max8.27600
Poston,  JT8.17900
Novak, Andrew7.97100
Simpson, Webb7.77100
Rose, Justin7.47700
Moore, Taylor7.37500
Pan, CT7.37000
Mitchell, Keith7.27800
Svensson, Adam7.27400
MacIntyre, Robert 6.98300
Jaeger, Stephan 6.77500
Glover, Lucas6.67400
Lee, Min Woo6.19000
Kucher, Matt6.17300
Hughes, Mackenzie6.07400
Meissner, Mac 6.07100
Power, Seamus5.97200
Todd, Brendon5.67000
Spaun, JJ5.47200
Fishburn, Patrick4.97200
Putnam, Andrew4.87000
Kohles, Ben4.76900
Eckroat, Austin 4.67100
Van Rooyen, Erik4.57800
Hubbard, Mark4.47100
Kim, Chan4.46900
Hadwin, Adam4.37200
Taylor, Nick3.96800
Silverman, Ben3.86900
Rodgers, Patrick3.77400
Grillo, Emiliano3.37000
Dunlap,  Nick 3.07500
Zalatoris,Will2.87600
Smalley, Alex 2.87100
Fox, Ryan2.77600
Norlander, Henrik2.76300
NeSmith, Matthew2.56700
Moore, Ryan2.46500
Wallace, Matt2.27300
Thornbjornsen, Michael 2.07200
Olesen, Thorbjorn1.96900
Young, Carson1.96600
Blair, Zac1.76400
Hoey, Rico1.67000
Schmid, Matti1.57000
Kim, Michael1.56800
Kisner, Kevin1.56300
Reavie, Chez1.46200
Hall, Harry1.37100
Dahmen, Joel1.36600
Berger, Daniel1.26800
Suh, Justin 1.26700
Lower, Justin1.16700
Hossler, Beau0.96900
Hodges, Lee 0.96800
Hisatsune, Ryo0.96800
Phillips, Chandler0.96700
Stevens, Sam0.87300
Lee, KH0.87000
Woodland, Gary0.86600
Buckley, Hayden0.86500
Schenk, Adam0.76900
Hadley, Chesson0.76800
Johnson, Zack0.76500
Cauley, Bud0.76400
Ryder, Sam0.66500
Bridgeman, Jacob0.56800
Skinns, David0.56700
Garnett, Brice0.56600
Ramey, Chad0.56600
Merritt, Troy0.56400
Kizzire, Patton0.56400
Coody, Pierceson 0.46900
Yu, Kevin 0.46800
Hoffman, Charley0.46700
Lashley, Nate0.46600
Riley, Davis 0.46600
Streelman, Kevin0.46400
Malnati, Peter0.46100
Campillo, Jorge0.36700
Champ, Cameron0.36700
Wu, Dylan0.36500
Hardy, Nick0.26500
Sigg, Greyson 0.26300
List, Luke0.26300
Lipsky, David0.26200
Sloan, Roger0.26200
Snedeker, Brandt0.26100
Springer, Hayden0.16900
Whaley, Vincent0.16500
Crowe, Trace0.16400
Laird, Martin0.16300
Cink, Stewart0.16300
Campos, Rafael0.16100
Herman, Jim0.16000
Kim, SH (Seonghyeon)0.06600
Duncan, Tyler0.06500
Bramlett, Joseph0.06500
Highsmith, Joe0.06400
Gotterup, Christopher0.06400
Tosti, Alejandro0.06400
Wu, Brandon 0.06300
Yuan, Carl0.06300
Baddeley, Aaron0.06300
Higgo, Garrick0.06300
Echavarria, Nico0.06200
Coody, Parker 0.06200
Dougherty, Kevin0.06200
Dumont de Chassart, Adrien0.06200
Bryan, Wesley0.06200
Taylor, Ben0.06200
Trainer, Martin0.06200
Norrman, Vincent0.06100
Musselman, Cooper0.06100
Whitney, Tom0.06100
Tarren, Callum0.06100
Furr, Wilson0.06100
McCormick, Ryan0.06100
Brehm, Ryan0.06100
Alexander, Tyson0.06100
Haas, Bill0.06000
Gordon, Will0.06000
Teater, Josh0.06000
Villegas, Camilo0.06000
Hale Jr., Blaine0.06000
Barjon, Paul0.06000
Holmes, JB0.06000
Shattuck, Braden0.06000
Kneiser, George0.06000
Bogdanoff, Steve0.06000

These Wyndham Ownership Projections are accurate as of 5:19 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.

Our top pivots for leverage are: Min Woo Lee, English, EVR, Kuchar and Power

My Picks for The Wyndham

Top Tier: IM/ Rai

Mid Tier: English

Low Tier: Meissner

Out in Left Play: Glover

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Poston

FR Leader: NeSmith (Contrarian)

What to listen to

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, and 10, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.

What to Watch

Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the sometime surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave continues to produce picks and winners. Stix Picks continues to pick outliers. They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel aka Draft Master Flex.

***** Parting Shots *****

An officer pulls over a motorcycle rider for speeding:

Officer: can I see your License?

Biker: It’s been suspended since my 5th DWI.

May I see your registration or owners card?

Don’t have one. It’s stolen.

This motorcycle is stolen?

yes. I think I saw the true owners papers in the tool bag when I put the gun in there.

You have a gun in your tool bag?

Yes. After I shot the true owner I stole his dope and put it in the saddlebags.

There’s drugs along with a gun on this bike?

He radioed his Captain and the motorcyclist was surrounded by police and the Captain showed up to take care of the matter.

Now, what’s all this nonsense about your license?

It’s right here sir, valid and legal.

Whose motorcycle is this?

It’s mine. Here are the ownership papers. I’m the free and clear owner.

Open your tool bag, I need to see what’s in there. I’m told there’s a gun in there’

Here you go, it’s empty. No gun.

Open your saddlebags, I heard there’s drugs in there.

Here you are sir. No drugs.

What the hell? I don’t understand. I was told your license was invalid. The motorcycle was stolen. That you had a hidden gun in your possession and that you had drugs on you.

Yeah, I’ll bet he told you that I was speeding as well!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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The Massachusetts Gaming Commission (MGC) had planned to meet on Wednesday for an agenda-setting session, where it was expected to set an official date for a second discussion on sports betting limits. However, on Tuesday, the MGC announced the cancellation of the meeting.

The date for the highly anticipated second discussion on sports betting limits remains undecided. However, it could be established during the MGC’s public meeting on August 15 or the agenda-setting meeting on August 21. In May, the MGC hosted a roundtable discussion on sports betting limits, but the absence of most well-known sports betting operators angered commissioners.

Bally Bet was the sole operator to attend the initial meeting.

Other prominent betting apps, such as DraftKings and FanDuel, have indicated their intention to participate in the second discussion. Despite this, some commissioners remain skeptical about whether these operators will share sufficient information publicly to ensure a productive conversation.

The commissioners also plan to include the perspectives of bettors in the discussion, similar to the first meeting. Some prominent bettors have expressed frustration with major betting apps for limiting their wagers with minimal to no explanation regarding the reasons behind these limits.

The MGC hopes that this discussion will enhance transparency around the practice of limiting sports bettors. In a recent meeting, the commission also suggested the possibility of implementing regulations related to this practice.

By addressing these issues, the MGC aims to foster a more open and fair sports betting environment in Massachusetts.

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PrizePicks has announced the appointment of Mike Ybarra, former President of Blizzard Entertainment, as its new Chief Executive Officer. Ybarra steps into the role following Adam Wexler, the Co-Founder and CEO, who will now serve as Executive Chairman of the Board and an advisor to Mike. Ybarra will also join the Board of Directors.

With over 25 years of leadership experience in the technology and entertainment industries, including his tenure as President at Blizzard Entertainment and nearly two decades at Microsoft in development, product management, and leadership roles, Ybarra is well-positioned to lead PrizePicks. His expertise in managing and growing popular gaming products and services uniquely qualifies him to guide the company at this pivotal time.

Thanks to Adam Wexler’s tireless efforts since founding the company, PrizePicks has grown from a startup to the leading independent daily fantasy sports (DFS) company in the U.S. This leadership change will not alter the company’s core values. PrizePicks will continue to focus on innovation and maintaining a fan-first mentality in all its endeavors.

The future looks promising for PrizePicks, as the company stands on the brink of one of the most dynamic and transformative periods in the industry’s history. The confidence in Mike Ybarra’s blend of experience and industry knowledge is high, as he leads the company into its next growth phase.

PrizePicks’ success has always been a collective effort, heavily relying on partnerships to drive the industry forward. Together with its partners, the company has disrupted the DFS space with innovative games that fans love, and this is just the beginning.

During this leadership transition, PrizePicks will continue its operations without disruption, ensuring seamless service on its platform. PrizePicks thanks its supporters for their continued backing during this exciting time of change and growth.

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Over the past decade or so, whenever we preview the Wyndham Championship the real prize for many of the golfers has been the retention of their PGA Tour card. Although the main cut-off this year is the Top 70 for the FedEx Cup Play-offs, a number in this field will also have ensuring their place with the Top 50 on their mind. That grants them entry into the BMW Championship and, subsequently, all of the big money Signature Events in 2025.

Should golfers reside outside the Top 70, they still have a final chance to retain their playing privileges. They will return for the PGA Tour Fall Series, playing through until November to ensure they remain in the Top 125 players and the music keeps playing for another year. It promises to provide an electric atmosphere, and not least because the threat of former Hurricane Debby (now downgraded to a tropical storm) looms large over the Wyndham Championship which we will preview in our weather analysis.

2024 Olympics Men’s Golf Recap

It was another fabulous week for our golf betting tips at the Olympics, continuing a run of excellent results.

Among our first-round leader selections, Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, and Sepp Straka, we saw remarkable performances. Matsuyama, tipped at 33/1, successfully claimed the first-round leader position, while Tom Kim finished a commendable third, cashing a FRL Top 5 at 7/1. Straka also delivered a notable performance, finishing as an honorable 6th.

Matsuyama’s journey didn’t end there; he went very close to winning the tournament at 35/1 for us, eventually securing a bronze medal. In a bogey-free 65, his putter went cold down the stretch. Despite a number of birdie looks, he finished with 6 consecutive pars and finished just two strokes off Scheffler’s winning mark. He cashed a full-place for us at +875.

Tom Kim was selected as our DeepDiveGolf Bookie Beater to finish within the Top 10 at +275. He duly delivered, securing our 5th Bookie Beater cash in 6 tournaments. Unfortunately, he does mean he didn’t secure his much desired exemption from military service in South Korea. Hopefully, he manages to achieve that in the coming years and we don’t see a promising young career derailed.

Scottie Scheffler remains a problem. What will be most concerning for his competitors is that he won the Gold medal in Paris whilst losing strokes putting. That is just the 4th occurrence in the last 4 years where that has been achieved. In the final round, he tied the course record at Le Golf National without really looking like he broke a sweat.

However, give me Matsuyama 35/1 or Tom Kim 30/1 in contention over Scheffler at 4/1 any day. He would need to win in those circumstances 7 times more often, suggesting betting value still continues to lie elsewhere.

Sedgefield Country Club Golf Course Analysis

Sedgefield Country Club plays host to our Wyndham Championship preview

We have plenty of data to delve in this preview of the Wyndham Championship, with Sedgefield Country Club having hosted this tournament for the last 16 years.

Further, the recipe for this course is rather straightforward. That is driving accuracy, short to mid iron acumen, and the ability to find a hot putter.

The course is characterized by its tight fairways and undulating greens, where accuracy off the tee is paramount. The course rates as one of the most correlated between driving accuracy and success. Key statistics indicate that when players find the fairway, the Greens in Regulation (GIR) percentage stands at an impressive 80%. However, this drops dramatically to just 55% if the player lands in the rough. A look at recent leaderboards quickly uncovers a long list of fairway finders. Bombers have rarely found success here. Not because distance is a disadvantage, but waywardness is, and you simply don’t need distance to score here.

The course is a relatively short as a 7,127 yard par 70. There are 8 par 4s from 400-450 yards. Subsequently, you will see a number of players club down off the tee to ensure they keep the ball in-play. Further, it sees a disproportionate number of shots from 100-150 yards.

Finally, this does have a tendency to produce low scores. Just one golfer has won the event since 2015 at a score higher than -20. As such, putting is key here and acumen on Bermuda grass is desirable.

Sedgefield Country Club Golf Course Comps

Pete Dye designed the other 18 hole golf course at Sedgefield Country Club, and it is through some of his other golf courses that strong course comps can be found when you preview the Wyndham Championship. Namely, TPC Sawgrass.

TPC Sawgrass and Sedgefield Country Club display some of the strongest correlations between two golf courses you will ever see.

To put the links in perspective, digest this fact for a moment. One third of all winners have won at both The Players Championship and the Wyndham Championship. Davis Love, Webb Simpson, Henrik Stenson, Si Woo Kim and Sergio Garcia have all won across both golf courses. Brian Harman won two junior events here in 2002 and 2003, finishing runner-up behind Scottie Scheffler in The Players earlier this season. You can go further and look at an even greater number who hold Top 5s across both events.

Another Pete Dye design, Harbour Town, is also a good guide. Carl Pettersson and Webb Simpson won at both. Davis Love, Kisner, and Si Woo were runner-up there. It asks similar questions, with a positional golf course where angles into small greens dictate that not only finding the fairways is important but precisely where in the fairway you are.

Additionally, you can look to a couple of recent TPC courses for guidance. Those are TPC River Highlands, host of the Travelers Championship, and TPC Deere Run, of the John Deere Classic. There are strong leaderboard correlations here. Both also have the added benefit of providing some indication of recent form when you preview the Wyndham Championship field. They also both often require low scoring to win, as is so often the case at the Wyndham Championship.

Hurricane Debby & the Wyndham Championship

With former Hurricane Debby looming large this week, weather will inevitably be a substantial conversation for many this week.

I always find it entertaining when the entire golf industry become fixated on the weather. Golf is perhaps the sport most exposed to the elements. It baffles me that you could ever consider betting on a golf tournament without first factoring in what influence the weather may have. We always make weather a large factor in our considerations, especially for DFS and golf betting purposes.

It frustrates me that the PGA Tour, and sporting organizations in general, don’t make some of these calls earlier. The forecast is abundantly clear and Hurricane Debby is a significant weather event. Had an early call been made, a round could have been completed on Wednesday or Thursday postponed already. That would provide all concerned some certainty of what to expect and when.

Wyndham Championship Weather Preview and Predictions

I will make some predictions here, some bolder than others.

First, there will be no play on Thursday afternoon. Further, I wouldn’t be surprised if there is no golf at all on Thursday. Friday morning could also be delayed, with heavy rains and high winds still predicted. There will likely also be time required to clear the golf course of any debris and deal with the amount of water predicted to fall. Current predictions are 4 to 6 inches of rain.

For tee-times, that would mean Thursday AM would become late Friday AM/Friday PM. Thursday PM would then first tee-off Friday PM, possibly finishing on Saturday morning. The weather on the weekend looks much better.

Do we get a full 72 hole tournament at the Wyndham Championship? As I have watched the forecast developing, I think probably not. The PGA Tour will be torn between giving those on the cusp of qualification for the FedEx Cup playoffs their best chance of doing so, yet not compromising the lead-up to that prestigious event.

I believe the tournament will be a Monday finish regardless, as I do not see them extending into Tuesday which is the last possible day for play. The question then becomes whether the weather allows for 72 holes to be completed within that timeframe.

Weather plays a big factor with Hurricane Debby looming large over our Wyndham Championship preview

Wyndham Championship Potential Weather Wave

For DFS purposes, I think it is almost guaranteed some form of substantial weather wave develops. One group of golfers is simply going to get the best of it here. I would recommend you build line-ups in both directions to cover the wide range of inevitabilities possible.

My personal view is that Thursday PM tee-times would be desirable. That is likely going to be contrarian to the majority of takes you will read this week. That is because Thursday afternoon forecasts to be the worst weather from our Wyndham Championship preview. However, it is my position that the weather will be so bad that play simply won’t be possible.

It reminds me a little for The Players Championship in 2022. The general public saw the heavier winds forecast for the afternoon, and all played the morning golfers. We took the opposite route, citing thunderstorms in the afternoon likely to delay play. We were correct, seeing a huge weather wave advantage develop for those who barely had to play on Thursday, and a huge amount of leverage for DFS and golf betting.

Wyndham Championship Preview Golf Betting Tips

Thank you for reading our preview and tournament analysis of the 2024 Wyndham Championship.

If you want to read my golf betting tips for the Wyndham Championshipyou can preview these in the WinDaily Premium Discord here.

Find my Profit and Loss Tracker for 2022, 2023, and 2024 here.
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Each day we will be displaying the players and props that show the highest win rates of their current prop line at the time of posting. For example, if a player is listed with a win rate of 90% on “over 1.5 hits,” that means that in 9 out of the last 10 games they went over 1.5 hits. We’re doing some of the legwork for you, but it doesn’t mean that we’re suggesting to bet all of these. You still need to factor in match ups and other relevant information, and keep in mind that the hit rate is based on the current line at the time of posting, and is subject to change.

These are the highest percentage win rates of the top MLB player props today.

These are the highest rated win rates over the past 10 games but to see the highest edges based on our proprietary player projections click here.

Now to see the hand selected MLB player prop bets from our betting pros check them out here.

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Hump Day!  That’s right, it’s Wednesday and that means we’ll have a couple of different slates to play with.  I’ll be focused on the 7-game main slate of MLB DFS starting at 7 pm EST.  This slate is top-heavy with lefty aces.  We have Sale, Ragans, and Skubal on the hill tonight in what looks to be pretty tough matchups.  At the bottom of the barrel, we’ll also have some really great spots for offense. 


Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

This is a tough slate for pitching.  Even though we have some studs on the mount in Sale and Skubal, they are in incredibly tough matchups.  The matchup with the Brewers for Sale is a tough one.  Over the last 30 days, the Brewers have struck out just 20% of the time vs. lefties.  They also have a wOBA of .355.  This really lowers the ceiling for the most expensive pitcher on the slate.  I am more than likely out on him. 

Next up is Skubal.  Earlier in the year, pitchers vs. the Mariners were a guarantee.  Not anymore, and especially not with some of the additions they made.  This is a much deeper lineup than it was a few weeks ago, even with Julio out.  Again, this is a matchup that lowers the ceiling of Skubal and he’s priced just behind Sale.  I’m not saying that these 2 aren’t in play, just that the matchup on paper isn’t great and they will have lower ceilings than normal. 

Cole Ragans ($9k on DK) vs. Boston Red Sox

This too isn’t the easiest of matchups as the Red Sox can put up a bunch of runs in a heartbeat.  That said, they are an extremely high strike-out team vs. lefties and they’re facing a lefty that can strike some people out, as evidenced by his 25% K rate over the last month.  This Red Sox lineup has 4 guys in it that have K rates well over 30% vs. lefties over the last month. 

If we dial that back to 25%, that would be 7 of the 9 guys.  Everyone in this lineup has power against lefties, but they have to be able to hit the ball in order to hit for power.  With this matchup and Ragan’s K ability, an 8 K game giving up 2-3 runs is very much in play and at a $9k salary would still hit value nicely.   

Freddy Peralta ($8.5k on DK) vs. Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves are really struggling right now.  They were completely dominated by Colin Rea last night as he went on to throw 7 shutout innings and strike out 9 Braves.  The game before that, they were shut out by the Marlins as Edward Cabrera went 5 innings and struck out 8. They are lost at the plate and we can attack them tonight with Freddy Peralta. 

The big concern for Freddy P is that he just throws a ton of pitches and that causes him to rarely go past 6 innings.  That said, his price is the lowest I’ve seen this season and with this matchup, he should easily outperform the $8.5k salary.  He faced the Braves a week ago and struck out 7 in 6 innings.  A repeat performance is not out of the question.

Other pitchers that I’ll be interested in will be Taj Bradley vs. St. Louis, George Kirby vs. Detroit, and Erick Fedde vs.  Tampa. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Kansas City Royals vs. Kutter Crawford

Kutter Crawford is in the midst of a brutal stretch of pitching.  Over his last 3 games, he’s allowed 16 ER and a mind-boggling 12 homers.  This isn’t the first stretch this season where he’s been like this.  There was also a stretch back in May/June that saw him give up 15 ER over 3 games as well so this is not necessarily an anomaly or bad luck. He’s someone that will have lapses in quality pitching and that’s what we’re seeing right now. 

It’s not going to get much easier for him today as he’s facing off against a strong lineup in the Royals.  The Royals have been pretty solid against righties this season as they have a .167 ISO vs. them and a .730 OPS.  I’m not going to be overly concerned about splits here as both righties and lefties have had almost identical numbers vs. him this season.  That said, lefties have a .591 ISO and a .528 wOBA vs. him over the last month.  Both are laughable numbers.

That means our good old friend Vinnie Pasquantino will be my priority here.  He continues to lead this offense, not letting Bobby Witt overshadow him.  Over the last week, Vinnie has 12 hits and has also driven in 13 runs.  He’s been in double-digit DK points in 6 of his last 7 games and that should continue this evening. 

I’ll also look to both MJ Melendez and Michael Massey here.  As is always the case, Witt is 100% in play if you have the cash lying around for him.  Other bats I like here are Hunter Renfroe and Freddy Fermin.  Both guys are hot at the plate right now. 

Baltimore Oriole vs. Bowden Francis

The Orioles burned us last night but the great thing about DFS is that we get to start all over again.  Chris Bassitt was brilliant last night, there’s no other way to put it.  He had command of all his pitchers and left the Orioles off balance all game long.  Kudos to him.  Today should be different.  The Blue Jays will turn the ball over to Bowden Francis this evening.  He’s appeared in 18 games so far this season and has started in 4 games. 

This season has been a real struggle for him.  Compared to his first full season in the bigs, his K’s are way down, his walks are way up, and his HR/9 are nearly double.  In just 44 innings of work, he’s already given up 10 bombs and has an ERA that’s pushing 6.

I said it yesterday and I’ll keep saying, Jackson Holliday looks like a completely different player than he was during his first call up. He looks way more confident and his swing looks way better.  He has hits in all but one game since his call up and has already homered 3 times over the last week.  He’s still super cheap at $3.2k, but that will change so we need to take advantage of it now. 

After Holliday, I’ll get guys like Santander, Henderson, Mountcastle, and Mullins.  Adley has been quiet for what feels like months, but he has started to put together better AB.  It’s only a matter of time before he breaks back through with a monster game. 

Other stacks I like tonight will be both sides of the Coors game, Dodgers vs. Tyler Phillips, and the Blue Jays vs. Trevor Rogers.  If you’re looking for a one-off play, Guerrero’s numbers vs. lefties over the last month are video game like.  He has a .857 ISO and a .829 wOBA.  I’ll be putting some money on him to homer tonight. 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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The Wyndham Championship, a premier event on the PGA Tour, returns this week to the historic Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. As the final regular-season tournament before the FedExCup Playoffs, it promises to be a thrilling contest, featuring a mix of seasoned veterans and emerging talents all vying for critical FedExCup points.

Sedgefield Country Club, a Donald Ross-designed course, is renowned for its challenging layout and pristine conditions, demanding precision and strategic play. Players will need to navigate its undulating fairways, treacherous bunkers, and fast, undulating greens to contend for the title.

Defending champion, Tom Kim, from the field this week following a competitive 8th placed finish at the Olympic Games. However, the field includes former winners and high-ranking players eager to secure their positions in the playoffs. Eyes will also be on local favorites and those on the bubble, as they strive to extend their seasons and make a mark on this storied tournament.

With its rich history and the high stakes of playoff qualification, the Wyndham Championship is set to deliver a captivating week of golf, showcasing the sport’s top talents and the drama of the FedExCup race.

Here are Win Daily Sports Experts’ picks for this week’s tourney:

.
David
Bieleski
Sia
Nejad
Spencer
Aguiar
Steven
Polardi

StixPicks
Outright WinnerAll E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord for staking plan and odds

Si Woo Kim
Horschel
Harman
Perez
C.T. Pan
Blair
Horschel
Cam Davis
Vegas
Sungjae
Harman
Bezuidenhout
Cole
Silverman
Rai
Harman
Rai
Svensson
Power
English
Cam Davis
Top Finishes MarketsTop 20
Harman
Perez
C.T. Pan
Blair

Top 40
Blair
Kohles
Griffin
Cole
NeSmith
Match-UpsJT Poston over Van Rooyen (-115 FD)
Bradley over Thompson (+120 B365)
Thomas Detry over Robert MacIntyre
First-Round LeaderAll E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord for staking plan and odds

Si Woo Kim
Horschel
Harman
C.T. Pan
Sungjae Im
Eric Cole
Mac Meissner
Ben Griffin
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Brian Harman
NeSmith
Poston
SW Kim
DFS Plays I ❤️ Lowry
Bradley
English
Vegas
C.T. Pan
Harman
Horschel
Cole
English
English
Power
Svensson
DFS Chalk I'm playingSungjae
Horschel
Si Woo
Harman
McCarthy
Perez
Brian Harman
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Rai
IM
S W Kim
Rai
Harman
DFS Chalk I'm fadingThompson
Bhatia
Rai
Bezuidenhout
Cole
Akshay BhatiaLowryBezuidenhout
Sungjae Im

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Bet365 has been mandated to refund more than $500,000 to winning bettors in New Jersey after paying them at less favorable odds for nearly three years.

In a July letter to the company’s legal counsel, the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (NJDGE) gave bet365 until August 1 to reimburse $519,323.32 to 199 New Jersey customers. An audit revealed that the company had “unilaterally revised odds for a significant number of wagers over an extended period of time.”

Neither bet365 nor the NJDGE immediately responded to inquiries about whether customers have been repaid.

In its defense, the company stated that the odds posted were “an obvious error,” a situation where most states allow sportsbooks to adjust payouts. However, New Jersey requires sportsbooks to obtain approval from the regulator first, which bet365 failed to do.

The NJDGE highlighted this requirement in their letter, stating, “bet365 failed, in all instances, to recognize that although bet365’s House Rules were approved by the Division, it was with an express statement and caveat that bet365 was prohibited from voiding any wager without prior Division approval, as is the standard course in Division approval of House Rules and as is set forth in Division regulation N.J.A.C. 13:169N-1.11(d).”

The letter continued, “Moreover, as a sports wagering provider participating in New Jersey’s gaming industry, bet365 is charged with knowledge of the gaming laws, including the Division’s regulation barring unilateral voiding of wagers by operators without the express authorization of the Division.”

The source of these errors remains unclear, as the 13 affected bets covered a variety of sports, leagues, and wager types over a significant time frame. The events ranged from December 2020 to April 2023 and included markets such as table tennis, NFL football, college basketball futures, and golf.

Alongside the payouts, bet365 is required to submit a comprehensive report by August 11 detailing its efforts to identify and rectify failures in its internal software systems and manual trading errors, and to ensure the accuracy of its data feed.

By addressing these issues, bet365 aims to prevent similar incidents in the future and maintain the integrity of its operations within the highly regulated New Jersey sports betting market.

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Penn Entertainment is set to deliver one of the most anticipated earnings reports this quarter as it navigates investor pressure while ramping up ESPN Bet ahead of its first full NFL betting season.

Penn will announce its second-quarter results at 7 a.m. ET on August 8, followed by an earnings call at 9 a.m. ET.

Investors have been eagerly awaiting a business turnaround since Penn swapped out Barstool for ESPN Bet last summer. The impatience is evident, as the stock saw nearly a 20% jump following a critical letter from a key shareholder questioning company strategy and leadership. However, some believe the upcoming football season could help the app achieve key milestones.

Online gaming revenue was significantly down in Q1, missing both Wall Street estimates and Penn’s prior guidance. The app’s lackluster financials have overshadowed Penn’s retail business, though CEO Jay Snowden has urged investors to have faith in his long-term plan.

Upcoming product changes for ESPN Bet ahead of football season include integration with ESPN’s extensive media assets, a standalone iGaming app, and expanded same-game parlay offerings. These enhancements were a major reason for committing up to $2 billion to ESPN over the next decade, a plan announced during the last earnings call.

Since then, Penn has laid off as many as 100 employees, including some involved in those product changes. Despite this, Snowden maintains that ESPN Bet is “well-positioned.”

Aaron LaBerge, former ESPN Chief Technology Officer, took over the interactive division in July, shortly before the layoffs. In a recent LinkedIn post, he highlighted improvements made to theScore. He or Snowden is expected to provide further insights into ongoing product refinements.

ESPN Bet has also faced challenges due to a significant drop in promotions since its launch in 18 states, resulting in an 11% decrease in users last quarter. However, with the football season approaching and plans to launch in New York, promotions are likely to increase.

According to Snowden, ESPN Bet would have performed better last quarter if bettors had not been as successful. The particularly unfavorable quarter of sports outcomes impacted the entire industry, with Penn’s 4.4% hold among the worst. Despite this, handle was nearly double compared to Q1 2023.

As of April, ESPN Bet was holding at 8.5%, a level Penn guided investors to expect for the rest of Q2. The ability to sustain increased betting activity in typically slow Q2 could be crucial for Penn’s online gaming revenue story, along with the hold rate.

Early handle reports, however, have been less encouraging. According to Citizens JMP Securities, ESPN Bet ranked sixth in second-quarter handle share at 3.2%, down from 4.7% in the first quarter, though this did not include key states like Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio reporting June figures.

Management will likely face questions about the letter from Donerail Group, prompted by poor sports betting results.

Boyd’s appointment of a director with a history of financing and advisory roles has fueled speculation about Penn’s rival as a potential buyer. A report from TheDeal.com suggests that FanDuel parent Flutter could potentially acquire Penn’s betting app assets if a sale occurs.

Snowden has remained silent on the letter, and Disney has provided little insight into its partnership with Penn. Investors are keen to know what would happen to ESPN Bet if Penn sells, as it could have significant ramifications across the industry.

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Stacking is a common, profitable strategy for best ball drafts. Matching your QBs with their WRs, TEs, and occasionally their RBs will lead to higher weekly point totals. In DraftKings 20 round drafts, I am taking 2, sometimes 3 QBs, and almost always looking to pair them with their pass catchers. The reasoning is that when your QB has a great week, it is more than likely that 1 or maybe 2 of his pass catchers does as well. For example, if my first 3 WRs are Puka Nacua, Nico Collins, and Deebo Samuel, I will be looking to draft Matt Stafford, CJ Stroud, and/or Brock Purdy. You want to place a higher priority on stacking your WR1 & 2, because they will score your most points and are most important to your overall finish. For example, if I draft George Pickens as my WR3, although I love him as a best ball pick, I am probably not drafting Russell Wilson. Not even if there’s a fire. 

Top 5 Stacks I am Targeting:

Dallas Cowboys: In the 2023 season the Cowboys ranked 4th in pass rate and Dak Prescott had his best season as a pro, finishing as fantasy’s QB3. Not much off-season changes were made, besides turning Tony Pollard into Ezekiel Elliott. This downgrade in rushing attack will only increase their tendency to passing. I will be looking to pair my Lamb teams with Dak 100% of the time. Their spike weeks are too juicy to pass up. Taking Brandin Cooks and Jake Ferguson in the middle rounds are other great pairing options. I believe their target tree will be condensed to these 3. Maybe you want to take a gamble on third year WR Jalen Tolbert at the end of your drafts. I would be fine with that. Reports from training camp have been very positive so far this summer. But don’t overthink this one. Dak’s current ADP of 77 is in Round 7, giving your plenty of time to load up on WRs/RBs/elite TE beforehand. 

Detroit Lions: Coming off an NFC championship heartbreaker, the Detroit Lions should be heading into the 2024 season hungrier than any other team. With Pro Bowl and All-Pro players scattered throughout their offense, I cannot think of any reason why the Lions won’t be as good, if not better than last season. Stacking Goff with Gibbs, Laporta, Amon-Ra, and/or Jameson Williams will pay dividends this season. I may be slightly biased, as my finalist team from last year rostered 4 Lions, but I try to keep my emotions out of it. Further proof, you won’t see the New York Jets in this article. What makes this even easier is that Goff has an ADP of 105, making him the QB13. His rushing ability is zilch, but with the 300-yard passing bonus on Draft Kings, I am willing to take my chances. You will have to pay the price on ARSB (ADP: 5.2) and Laporta (ADP: 31.5), but there’s a reason for that. Teams looking to double stack these two should take a zero RB approach, going ARSB-WR-Laporta in the first 3 rounds. They will play 11 of their 17 games in a dome, which is where Goff plays his best. Fun fact, of all the 2023 DraftKings finalist teams, 3 of the top 6 most rostered players were Lions: ARSB (40.8%), Goff (33%), and LaPorta (30.4%).

Jacksonville Jaguars: Gut check: Trevor Lawrence will have his best season as a pro in 2024. With a 6-month-old and recently curated Dadbod, my gut feelings have been way more accurately lately. I’m willing to bet on that gut check, by being overweight on Christian Kirk, Evan Engram, and rookie Brian Thomas. Gabe Davis is perfect for best ball, as many know from his Buffalo Bills days of alternating weeks of 0 and 20+ fantasy points. He failed to breakout with the Bills, but I will have some Gabe shares on my Jags’ teams. My favorite aspect of a Jags stack is their first WR, Christian Kirk, gets drafted in round 4. This allows you to potentially build two top stacks, with the Jags as your secondary stack. Lawrence’s ADP of 117 (round 10) is very reasonable, and I am willing to pay the price. 

Philadelphia Eagles: For the fourth time in the last 5 years the Eagles have changed offensive coordinators as they turn to Casey Affleck’s look-alike Kellen Moore to lead Jalen Hurts and company. The Eagles have a very condensed target tree to just three pass catchers: AJ, Devonta, and Goedert. Saquon will vulture rushing TDs away from Hurts, and the retirement of Jason Kelce will lead to less Tush-Push plays at the goal line. But instead of round 2-3, this year Hurts costs a 4th round pick. I will have plenty of Eagles this year as I expect their offense to soar once again. I won’t be stacking Saquon & Hurts, because they are negatively correlated. I expect to have a lot more Hurts than Saquon. 

San Francisco 49ers: Equipped with a Pro Bowler at every skill position, the 49ers return almost everyone from last season, including using a first-round pick on WR Ricky Pearsall. The trade demand and potential holdout of Brandon Aiyuk has not changed his ADP. Yet. He did report to training camp and is not practicing, otherwise known as a “hold-in”. If this continues into the summer, I do expect his ADP to drop some, but the 49ers hold all the leverage as he is playing on his 5th year team option. The 49ers are a Super Bowl contender, and their window might be closing with Purdy due a big payday. I do expect Aiyuk to be a 49er this year, and I am willing to stack Purdy with CMC, Deebo, Aiyuk, Kittle, and a late-round Pearsall. 

Next 8 Favorite Stacks:

KC Chiefs: The Chiefs brought in reinforcements into what arguably was their weakest WR room during the Mahomes era. First round pick and 40-yard dash record holder, Xavier Worthy, joins up with Marquise Brown and Rashee Rice into what is finally a respectable WR corps. Travis Kelce is one year older, but his ADP dropped from a 1st round to a 3rd round pick. And his metrics still reflect elite TE numbers. I have heard contradictive reports on when Rice’s suspension will start, but this risk is already baked into his 5-6th round ADP. If we knew today that Rice would not miss any games, he probably moves into the 3rd round. This story will have the biggest effect on ADP of any other player in this year’s early rounds. 

Houston Texans: Coming off an NFL record breaking rookie season, CJ Stroud might be even better in year 2. The Texans brought in veterans Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon, to improve an already elite NFL offense. Stroud’s lack of rushing ability might hurt his upside, but he’s equipped with 3 elite WRs. Nico (round 2), Diggs (round 3-4), Tank (round 4), and Stroud (round 5) are all expensive. I have a hard time deciphering who will be second on this team in targets. Diggs’ contract was restructured so he can be a free agent after this year, so he has every incentive to ball out and earn one more lucrative contract. Over his last 10 games last season, Diggs mustered only 3 double-digit scoring weeks. They were: 19.4, 15,7, and 12.2. The numbers are not impressive. The question is: was this due to signs of aging OR a disgruntled Prima donna wide receiver? You be the judge. Either way I will have plenty of Texans stacks in this years’ drafts. 

Green Bay Packers: Remember when everyone laughed their ass off in 2020 when the Packers drafted Jordan Love 26th overall? Seems so long ago. Flash forward 4 years and you are looking at the NFL’s highest paid player. Love threw for 4,625 yards and 37 TDs last year as a first-time starter. What looked like a crappy, young, inexperienced WR rooms, now looks like a young, fast, promising group of scholarly gentlemen. They are the ONLY team I am willing to take any of their 4 WRs: Watson, Reed, Doubs, or Wicks. Coach Lafleur recently drew comparisons of Davante Adams when talking to reporters about Dontayvion Wicks, who as of writing sits 4th on their depth chart. My only concern with their WR room is that are only so many targets to go around. Fun fact from last season, in 2 WR sets, Jayden Reed ran a route on 2 plays. Yes you read that correctly, your eyes work just fine. But when Reed was on the field he was targeted often. He also added 128 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs to boot. After the week 13 annual Watson hamstring injury, Green Bay found ways to get him the ball and Reed flourished. 

Chicago Bears: Caleb Williams steps into what is probably the best situation out of any #1 overall pick in NFL history. After trading for Keenan Allen and drafting Rome Odunze at #9, the Bears boast 3 elite pass catchers. I am way behind the ranks on Odunze (ADP: 82), as I feel his price is too expensive, given the number of targets that DJ Moore and Keenan Allen will demand. But his talent is undeniable. Generally, I am underweight on rookie QBs, but I won’t be on Caleb (ADP:107). I am willing to overlook his propensity for pink nail polish while drafting this summer.  

Cincinnati Bengals: Tee Higgins will be the death of me. My Bengals write-up could stop right there, but I will continue. The Bengals were a big disappointment last season after they got off to a slow start followed by the Joe Burrow injury. This year they come back healthy with a very strong OL. Andrei Iosivas is having a strong camp and is projected to be the slot WR. The Bengals have shown that they are able to support 3 fantasy relevant WRs, and Iosivas has been a favorite late round target of mine. It is important to stay on top of camp news, as the Bengals used a 3rd round pick on Jermaine Burton, and he could supplant Iosivas when all is said and done. Mike Gesicki comes in as the starting TE, and I am drafting him only in my Burrow stacks. 

Arizona Cardinals: Marvin Harrison steps into the NFL as arguably the most NFL ready WR prospect. Trey McBride had a breakout season in 2023 and is sure to be #2 on his team in targets. I’m happy to add a late round Michael Wilson onto my Cardinals’ stacks as he projects as the WR2 ahead of Zay Jones. Their defense is atrocious and can’t stop a nosebleed. Their offense will need to throw often to stay in games. Heavy volume, top 2 target tree, give me all the Kyle, MHJR and McBride this year. 

Los Angeles Rams: Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are hungry. Matthew Stafford will feed them both. I also don’t mind a 16th round Demarcus Robinson or an 18th round Colby Parkinson. In Weeks 13-17 of last season, Demarcus scored a TD in every game but one and topped double digit fantasy points every week. I mean WRs usually hit their prime at age 29. Am I right? My favorite part of the Rams stack is they face off at home against Arizona in Week 17 when all the money is on the line. When drafting 10th-12th overall I am looking to pair Puka with Marvin Harrison Jr for Week 17 correlation. Very similar to last year’s chalk championship pairing of ARSB and CeeDee Lamb. 

Miami Dolphins: There was a time last season when every DFS player was petrified to fade Tyreek Hill. He was having 100-yard games and doing backflips by halftime. Being rated the #1 NFL player in the annual 100 best players’ list just shows how much defenses fear him. He is lightning in a bottle and has shown no signs of aging. If I have a top 3 pick this summer, regardless of the format, they are 100% CMC, CeeDee Lamb, and Tyreke Hill. Jaylen Waddle only scored 4 TDs last season. He is due for some positive TD regression. I will even have some shares of OBJ. Not to be confused with LBJ which is Spanish for blow job. Achane reported to camp in great shape and is a great receiving option out of the backfield. Tua lacks rushing upside but should once again pass for close to 5K yards. Jonnu Smith put himself back on the fantasy map last season by vulturing touchdowns from Kyle Pitts. I am willing to draft him in my Miami stacks.

5 Stacks I am Avoiding:

Washington Commanders: Washington had a complete overhaul this off-season with their ownership and coaching. Not only that but they are starting a rookie QB Week 1 behind what will arguably be the league’s worst offensive line. Although I do believe Jayden Daniels has potential to be a great NFL QB, and his rushing ability as a dual threat QB is enticing, I am not buying him at his price. I will have some shares of McLaurin and Dotson, especially in bring-backs with my Atlanta stacks, but this will be the NFC East’s last place team. 

Pittsburgh Steelers: Before firing Matt Canada in the 2023 season, the last time the Pittsburgh Steelers fired a coordinator in-season was in 1941, when the team dismissed their offensive coordinator, Jock Sutherland. No relation to Kiefer. That is how bad the Steelers offense was last season. In comes Arthur Smith. What does Arthur Smith love? Running the god damn ball. I will have some shares of George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth. And I do like me some Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris. But I will be staying away from Russ or Fields. *Disclaimer: If Steelers trade for Brandon Aiyuk, I will flirt with the idea of a late-round Fields. 

New England Patriots: Rookie head coach. Check. Worst wide receiver room in the league. Check. Jacoby Brissett and a not-NFL-ready rookie QB behind him. Check. Laughing my ass off during the Tom Brady roast. Check. Me being a diehard lifelong Jets fan. Check. New Englanders smelling like wet feet and spoiled clam chowder. Check.

Minnesota Vikings: One of my favorite teams to stack last season comes into this season with a remade QB room, a looming suspension for WR2 Jordan Addison, and an elite TE recovering from late-season ACL surgery. My love for Justin Jefferson has grown after watching “Receiver” on Netflix, but my resentment for Sam Darnold still burns strong. I will happily draft Justin Jefferson in the middle of the first round without second thought. And I guess you can make an argument for drafting Darnold or McCarthy as your QB3 in the last few rounds of drafts. But this a team that is not going to compete this year. Detroit, Green Bay, and Chicago have far better rosters. 

Carolina Panthers: Bryce Young was bad last year. Inaccurate, inconsistent, and inept are three -in adjectives that I can use to accurately describe his rookie season. Carolina beefed up the interior of their OL this offseason, signaling they are going to pound the rock. Drafting Jonathan Brooks in the second round and bringing back one of my favorite late-round RB targets from last year, Chuba Hubbard, Carolina will look to win games by running the ball, not turning the ball over, and playing good defense. Sure, I will have some shares of Adam “Ageless” Theilen and Diontae Johnson, but Bryce Young is an avoid for me. 

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