There is only one way to describe #TheOpen. What a week!
Our resident golf analyst and man from the future, David Bieleski (@deepdivegolf), was on absolute fire once again.
He notched up his most profitable week of the season so far!
That takes his 2024 ROI to a whopping +14%.
The 3M Open returns to Minnesota, bringing another thrilling 2024 PGA TOUR contest to the renowned TPC Twin Cities. This year’s event, featuring favorites like Tony Finau, Sam Burns, and Sahith Theegala, promises intense competition and exciting golf action. Unlike the recent links challenges overseas, TPC Twin Cities offers a parkland golf experience with tree-lined fairways, grown-out rough, and ample water hazards. This course, a quintessential TPC layout, provides a balanced mix of birdie opportunities and strategic challenges, rewarding players with control off the tee and precision on its expansive greens. As the 3M Open resumes, golf enthusiasts and bettors alike can look forward to captivating play and potential high payouts.
Here are Win Daily Experts’ picks for this week’s tourney.
.  David Bieleski |  Sia Nejad |  Spencer Aguiar |  Joel Schreck |  Steven Polardi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outright Winner | All E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord for staking plan and odds Van Rooyen Hadwin Kitayama Vegas Ghim Yu Merritt | Clanton Mitchell Poston Griffin Kohles | Keith Mitchell Keegan Bradley Austin Eckroat | Finau Bhatia Vegas | Poston Finau |
| Top Finishes Markets | Top 20 Van Rooyen Hadwin Kitayama Vegas Ghim Kevin Yu Merritt Top 40 Merritt | Top 30 Grillo Hodges Top 40 Silverman Phillips Kohles | Doug Ghim | Top 30 Mitchell Davis Pendrith Novak | Top 10 Finau Top 20 Cam Davis Carson Young Springer Novak |
| Match-Ups | Kevin Yu over Thorbjornsen (-140 FD) Kitayama over Poston (+100 FD) Ghim over Hall (-159 Unibet) | ||||
| First-Round Leader | All E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord for staking plan and odds Finau 28/1 Davis 50/1 Hoge 50/1 Hadwin 60/1 Yu 80/1 | Mitchell 50/1 Dunlap 50/1 Griffin 60/1 Hodges 70/1 Phillips 100/1 Kohles 110/1 | Bhatia 40/1 Hoge 50/1 Bradley 50/1 Yu 80/1 Berger 100/1 | Vegas Finau Davis Berger | EVR Grillo Silverman |
| DFS Plays I ❤️ | Pendrith Dunlap Rodgers Hadwin Kitayama Stevens Vegas Yu Merritt Reavie | JT Poston Chandler Phillips Ben Kohles | Chan Kim Doug Ghim Kevin Yu | Kevin Yu Vegas Eckroat Mitchell Novak Chan Kim Hoey | Dunlap Stevens Silverman Carson Young |
| DFS Chalk I'm playing | Finau Bhatia Davis Hoge Van Rooyen Ghim Eckroat | Austin Eckroat Ketih Mitchell | Finau Bhatia Chan Kim Hoey | Finau Poston | |
| DFS Chalk I'm fading | Grillo Hodges Ben Griffin Power Putnam | Theegala | Emiliano Grillo | Clanton Ben Griffin | Bhatia |
Taco Tuesday! It’s Tuesday and that means we have ourselves a large slate of MLB DFS. Tonight, we’ll have 11 games to navigate through. This slate brings us a pitcher with a rebirth type of season and a young gun that will more than likely be limited due to being on the trade block. We also have another shot at Coors and also some really solid spots for bats.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
I will more than likely only spend up on one pitcher tonight. The choice for me will be to go with either Chris Sale or Logan Gilbert. While Chris Sale is the pitcher who has more upside in most outings, I’m siding with Gilbert tonight. The Angels are a whole lot easier of a matchup than the Reds are. Over the last 2 2 weeks, the Angels have scored just 38 runs compared to the 58 of the Reds.
What Gilbert lacks in the K department, he should make up for in the length department tonight as this is just a bad Angels team. Gilbert for his part has pitched really well of late, with a 3.12 ERA and a nearly 26% K rate over the last month. He’s gotten up into the 30 DK point territory in 3 of his last 6 outings, with one of those against these same Los Angeles Angels. He’s my SP1 tonight, with Chris Sale right behind him.
This pick isn’t for the faint of heart. Jon Gray has been terrible over the last month or so, with an 8.4 ERA and an xFIP and SIERA that are equally as high. I’m going to cut him a bit of slack though as he’s faced some stiff competition in the Orioles twice and the Padres once.
A few weeks ago he did put up a 22-point gem vs. the Royals and I think he has that type of upside tonight. Last night Michael Lorenzen threw an 8-K outing against this same White Sox team. If Lorenzen can silence the Sox, I don’t see why Gray can’t. He’s risky but for GPP’s in this type of matchup, I do think he has some upside.
Other pitchers that I do like tonight are going to be the aforementioned Chris Sale vs. the Reds, Zack Wheeler against a tough Minnesota Twins lineup, Jameson Taillon vs. a struggling Brewers lineup, and Luis Gil vs. the Mets. I want to touch on Garrett Crochet for a second. In his last outing, it was mentioned that they were going to start to monitor his innings and he went on to pitch just 2 innings. Under normal circumstances, he’d be in the SP1 convo. But we don’t know how many innings he’s going to pitch, especially with him on the trading block and the deadline being next week.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Jordan Montgomery’s time with the Dbacks has not gone according to plan. Across his 13 starts, Montgomery has posted a 6.44 ERA. While he’s been a bit unlucky as he has an xFIP 2 runs lower, he’s still been terrible. His K/9 are at an all-time low and his BB/9 are the highest they have been since he wore pinstripes in 2018. He is just a shell of what he was in the playoffs last season and you have to wonder how much he’s regretting turning down that contract extension.
He’s going to have his hands full tonight as he’s facing off against a Royals team that has come out swinging since the All-Star Break. In the 4 games they’ve played, they’ve scored 27 runs. They’ll look to continue to add to that total tonight.
Core Bats: Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, Hunter Renfroe, Maikel Garcia
Secondary Bats: Vinnie Pasquantino
Value Bats: Garrett Hampson, Freddy Fermin, Dalton Blanco
I’m going back to the well with the Red Sox tonight. The Red Sox get a great matchup vs. a bad pitcher in Ty Blach. Blach is a career 5.21 ERA pitcher. There is nothing about him that should scare hitters, at least if you’re a righty. Blach has now been in the big leagues since 2016 and hasn’t had a season with an ERA under 5 since back in 2018. While both sides of the plate have done damage against him in his career, it’s really the righties that we want to focus on.
They have a .369 wOBA vs. him and an OPS of .867. In 2024, that OPS against righties has ballooned up to nearly 1.000. 48 of the 63 homers he’s allowed in his career have been to righties. The Red Sox should be able to throw out 6 righties tonight, making this a really tough matchup for Blach.
Core Bats: Tyler O’Neill, Rob Refsnyder, Romy Gonzalez, Ceddanne Rafaela
Secondary Bats: Rafael Devers, Jarren Duran
Value Bats: Dominic Smith, Masataka Yoshida
Other stacks I like today will be the surging Oakland A’s (they have some strong value), Dodgers vs. Jordan Hicks, Rays vs. Jose Berrios, Dbacks vs. Alec Marsh, and Yankees vs. Jose Quintana
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