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July 10, 2024

Welcome to the Scottish Open Ownership Projections brought to you by Win Daily Sports. We are across the pond this week with a pretty healthy roster. Last week we had a golfer that hadn’t played a PGA event since 1998. He finished +14. Shocking. What’s not shocking is our own Deep Dive Dave covers the Euro tours and has turned them into serious moneymakers for the Win Daily Family. The Scottish Open Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.

Win Daily Sports golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The PGA Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

Everyone will be here except Scottie and a couple of other higher ranked golfers. We have not only an elite PGA roster, we also have some of the best DP World Tour members. Make sure you stay on top of the weather this week. So far in our pool we have the following golfers, Xander, Mori, T Kim, Aberg, Fitz, Rai, Clark, EVR, Detry, McKibbin, N Hojgaard, j Smith, Griffin, Taylor, Ferguson and Southgate.

Others will be added once ownership is projected.

Recent Results

THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week our Frisky Biscuit missed the cut. Our Frisky Biscuit record is now 31-8 for a 5-6K golfer at 5% or under ownership to make the cut. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!

Whether to trust the Weather

The weather is going to be extremely important this week. It will mean the difference between -7 (windy) and -17 (calm) Stay tuned to Win Daily Sports Discord this evening for more comprehensive reports from Deep Dive Dave.

Let’s take a look at the Scottish Open Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTIONOWN %SALARY
McIlroy, Rory31.411900
Schauffele, Xander29.811700
Aberg, Ludvig25.210500
Morikawa, Collin21.910300
Fleetwood, Tommy21.69900
Hovland, Viktor18.49700
Lee, Min Woo17.99200
Kim, Tom 17.39500
Rai, Aaron16.78300
An, Byeong14.27600
MacIntyre, Robert 13.47800
Clark, Wyndham13.38100
Matsuyama, Hideki13.29400
Thompson, Davis 13.17900
Fitzpatrick, Mathew12.99000
Im, Sungjae12.48500
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan12.27500
Homa, Max11.87700
Thomas, Justin11.68800
Detry,Thomas 11.67200
Conners, Corey10.98900
Spieth, Jordan10.58000
Harman, Brian9.88600
Theegala, Sahith9.78200
Straka, Sepp8.87600
McKibbin, Tom8.77000
Pavon, Matthieu8.46900
Mitchell, Keith7.97300
Smith, Jordan7.76600
Hojgaard, Nicolai7.66800
Hoge, Tom7.57100
Kitayama, Kurt 6.46700
Ferguson, Ewen6.36700
Hojgaard, Rasmus6.26800
Van Rooyen, Erik6.07000
Fox, Ryan5.97100
Griffin, Ben5.86600
Power, Seamus5.76400
Kim, Si Woo5.67500
Wiesberger, Bernd5.46600
Scott,Adam5.37300
Noren, Alexander5.27400
McCarthy, Denny4.57400
Wallace, Matt4.46700
Perez, Victor 4.46300
Jordan, Matthew4.35900
Novak, Andrew4.26200
Valimaki,Sami 4.15700
Nakajima, Keita 4.06300
Cole, Eric3.76400
Migliozzi, Guido3.66000
Zalatoris,Will3.56900
Yu, Kevin 3.46300
Davis, Cameron3.46200
Moore, Taylor3.36100
Bjork, Alexander3.35600
Stevens, Sam3.26200
Crocker, Sean3.15500
Olesen, Thorbjorn2.96000
Hodges, Lee 2.86100
Syme, Conner 2.86000
Horschel, Billy2.77200
Fowler, Rickie2.76400
English, Harris2.66800
Fitzpatrick, Alex 2.65700
Hadwin, Adam2.46500
Hughes, Mackenzie2.36100
Hill, Calum2.25900
Langasque, Romain 2.25800
Hisatsune, Ryo2.16300
Guerrier, Julien2.15600
Canter, Laurie2.06100
Rose, Justin1.86500
Eckroat, Austin 1.66500
Southgate, Matthew1.65600
Glover, Lucas1.56200
Hubbard, Mark1.46500
Grillo, Emiliano1.46100
Taylor, Nick1.45900
Ghim, Doug1.36200
Hoshino, Rikuya1.36000
Lawrence, Thriston1.35800
Rozner, Antoine1.25600
Greyserman, Max1.25900
Schmid, Matti (Matthias)1.15900
Mansell, Richard1.06000
Lower, Justin0.95800
Svensson, Jesper0.95500
Todd, Brendon0.86100
Woodland, Gary0.85500
Putnam, Andrew0.76000
Riley, Davis 0.75900
Luiten, Joost0.75700
Gotterup, Christopher0.75600
Siem, Marcel0.75400
Shinkwin, Callum0.75300
Paul, Yannik0.65800
Phillips, Chandler0.65700
Nogaard, Niklas0.65700
Otaegui, Adrian 0.55800
Montgomery, Taylor0.55800
List, Luke0.55600
Norrman, Vincent0.55400
Lee, KH0.45700
Manassero, Matteo0.45700
Kohles, Ben0.45600
Li, Haotong0.45500
Sharma, Shubhankar0.45400
Forrest, Grant0.45300
Harrington, Padraig0.45300
Hillier, Daniel0.45200
Arnaus, Adri0.45200
Jamieson, Scott0.35600
Campillo, Jorge0.35500
Cink, Stewart0.35500
Lee, Junghwan0.35400
Hoffman, Charley0.25500
Garnett, Brice0.25400
Ramsay, Richie0.25400
Echavarria, Nico0.25300
Frittelli, Dylan0.25300
Law, David0.25200
Dantorp, Jens0.25100
Bradbury, Dan0.15400
Coussaud, Ugo0.15300
Cockerill, Aaron0.15300
Molinari, Francesco0.15200
Clements, Todd0.15100
Scrivener, Jason0.15100
Winther, Jeff0.15100
Larrazabal, Pablo0.05500
Elvira Mijares, Ignacio  (Nacho)0.05400
Katsuragawa, Yuto0.05300
Brown, Daniel0.05200
Park, Sang-Hyun0.05200
Donald, Luke0.05200
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech0.05200
Kieffer, Maximilian0.05200
Van Driel, Darius0.05100
De Jager, Louis0.05100
Baldwin, Matthew0.05100
Ham, Jeongwoo0.05100
Wu, Ashun0.05100
Kawamura, Masahiro0.05100
Armitage, Marcus0.05000
Tarrio, Santiago0.05000
Wilson, Oliver0.05000
Whitnell, Dale0.05000
Gumberg, Jordan0.05000
Forsstrom, Simon0.05000
Bachem, Nick0.05000
Long, Hurly0.05000
Strydom, Ockie0.05000
Rueck, Cole (a)0.05000
Gavins, Daniel0.05000

These Scottish Open Ownership Projections are accurate as of 6:09 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.

Our top pivots for leverage are: M. Fitzpatrick, Spieth, Fox, Wallace and Hubbard

My Picks for The Scottish Open

Top Tier: Rai, Xander

Mid Tier: MacIntyre

Low Tier: N. Hojgaard

Out in Left Play: N. Taylor

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Aberg

FR Leader: B An (Contrarian)

What to listen to

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, and 10, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.

What to Watch

Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the sometime surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave continues to produce winners. Stix Picks continues to pick outliers. They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel aka Draft Master Flex,. Last week Sia picked the outright and Dave had the outright and FRL the week before. Joel smacked everyone around and won last week. The key to his victory is that less golfers W/D on his team.

***** Parting Shots *****

The bell ringer Quasimodo has died so the church elders decide to interview replacements. After a bunch of turndowns, in walks a man with no limbs. One of the Cardinals snaps to and says, “Good sir, I am sorry but you don’t have the qualifications for this job.” You have to ring the bell over and over.” The odd man says, “forgive me your eminence, let me show you my skills.” He springs mightily from the floor and smashes the bell with his face. “My son” said the Cardinal, “you have to do it over and over.” The man springs again and hits the bell, then does it again. When he tries to spring up once more he slips from a water bucket spilled over, flies past the bell and out the window, and 11 floors later splats on the ground. The Cardinal, horrified, runs down the stairs and sees a huge crowd gathered around the man. One of the peasants asked, “Your eminence, do you know this man?” “No” said the Cardinal, “but his face rings a bell.”

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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The 2024 Genesis Scottish Open took place at the Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland, featuring a star-studded lineup, including major champions Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose, and Justin Thomas. Fitzpatrick, fresh off a victorious 2023 season and having come close in past editions, aimed to build on his recent success. Rose, returning as a former winner of the event, and Thomas, making his fifth appearance, added to the competitive field. This tournament, co-sanctioned by the DP World Tour and PGA TOUR, serves as a key lead-up to The Open, drawing top players and significant attention from the golfing world​

Here are Win Daily Experts’ picks for this week’s tourney.

.
David
Bieleski
Sia
Nejad
Spencer
Aguiar
Joel
Schreck
Steven
Polardi

StixPicks
Outright WinnerAll E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord for staking plan and odds

Headliners
Aberg
Fleetwood
Rai
Noren

Bombs
Fox
McKibbin
Ferguson
Jordan
Southgate
Schauffele
Aberg
Davis Thompson
Aberg
Fitzpatrick
Theegala
Hoge
Stevens
Bjork
McIlroy
Aberg
Matsuyama
Hun An
Detry
Fitz
Schauffele
Hovland
Clark
Spieth
Adam Scott
Matt Fitzpatrick
Top Finishes MarketsTop 20
Rai
Noren
Fox
McKibbin
Ferguson
Jordan
Southgate

Top 40
Fox
McKibbin
Ferguson
Jordan
Southgate
Top 30
Van Rooyen +225

Top 40
Bjork +240
Stevens +200
Top 30
Tom Kim
Matsuyama
Rai
Hun An
McKibbin
Soderberg
Top 20

Fleetwood
Rai
Macintyre
Ferguson
Top 20
Adam Scott
Top 40
Jordan Smith
Top French
Ugo Coussaud
Match-UpsScott over Homa (+105 Bet365)
Harman over Thomas (+105 Caesars)
Rai over Im (-105 MGM)
Rory -130 over Morikawa
Bjork +150 over Horschel
First-Round LeaderAll E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord for staking plan and odds

Tom Kim 40/1
Noren 80/1
Jordan Smith 100/1
Kitayama 100/1
Canter 110/1
Matthew Jordan 125/1
Hovland 35/1
Min Woo 40/1
MacIntyre 55/1
Pavon 75/1
Rory
Aberg
N.Hojgaard
Harman
Fleetwood
B An
Harman
Rai
DFS Plays I ❤️ Harman
Noren
Fox
Kitayama
Ferguson
Jordan Smith
Matthew Jordan
Alex Fitzpatrick
Southgate
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Sam Stevens
Kevin Yu
Hun An
Pavon
Aberg
Rory
Detry
Jordan Smith
Ferguson
Norrman
Adam Scott
Jordan Spieth
Jordan Smith
Tom McKibbin
DFS Chalk I'm playingMcIlroy
Schauffele
Aberg
Fleetwood
Rai
McKibbin
Xander
MacIntyre
Rory
Aberg
Harman
Fleetwood
Thompson
Aberg
Fitzpatrick
Xander
Hovland
Macintyre
Fleetwood
DFS Chalk I'm fadingHovland
MacIntyre
Homa
Detry
N Hojgaard
Yu
Valimaki
Corey ConnersHovland
Thompson
Mitchell
McIlroy
Hovland
McIlroy
Thompson
Soderberg

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Happy Patrick Corbin Day to those who celebrate!  It’s Wednesday and that means we’ll have a large slate of games. Tonight we have ourselves a 10-game slate of MLB DFS.  At first glance, this slate lacks a true ace.  While we have some solid pitchers on the slate, there isn’t a single arm that stands out as a must-play.  This will mean that ownership will be spread out.  As you saw in the first line, Patrick Corbin will be on the hill and he’ll be on the hill against my New York Mets.  You know what that will mean!

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Nick PIvetta ($9.6k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics

I will never feel comfortable using Nick Pivetta as my SP1.  This slate is really lacking with aces though so I’m going to chase the upside here.  Pivetta is coming off arguably his best start of the season.  In his last outing, he went 7 strong innings against the Marlins, giving up 0 ER while striking out a season-high 10 batters.  Those 10 strikeouts were the second time he’s gotten into the double-digit K territory this season. 

He gets an equally tasty matchup today vs. an Oakland team that is 25 games under .500 for the season.  Yes, they’ve put up some runs over the last week but it was against 2 starters who weren’t good in Brayan Bellow and Cade Povich.  While Pivetta has had his fair share of struggles this season, he is someone who can have a high ceiling and this is a high-ceiling type of game in my opinion. He’s risky, but he also has immense upside in a matchup against a team that is striking out 27% of the time this season vs. righties. 

Michael Wacha vs. St. Louis Cardinals

While the Cardinals have played better baseball this season, they are still a team that struggles against righties.  On the year, they have a nearly 24% K rate vs. righties and just a .148 ISO.  The projected lineup for the Cardinals tonight has 4 guys with a K rate vs. righties this season of at least 27%.  There is upside for Wacha tonight in this matchup.  Wacha for his part has pitched well this season, and especially well over the last month or so. 

Since mid-May, Wacha hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in any start and that’s a stretch of 7 starts.  Over that stretch, he’s faced some tough competition in the Padres, Rangers, Guardians, and Tampa Bay twice.  He’s not a sexy pick as he rarely gets more than 7 K’s, but he’s someone who will provide a high floor as he’s been under 16 DK points just once in the last 2 months. 

Other pitchers I like today are going to be Framber Valdez vs. Miami, Luis Severino vs. Washington, Tobias Myers vs. Pittsburgh, Chris Bassitt vs. San Fran, and Logan Webb vs. Toronto.  As you can see by this list, we have no pitcher that screams upside.     

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Mets vs. Patrick Corbin

3 more months.  I bet the Nationals front office is looking at the calendar and realizing they will have Patrick Corbin on the roster for just 3 more months.  Since signing with the Nats back in 2019, he’s had just one season with an ERA under 4 and just 2 seasons with an ERA under 5.  Over the last 4 seasons, he’s had ERA’s of 5.82, 6.31, 5.2 and this season at 5.49.  His time in DC has been a complete disaster. 

Each year since 2018, his K/9 has continued to decrease and his BB/9 has continued to increase.  His only saving grace this season is that his HR/FB is at the lowest point since 2018.  That should change tonight vs. a Mets that has crushed lefties this season, with a .185 ISO and a .780 OPS.  With Corbin, we want the righties.  13 of the 14 homers he’s given up this season have been to righties and 218 of the 252 homers he’s given up in his career have been to righties. 

Core Bats: Mark Vientos, Pete Alonso, JD Martinez, Francisco Lindor, Harrison Bader , Franciso Alvarez

Secondary Bats:  Brandon Nimmo

Value Bats: Jose Iglesias, Tyrone Taylor

Boston Red Sox vs. JP Sears

The Red Sox came through for us last night, putting up a 12 spot.  While the matchup isn’t as solid as last night, it’s still a strong spot for them.  Over the last month, JP Sears has been terrible.  He owns an ERA of 7.48 and an xFIP over 6 over his last 21 innings of work. 

To make matters even better for us tonight, the A’s used their bullpen for nearly 8 innings last night as Joey Estes couldn’t make it out of the second inning.  This should mean that Sears will have a bit of a longer leash tonight.  Normally the concern for the Red Sox against lefties is their strike outs.  Sears is a low K person as his K rate is just 16% this season.  I won’t be as worried about K’s here. 

Core Bats: Tyler O’Neill, Ceddanne Rafaela, Rafael Devers

Secondary Bats: Jarren Duran

Value Bats:  Rob Refsnyder, Connor Wong, Dom Smith

I didn’t mention them in my top 2, but the Reds vs. Kyle Freeland are very much in play. If you look at Freeland’s ERA over the last month it’s strong at just 1.37. His xFIP tells us a completely different story as it’s nearly 3 runs higher. The same can be said for his SIERA. He’s due for regression and it should come tonight. Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer will be my priority with that stack.

Other stacks I like today will be the Braves vs. Slade Cecconi, Brewers vs. Martin Perez, Rangers vs. Griffin Canning, and Angels vs. Michael Lorenzen

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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We are off to Scotland for some links golf, as Rory McIlroy returns after his heart-breaking US Open defeat to defend the Scottish Open.

Join Spence (@TeeOffSports), Joel (@draftmastersflex), and David (@deepdivegolf) as they deep-dive into their preview of the Genesis Scottish Open!

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