Daily Archives

March 6, 2024

NHL Top Bets (Mar 7)

Welcome back to NHL Top Bets. There’s a huge twelve game slate tonight to tackle. The people made it known they wanted expanded NHL betting content, Win Daily listened and we have you covered below.

As always, think for yourself. The information below is only meant to supplement your knowledge and if you don’t agree with a portion, that’s fine, we’re all entitled to our own opinions. Also be sure to scour as many sportsbooks as possible before placing a bet as the odds tend to vary a little in most circumstances.

Aside from reading this 3/7 NHL Top Bets article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.

Personal Betting Record/Tracker

3/7 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*

3/7 NHL Bets

Edmonton -1.5 (-112) – DraftKings – 1 Unit

The Oilers have been on a torrid stretch as of late with a 7-2-1 record over their last ten games. This stretch includes five straight wins. The Blue Jackets meanwhile haven’t been at their absolute worst going 5-5 over their last ten games. Over the course of the season, they have not been any better at home than on the road.

It’s hard to imagine Columbus keeps up here. The Blue Jackets are allowing 3.66 goals per game this season and that’s not a good omen for facing Edmonton. This includes eight goals in the last two games as the defense continues to be atrocious. Meanwhile the Oilers average 3.53 goal per game and remain one of the highest scoring offenses in the league.

Young Jet Greaves is projected to start in net for Columbus. He has lost 2 of his 3 career starts but it looks like that is about to become 3 of 4. In a nutshell, this is a mismatch and Edmonton should increase their win streak to six and cover the puck line.

Florida 60 Min ML (-135) – DraftKings – 1 Unit

The Flyers have had a much better season than expected as Coach Torts has held bring in a system and some order. However, they have been crashing as of late. Philadelphia comes in 4-4-2 over their last ten games. Strangely, despite holding a playoff spot at the moment, they have been a seller at the trade deadline. Sean Walker was the most recent player to be dealt away.

Florida is headed in an entirely different direction. The Panthers are winners of six straight and 9-1 over their last ten games. The home crowd should be pumped to welcome new addition Vladimir Tarasenko.

Offense has been a problem even when the Flyers were winning games as they have averaged 2.95 goals per game. However replete with injuries and all, their typical defensive style won’t get the job done here. Expect Florida to get the job done in 60 minutes.

Vancouver ML (-105) – DraftKings – 1 Unit

Vegas is really struggling heading into this game, losers of three straight games. Over their last ten games, they are 2-7-1. The Golden Knights scored three goals in the last game against the Columbus Blue Jackets, but the defense gave up six goals and that led to the defeat. The Golden Knights are averaging 3.18 goals while their defense is giving up 2.95 goals per game.

This has been the Canuck’s best year in a quite awhile and they have kept things rolling. Vancouver has won two straight and have been strong on the road as well with a 20-11-4 record. Expect them to pick up a win in a tough place to play against a Vegas team that seems withdrawn after winning a championship.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at NHL – WIN DAILY® (windailysports.com)

1 year ago 0 comments

Sports Betting PGA Golf Premium

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips: DeepDiveGolf’s Best Bets And Player Profiles

DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 1 year ago

written by DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski

Bay Hill Club & Lodge golf course hosts our Arnold Palmer Invitational betting tips

Before getting into our betting tips for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, I recommend having a read of my tournament preview article here. You can catch up on all my deep-dive golf course analysis of Bay Hill Club & Lodge, course comps, and weather for the tournament. Hopefully, this helps provide a glimpse into part of my process behind the Arnold Palmer Invitational golf betting tips below.

You can find my latest profit and loss tracker here.

Xander Schauffele heads the list of close contenders for the Arnold Palmer Invitational betting card. I expect he will play well this week, given his correlated form at TPC Scottsdale and the US Open. Having now not won since July 2022, I simply found his odds of +1800 difficult to swallow in this class of field.

Rory McIlroy would make a very simple way to approach the week and was tempting. Especially, this is true in a week with three tournaments worthy of substantial coverage. He has looked to be trending of late, and could well go close at a golf course he very clearly loves.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Betting Tips

Suggested Staking
Posted in WinDaily Sports Premium Discord Monday 4 March 17:30 ET

Tommy Fleetwood
2.5u E/W +2500 (William Hill with 7 places 1/5 odds)

Cam Young
2u E/W +3300 (Unibet with 6 places 1/5 odds)

Matt Fitzpatrick – Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Betting Tips Favourite
2.5u E/W +3300 (William Hill with 7 places 1/5 odds)

Adam Scott
2u E/W +5000 (Unibet with 6 places 1/5 odds)

Corey Conners
1u E/W +6000 (William Hill with 7 places 1/5 odds)
And
2u Top 20 +170 (Bet365)

Tom Hoge
1u E/W +8000 (William Hill with 7 places 1/5 odds)
And
2u Top 20 +220 (Bet365)

Lucas Glover – Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Betting Tips Best Value
0.5u E/W +15000 (Bet365 with 5 places 1/4 odds)
And
3u Top 20 +300 (Unibet)

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Player Profiles

Tommy Fleetwood

It may seem a bit odd to begin the betting card with two golfers who have taken a pretty hard time from the industry surrounding their ability to close out a victory. Generally, I think it is fair to say the public are too harsh in such circumstances. A substantial part of luck does play a part in who can get across the line come Sunday. And I think Fleetwood fits that bill.

Fleetwood won recently on the DP World Tour at the Dubai Invitational, closing where Rory McIlroy could not. That was an exposed windy track with plenty of water in play and using bermudagrass. Although not as long as what we will find here, those parallels do remain. The simple fact for Fleetwood is more the fact he doesn’t put himself in contention enough more than his ability to finish the win.

Before the Dubai win, he had held just one 54-hole lead on the DP World Tour in 10 years. He boasts an excellent record at the US Open, finishing 5th in 2023 and an additional runner-up in 2018 and 4th in 2017. In terms of his record at Bay Hill, he finished 3rd here in 2019 alongside finishing 10th in 2017 and 2021.

A 10th when last sighted at the Genesis Invitational holds promise. Certainly, he remains one of the best approach players on tour from 200+ yards. Additionally, he has won at higher totals previously. He has only won once when scoring reached further than -19. Further, he has won three times at -11 to -12 which looks like a winning total this week. He looks like a great betting selection at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Cam Young

Unlike Fleetwod, Cam Young has not managed to win anywhere in the world. He had another wonderful opportunity to do so at the Dubai Desert Classic. Unfortunately, he continued to fold every opportunity he found himself once again in contention on the Sunday. Certainly, Rory McIlroy holds a fabulous record both at Bay Hill and Emirates Golf Club. He was the eventual winner ahead of Young for his 4th Dubai Desert Classic victory, but he links the two tournaments nicely.

The long and short of it is that his game looks to be in sharp shape. 4th most recently at the Cognizant Classic came on a golf course that demands his strongest club, the driver, to remain in the bag often. A recent 8th at the WM Phoenix Open is a nice correlation with TPC Scottsdale holding strong links for betting guidance to the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Two attempts at this tournament for returns of a 13th and 10th are rock solid, especially considering this was still a full-field event during those instances. His excellent approach from 200+ yards will hold him in good stead at this tournament with his putter also showing some nice signs of life. A tough test such as this may just be the spot for Cam Young to sneak past the winning post and shake the monkey off his back.

Matt Fitzpatrick – Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Betting Tips Favourite

A rather easy selection on Fitzpatrick this week. Fitzpatrick is 2nd only behind Scheffler for approach from 200+ yards in this field over the last 12 months. Certainly, it comes as no surprise then that he boasts a fantastic record at Bay Hill where he has finished 27-13-MC-2-9-10-9-14.

Further ties can come from being the US Open winner in 2022 and a record at TPC Scottsdale of 10-29-15 in just three starts. Fitzpatrick has continued to add distance through his speed training and this will only be of further benefit to his chances this week in Arnold Palmer Invitational betting markets.

Fitzpatrick was more likely to be found in the mid 20s were he in any substantial recent form. However, the 21st finish last week at the Cognizant Classic did show some signs of promise with two rounds of 67 and finding himself on the wrong side of a substantial 1.5-stroke weather draw. His PGA Tour wins have come at -6 and -17. Additionally, his DP World Tour wins have all come at -19 or higher with 8/9 of them coming at -17 or higher.

Adam Scott

I was quite surprised to find the betting number available on Adam Scott at the Arnold Palmer Invitational this week. Fair to say, Scott has been superlative form for quite some time, finishing 20th or better since October last year.

This is the exact type of test that Scott thrives in. A prolific winner on the PGA Tour, 9/14 of his PGA Tour victories have come at -12 or higher. That is demonstrated in his 6 finishes of 14th or better at the US Open. Further, correlation can be found with most recently finishing 8th at TPC Scottsdale. That came during a tournament he has typically avoided and in only his second appearance at that event. A pair of 3rd place finishes around Bay Hill

A student of the game, history matters deeply to Scott, and winning at this historically notable tournament would be a feather in his cap he would love to add in the latter years of his professional golfing career.

Corey Conners

It is with some minor trepidation Corey Conners is added to our Arnold Palmer Invitational betting card.

The negative, as always, is with the putter. Putting does generally have a higher weighting at this tournament historically than other PGA Tour events. As per my preview article, much of that stems from the large nature of these green complexes. That may be a cause of concern, given the ineptiude that Conners often displays with the flat-stick. Struggling at the US Open also does hold some concerns for me.

On the positive side, Conners has generally performed better with the putter here than in other performances. He finished 3rd here in 2021 when gaining 4 strokes putting. He also gained strokes putting here in 2023 and finished 11th in 2022 despite losing strokes putting. Further, he is a two-time winner at the Valero Texas Open.

In some similarity to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, that event has multi-tiered large green complexes, and lag putting can prove a real asset at that tournament. Conners ranks 7th in this field for SG: APP over 200+ yards over the last 12 months and is also strong from 150-200 yards. Those two factors see him undervalued in current betting markets for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Particularly, in the Top 20 betting markets.

Tom Hoge

Hoge looks to be right at his very best with his irons of late, and arriving at a golf course where quality ball striking has been a real strength.

Finishing 17th or better in 4/6 most recent tournaments already tells a lot as to the level he is currently competing. Included within that was a 17th at TPC Scottsdale, a course where he had previously finished 14th as well. Additionally, he has a 26th and 15th-placed finish in his first two appearances at this golf course. His further three appearances haven’t been much to write home about.

However, I would note the two missed cuts both came right on the number with what can be a volatile golf course given the amount of water. Further, one of the single shot missed cuts came when losing 5 strokes putting in just two rounds on a golf course he has always gained putting in all of his 4 other appearances. Hoge ranks within the top 15 from both 200+ and 150-200 yards on approach within this field.

Recent form in signature events of 6th and 8th came on two quite different golf courses. He looks in superb touch and seems well-placed for another excellent finish this week.

Lucas Glover – Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Betting Tips Best Value

Finally, we round out our betting card with a deep long-shot on Lucas Glover.

There is simply no chance that Glover would be found in the bottom 10% of the betting board was this tournament held just 6 months ago. Much of that came from some dramatic improvement with the putter; the perenially deficit found in Glover’s game.

Of promise is his prior putting form at this tournament. Glover had provided positive performances or at the field average when putting at this tournament in 9/14 appearances at Bay Hill. That has included 5 Top 20s here, all when not playing to the standard we saw in the tail-end of the 2023 season proper.

Aside from that, he is also a US Open champion and displays excellent approach metrics. Whether this test now proves a little too long given his age is what remains to be seen. However, his excellent driving accuracy and ball-striking provide a modicum of confidence he may avoid the worst of this penal test. And, at 150/1, we don’t have to pay much to find out here.

Join Team Audience on the PGA Draftcast

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1 year ago 0 comments

PGA Premium

The API Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi 1 year ago

written by Steven Polardi

Variance. So far the 2024 champions this year are golfers like Grayson Murray, Nick Dunlap, Matthieu Pavon, Jake Knapp and others. Not exactly household names. DFS golf is probably the toughest sport to nail down. This week may offer some of the more elite golfers to actually be worth their salary. This course can expose the tiniest flaws almost as much as any course, other than The Masters. It could actually be the week where 41,600 in salary doesn’t get you the takedown. The API Ownership Projections are designed to assist you in finding top talent, that contest busting golfer and the outright and FRL along with the top 10, 20, and 40.

Win Daily Sports’ golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.

Courses and Horses

This a 69 golfer field by invitation. The top 50 and ties make the cut. It will present some of the fastest greens a stimp meter can register this year. We are looking for elite true shots gained and a proximity bucket of over 200 yards. The greens are rock hard, the rough is real rough, and the hazards are just one slight roll off the green away. Forecasting light rain Wednesday evening may soften the course slightly. Some of our pool players this week are Rory, Scottie, Spieth, Aberg, Hoge, Will Z, Glover, B An and Xander.

CBB Lines and Locks for March 6th

Jake Faigus 1 year ago

written by Jake Faigus

Welcome everyone to my debut CBB Lines and Locks article! My name is Jake Faigus and I will be breaking down my Top Plays and Favorite Bets for most popular College Basketball slates. Wednesday’s CBB slate is loaded with games. See which games I like the most and why. Let’s Get to the action and WIN!

Villanova @ Seton Hall: This is a massive game from a bubble perspective in the NCAA Tournament. Joe Lunardi has Villanova on the bubble as the last four byes and then Seton Hall is a step below in the Last Four In. This game could be an elimination game between the two with just under a week left in the regular season. Eric Dixon is a difference maker for the Wildcats and leads the way in scoring at 16.1 points per game. The metrics love the Wildcats with the NET rankings having them at 26 and then KenPom has them at 24 overall. They have excelled on defense, allowing 65.4 points per game, which is good for 23^rd in the country in scoring defense. They are allowing a total field goal percentage of 40.9% from the field and they are 13^th in adjusted defense on KenPom at 95.6. Seton Hall is not as loved on the metrics at 60^th in KenPom overall and they are 68^th in the NET. Kadary Richmond does it all for them at the guard spot. He leads the team in scoring at 16.2 points per game, in assists at 4.8 per game, and in steals at 2 per game. They do have great wins in conference against both UConn and Marquette, but they need to get more consistent overall. Seton Hall needs this game more than Villanova, but the Wildcats are the better team and should cement themselves in the NCAA Tournament with this win on the road.

Pick: Villanova wins/covers

#4 Tennessee @ #17 South Carolina: Tennessee was facing a gauntlet to end the regular season and they already passed one of their tests with a huge win against Alabama on the road this past weekend. South Carolina on the road is up next and the Gamecocks have been nothing short of one of the best stories in college basketball this season. Tennessee is one of the best teams in the country and if they keep winning, they are going to be more widely seen as one of the 1-seeds included on that list with UConn, Houston, and Purdue. Tennessee is the 5^th overall team in KenPom with the third ranked adjusted defense at 91.6. They are also allowing 67.4 points per game. The biggest difference for the Volunteers this season is that they have improved a lot on offense thanks in large part to Dalton Knecht. He has burst onto the scene this season and is averaging 20.6 points per game. He has been able to single-handedly carry the Volunteers if necessary and that was on display when he scored 39 points and 27 of those in the second half. South Carolina has hung their hat on mucking the game up this season and they did it already once to Tennessee this season on the road. The Gamecocks are 44^th in KenPom and they are 42^nd in adjusted defense at 99.8. Meechie Johnson has been a difference maker for the Gamecocks and is their best offensive player, averaging 14.2 points per game. Tennessee is on a roll right now and should get revenge against the Gamecocks after they beat them in Knoxville earlier this season.

Pick: Tennessee wins/covers

#2 UConn @ #8 Marquette: These are the two best teams in the Big East next to Creighton. Marquette will be without point guard Tyler Kolek in this game and they will not have him until the Big East tournament next week. They also have not had Oso Ighodaro due to injury and there is not as clear of a timetable surrounding him returning to the court. Marquette has been nothing but solid all season across the board. They are 14^th in both the NET and in KenPom. Kam Jones is more than capable of filling an even bigger role with Kolek out and potentially Ighodaro. He already leads the team in scoring at 16.1 points per game. Marquette is firmly in the tournament as a 2-seed, but a win against UConn would go a long way for them to have an outside chance at a 1-seed. UConn has played like arguably the best team in the country at times this season. UConn won the national championship last season and lost some key players, but it has not mattered that much. Tristen Newton and Cam Spencer have emerged as the two best players for the Huskies throughout this season. Newton leads the team in points at 15.3, rebounds at 7.1, and in assists at 6 per game, while Spencer averages 14.8 points per game and then leads the team in three-point shooting at 45% and in steals at 1.4. When it comes to metrics, UConn is the third ranked team in the NET and is the second overall team in KenPom. They are 4^th in adjusted offense at 126.7 and they are 17^th in adjusted defense at 96.2. This is a prime spot for Marquette to get a massive win before the tournament, but with two of the better players injured in Kolek and Ighodaro it highly favors UConn even on the road. Expect Marquette to keep the game close, but UConn pulls away late.

Pick: UConn wins and covers

1 year ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NBA Sports Betting Basketball

NBA DFS Core Plays And Best Bets Mar. 6

Shaun Evans 1 year ago

written by Shaun Evans

Back-to-back days that we get an eight-game NBA DFS slate and I’m here to cover all of your needs. While the DFS plays on Tuesday weren’t the best, the bets went one for two. It’s time to bounce back and get back on track. We’ll see who the best plays are and which game to target while breaking down the top two bets to play.

NBA DFS – Core Plays

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10,700 – 56.08 DK Points – 5.24 Value Rating

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes into tonight’s slate as the third-highest projected player. The Oklahoma City Thunder get to face the Portland Trailblazers in what could be a one-sided matchup. The Thunder play at a fast pace, averaging 104 possessions per game while Portland sits at 102.4. The concern may be that this turns into a blowout game but that hasn’t stopped Gilgeous-Alexander from having success in fewer minutes of play. In three games this season, SGA has averaged 30.7 points, six assists, and 4.7 rebounds while averaging 26.2 minutes versus Portland. He held a 59.6% field-goal percentage versus them while averaging two steals per game.

Make sure you are signed up for our premium plan so you can stay up-to-date in Discord with any last-minute NBA news and any core changes. Get your first week for just $1 using the promo code “DOLLAR” using this link. Find me in Discord under the name “xfreshie” and tag me with any questions.

Luka Samanic $3,500 – 22.21 DK Points – 6.35 Value Rating

Luka Samanic will be a name to watch up until lock as he is currently projected to be in the starting lineup for the Utah Jazz. Samanic does hold the highest value rating on the projections, sitting at 6.35. If he does start, he’ll help open up a lot of salary room. He did log 23 minutes versus Washington on Monday and he recorded five points, two rebounds, and two assists while adding on two blocks and one steal on the defensive end. Give Luka Samanic nearly 25 minutes once again and he’ll be able to give us the value we need.

De’Aaron Fox- $8,600 – 46.94 DK points – 5.46 Value Rating

De’Aaron Fox staying in the core three will strictly ride on the value that opens up throughout the day. If we get more value and salary savings from guys in the Luka Samanic range, Fox and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander combo will be my favorite to run. The Sacramento Kings versus Los Angeles Lakers game is the game with the highest total on the slate and for good reason. De’Aaron Fox will see a matchup that benefits him as the Lakers allow opposing point guards to average 25.8 points, 8.5 assists, and 6.2 rebounds per game. In the two meetings this season already. Fox averaged 32.5 points with 6.5 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game while averaging 2.5 steals. He’ll be able to fill up the stat sheet tonight once again.

NBA DFS – Top Value Targets

Corey Kispert $4,500 – 24.78 DK points – 5.51 Value Rating

Corey Kispert is coming in with two bad performances back-to-back but has been playing well as of late. In his last five games, Kispert has averaged 14.8 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.4 assists. He has seen Orlando three times already this season but still was able to put up points versus them. In those three games, he averaged 14.3 points, two rebounds, and two assists while averaging nearly 21 minutes.

Cameron Payne $4,100 – 19.45 DK Points – 4.74 Value Rating

Cameron Payne should be in line for another start today as Tyrese Maxey is dealing with a mild concussion. With his start last night, Payne recorded 15 points, three rebounds, and one assist while getting one steal. Now, the Philadelphia 76ers will face off versus the Memphis Grizzlies. They currently allow guards to average 21.4 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game. Overall, the 76ers will provide some value plays alongside their opponents, the Memphis Grizzlies.

NBA DFS – Game To Target

Sacramento Kings (+114) versus Los Angeles Lakers (-135) – Total 238.5 Points
Odds and Total Points are taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.

The game to target is going to be a good one with the Sacramento Kings facing off against the Los Angeles Lakers once again. With the highest point total on the slate, the Kings and Lakers play at a fast-paced. The Kings currently average 103.7 possessions per game while the Lakers average 104.7. A slight boost for Kings players. While Domantas Sabonis is the highest-priced player in this matchup at $10,600, the rest of the Kings players add some good value. Keegan Murray sits at $5.8k and Harrison Barnes sits at $4.1k.

For the Los Angeles Lakers, Anthony Davis is priced over $10k with a $10.3k price tag, and his performances versus Sacramento this season haven’t been the best. Now, LeBron James sits under $10k with a $9.8k price tag and is averaging a triple-double versus Sacramento this season. He is averaging 27.5 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 10 assists through two games. He makes for a great pivot from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. D’Angelo Russell would be the other Lakers starter to consider at $7k but he pushes that line. James makes for the best pay-up spot, alongside De’Aaron Fox when targeting this matchup.

NBA DFS – Best Bets

Jalen Suggs over 9.5 Points -115 (bet365)

Jalen Suggs comes into tonight’s matchup with a projection of 13.61 points and an edge of 43.21% to hit the over. He gets a boost in pace as the Washington Wizards lead the league in possessions per game with 106.6. Suggs should have more opportunities created for him to score. In three meetings this season versus Washington, he has averaged 16 points per game.

Santi Aldama over 6.5 Rebounds +106 (FD Sportsbook)

With the Philadelphia 76erx being depleted due to injuries, Santi Aldama has a very strong case to hit the over. While his projection for rebounds is close to the 6.5 total, he has improved on the boards. He’s averaging 6.2 rebounds in his last five games and had back-to-back games with eight rebounds. He has also logged 32 or more minutes in three of those last five games.

1 year ago 0 comments

NBA Daily Fantasy Sports Sports Betting

NBA Player Prop Win Rates for Mar. 6

WIN 1 year ago

written by WIN

Each day we will be displaying the players and props that show the highest win rates of their current prop line at the time of posting. For example, if a player is listed with a win rate of 90% on “over 4.5 rebounds,” that means that in 9 out of the last 10 games they went over 4.5 rebounds. We’re doing some of the legwork for you, but it doesn’t mean that we’re suggesting to bet all of these. You still need to factor in match ups and other relevant information, and keep in mind that the hit rate is based on the current line at the time of posting, and is subject to change.

These are the highest percentage win rates of the top NBA player props today.

These are the highest rated win rates over the past 10 games but to see the highest edges based on our proprietary player projections click here.

Now to see the hand selected NBA player prop bets from our betting pros check them out here.

1 year ago 0 comments

Sports Betting PGA Sports Golf Premium

Expert Picks for the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational

DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 1 year ago

written by DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski

As the PGA Tour swings into the heart of Florida, anticipation surges for the prestigious 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational at the revered Bay Hill Club & Lodge. A cornerstone of the Tour since 1979, this year’s event marks the fourth of eight illustrious “signature events,” boasting a staggering $20 million prize pool. Bay Hill’s formidable par-72 layout, stretching 7,454 yards with challenging Bermuda grass greens, promises a stern test for the world’s best golfers, especially if the notorious Florida winds come into play.

Here are Win Daily Experts’ picks for this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational.

	David Bieleski @DeepDiveGolf	Spencer Aguiar @TeeOffSports	Joel Schreck @DraftMasterFlex	Steven Polardi @spolardi
Outright Winner	All E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord Fleetwood Cam Young Fitzpatrick Scott Conners Hoge Glover	Scottie Scheffler	McIlroy Young Burns Pavon Knapp	Scheffler Hoge Glover
Top Finishes Markets	Top 20 Conners Hoge Glover			Rory Hoge MW Lee
Match-Ups	Scott (+100) over Bradley DK	Scott (-110) over English FD
First-Round Leader	All Unibet 6pl 1/5 odds 1u E/W Young 33/1 0.5u E/W Hoge 66/1 0.5u E/W Pavon 66/1 0.5u E/W Glover 90/1	Rory McIlroy 18/1 Cameron Young 35/1	McIlroy Young Pavon Hoge English	Conners Spieth Aberg
DFS Plays I ❤️	Hoge Glover	Ludvig Aberg Scottie Scheffler	Cole Hoge Pavon Young	Scheffler B An EVR
DFS Chalk I'm playing	Fitzpatrick Scott	Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,600)	McIlroy	Scheffler Aberg
DFS Chalk I'm fading	Knapp	Min Woo Lee Harris English Sam Burns Justin Thomas	Conners	Hovland

1 year ago 0 comments

PGA Sports Betting Golf

Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice

DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 1 year ago

written by DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski

Bay Hill Club is the golf course hosting this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview

Before delving into our Arnold Palmer Invitational preview, thank you for your understanding with missing the article last week. Sometimes life gets in the way, and a combination of some recent minor surgery and a house move meant the full golf coverage needed to go by the wayside. Thank you for all the kind words.

PGA National bared its teeth again, not just for the players but also for our selections. A little unlucky as Noren missed a place payout for us by one shot at +1200. However, we cashed his Top 20 at +240. Sam Ryder (150/1) was also in contention for a juicy +3000 place for most of the tournament. He slipped down the field Saturday to miss the Top 20 by one, with a bogey on the final hole. As a consolation, we cashed the Top 40 on him at +190.

We return to a happy hunting ground. Bay Hill has been kind to us for the last couple of years. The highlight was hitting Kurt Kitayama as the winner in 2023 alongside a full place on Hatton in 4th. But also, 2022 was an excellent event for our tips. Gary Woodland looked a likely winner at 80/1 before a double bogey-bogey finish saw him finish in 5th just 2 shots off the winning mark. We complimented that with Viktor Hovland and Lucas Herbert both finishing in the top 7 as well.

Last year we gave you Hovland, Woodland, and Herbert with the three finishing 7th or better.

This year we gave you WINNER Kitayama +6000.
Hatton also with a full place payout in 4th.

Only @WinDailySports 🔥⛳️#APInv #ArnoldPalmer #ArnoldPalmerInvitational https://t.co/n5iP4qpLHO
— David Bieleski (@deepdivegolf) March 5, 2023

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview Course Analysis

Bay Hill Club & Lodge possesses one of the highest correlations on the PGA Tour of prior course form to success. Only Augusta National, Riviera Country Club, and TPC Scottsdale have a higher connection. This penal, difficult test does have a few nuances that explain this and should guide our thinking entering our Arnold Palmer Invitational preview.

You will hear a lot about driving distance being key this week. This, however, does require a little more scrutiny than simply accepting that fact at face value. The true reasoning for this is not simply that a bomb and gouge approach will work here for our Arnold Palmer Invitational preview. Rather, the extremely juicy 3 in Ryegrass rough requires some strength to escape. Driving distance is a factor of club head speed, which is extremely helpful on long approach shots from rough.

That is reiterated by the disproportionate number of approach shots that will occur from over 200 yards. Notably, the par 3s play are the longest on the regular PGA Tour stops. Simply, the longer hitters will be holding more loft in their hands. Therefore, allowing for a higher apex for those long iron shots when approaching these firm and fast green complexes.

Fairways are reasonably wide with an average width of 33 yards at the 300-yard mark and 39 yards at the 325 mark. SG: PUTT is highly correlated to success here. Green complexes are very large at an average of 7,500 sq ft. The uptick in putting performance is predominantly because precisely where you are on the greens matters above simply GIR. Additionally, the lengthened approach shots into many holes can result in longer putts to be made.

Bay Hill Course Comps

As previously mentioned, course history should form a large part of any Arnold Palmer Invitational preview. Do take a look at round 4 from the 2022 tournament. That round suffered significant winds, which we expect to see here on Saturday.

There are a few additional courses that can guide your thinking. As mentioned, the US Open like setup should mean the majority of those host venues can provide guidance. Host of the 2022 PGA Championship Southern Hills holds similar metrics and was also a windy event. TPC Scottsdale also shows similarities to here. That occurs both demanding long approach play but the reasonably large fairways where there is a significant penalty if straying too far.

Weather

Before diving into our weather preview for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, we need to speak about the tournament format. This is the same situation as we saw recently at the Genesis Invitational. 69 players are competing this week. The top 50 players and ties will make the cut or any golfers within 10 strokes of the lead after 36 holes.

Although this means there is unlikely to be a weather wave edge, weather can still have a positive influence on your selections. Florida has an El Nino weather pattern, where winter is unusually cold and wet. There has been additional torrential rain recently, best highlighted by the necessity to delay to a Monday finish at last week’s Cognizant Classic. Wednesday should see more heavy rain the day before the tournament starts. Scoring should still be high, but perhaps all the rain will see conditions play a bit softer than we usually see at this event.

Additionally, heavy winds are forecast on Saturday. Sunday also has the chance for high winds depending when thunderstorms occur. Our selections were influenced by these factors when compiling our betting tips for the week.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview Golf Betting Tips

If you would like to read my golf betting tips for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, you can preview these in our golf betting tips article here or the WinDaily Premium Discord here.

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1 year ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Hockey

NHL Top Bets (Mar 6)

Richard Masana 1 year ago

written by Richard Masana

Welcome back to NHL Top Bets. We only have three games tonight to choose from and I decided to roll with a bold underdog pick. The people made it known they wanted expanded NHL betting content, Win Daily listened and we have you covered below.

Aside from reading this 3/6 NHL Top Bets article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.

Personal Betting Record/Tracker

3/6 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*

3/6 NHL Bets

Buffalo (+160) – DraftKings – 0.66 Units

It’s a three-game slate so I am only going to throw out one bet tonight, let’s make it a good one. We can be boring and aim for a Maple Leafs puck line and call it a night. That would make for your usual piece of crap standard industry NHL betting article. However, I think especially on such a small slate we can be a little bit spicier, and I don’t think Toronto is the right play.

Buffalo has a strong recent history against Toronto, where they have won twice this season. Over the last 10 games between these teams, Buffalo is 7-3-0. The Sabres are also in very strong form at the moment as they have won five of their last seven games. That stretch involved some very strong competition as well, such as Winnipeg, Vegas, Florida, Tampa Bay, and Carolina.

Ironically, the Sabres have been better on the road this season (15-12-3) then at home (14-17-1). Toronto has also been much better away this season (18-6-6) than at home (17-12-2). There’s not much upside or point in taking Buffalo on the +1.5 puck line here at -155. The last time these teams faced off Buffalo smashed the Leafs 9-3 and perhaps they simply have their number. Let’s take a break from all of the Auston Matthews and Maple Leaf’s love and go with the upset.

1 year ago 0 comments

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION	OWN %	SALARY
Scheffler, Scottie	30.4	11300
McIlroy, Rory	29.7	10600
Aberg, Ludvig	20.4	9500
Hovland, Viktor	19.7	9900
Young, Cameron	18.6	8700
Burns, Sam	17.5	9300
Schauffele, Xander	17.4	9800
Fitzpatrick, Mathew	17.1	8600
Spieth, Jordan	16.8	9400
Zalatoris,Will	16.3	8900
Lee, Min Woo	15.9	6600
Morikawa, Collin	15.3	9100
Cantlay, Patrick	15.2	10000
An, Byeong	14.3	7600
Day, Jason	13.8	8200
Bradley, Keegan	13.7	7400
Fleetwood, Tommy	13.2	8800
Thomas, Justin	12.7	9000
Pavon, Matthieu	12.2	7900
Scott,Adam	12.2	7500
Conners, Corey	11.9	7800
Van Rooyen, Erik	11.7	6600
Homa, Max	11.6	9200
Theegala, Sahith	11.5	8100
Kirk, Chris	11.5	7800
Knapp, Jake	11.4	7600
English, Harris	11.2	7300
Matsuyama, Hideki	10.7	8400
Kitayama, Kurt	9.9	7300
Clark, Wyndham	9.4	8500
Hoge, Tom	9.2	7100
Henley, Russell	8.3	8000
Kim, Tom (Joohyung)	7.8	8300
Jaeger, Stephan	7.7	7200
Hadwin, Adam	7.6	6800
Im, Sungjae	7.1	8000
Hojgaard, Nicolai	7.1	7200
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan	6.9	7000
Cole, Eric	6.8	7400
List, Luke	6.6	7000
Eckroat, Austin	6.4	6900
Lowry, Shane	6.3	7500
Kim, Si Woo	6.1	7700
Rose, Justin	5.9	6800
Svensson, Adam	5.7	6400
Grillo, Emiliano	5.6	6900
Schenk, Adam	5.5	6200
Straka, Sepp	5.3	6400
Fowler, Rickie	5.2	7100
Davis, Cameron	5.0	6700
McCarthy, Denny	4.9	6700
Rodgers, Patrick	4.8	6500
Moore, Taylor	4.7	6300
Taylor, Nick	4.5	6500
Glover, Lucas	4.4	6300
Harman, Brian	4.2	7700
Poston, JT	3.9	7900
Dunlap, Nick	3.7	6100
Todd, Brendon	3.5	6400
Pan, CT	2.9	6000
Valimaki,Sami	2.4	6200
Putnam, Andrew	2.2	6300
Lower, Justin	2.2	6200
Simpson, Webb	2.1	6000
Hughes, Mackenzie	1.8	6100
Power, Seamus	1.4	6100
Hodges, Lee	1.2	6100
Murray, Grayson	0.6	6000
Ford, David	0.1	6000

March 6, 2024

3/7 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

3/7 NHL Bets

Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Betting Tips

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Player Profiles

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NBA DFS – Core Plays

NBA DFS – Top Value Targets

NBA DFS – Game To Target

NBA DFS – Best Bets

Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview Course Analysis

Bay Hill Course Comps

Weather

Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview Golf Betting Tips

3/6 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

3/6 NHL Bets

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