Richard Masana 
2/6 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown
Welcome everyone to our 2/6 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown. Tonight we finally get back into our 5 game slates for the LPL/LCK and I could not be more excited, especially with the slate we have tonight. Last night we got killed by taking the wrong side of the Value match with TT/LGD while NS also decided to feed in a loss to GEN. Tonight we have 2 LCK matches in KT/AF and T1/BRO, then we get into our glourious LPL slate of BLG/OMG, WE/JDG, and FPX/TES. Keep a key note on that last one there. Now with all our matches layed out let’s get into the breakdown
T1 (-750) vs BRO (+425)
Our first match of the night in what I would say is going to be a relatively easy 2-0 for T1. BRO has played upset special recently in getting the win over KT and causing them to sub out their mid/jg duo. T1 though is a different beast than KT, even with their roster switching I believe their talent level is above everyone else and they hold distinct advantages around the map. With this being the first of our two LCK games we would usually be safe though I would air with caution tonight here with the lock being at 2pm E.T. instead of the normal 3.
T1 holds the statistical advantage everywhere except for first drake take. Though I will say this has been with multiple rosters so a stat set cannot be had. BRO also play as one of the slower teams in the LCK so this also isn’t a spot for upside within tonight’s matches. I would only be comfortable with playing Keria and T1 team spot tonight without knowing starters before but they are the safest spot for a 2-0.
KT (-115) vs AF (-120)
Our second LCK match of the night and the much closer of the two. This match also has the ability to give value as AF is priced as a dog tonight and I would give them the upper hand. We will also have a good idea of AF’s lineup since they have rolled with the same lineup in almost every match this split. KT on the other hand has gotten in switches with their mid/jg duo and messing with the synergy there is not a move I would look fondly on. I am giving my inital lean to AF here tonight but let’s take a further look into the stats of the match.
AF leads in most early and late game categories as KT leads in first 3 turrets while AF takes it into the late game too with advantages in Drakes and Baron take. AF also has continuity on their side while KT was a quick trigger with the swaps the other day. I am leaning to the side of AF and they give great value when trying to stack some of our LPL favorites tonight. Favorite plays are Dread, Bang, Lehends, and AF team.
BLG (-600) vs OMG (+375)
The first of our LPL matchups and admittedly the safest tonight. BLG is coming off a huge upset of RNG while OMG has continued to falter down in last place as they once again were 2-0’d by IG. Aiming has been coming into form as well as biubiu as anyone who watched the BLG/RNG matchup as he solo killed Xiahou time and time again. This is the safest matchup on the night to take from though BLG are the most expensive team on the slate for DK and I would call their upside limited with them usually snowballing wins against lesser teams instead of farming up kills.
BLG leads OMG in every statistical category and crushes them in the early game as OMG in bottom 3 in early game gold difference. BLG will play through their carries and recently that has been Aiming and biubiu where Meteor has taken a back seat in the matches and kill stats. Expect BLG to 2-0 and be underowned with their pricing and upside. Favorite plays are Aiming, Biubiu, Meteor, and Jwei.
JDG (-130) vs WE (-105)
My intital lean in this match was for WE as I saw they had Shanks back into the starting lineup. Mid lane is the weak spot on JDG and if WE win this matchup it will be through the Mid/JG duo advantage with Shanks/Beishang over Yagao/Kanavi. Though looking into recent matches and the vods of these last 2 team WE matches I am leaning toward the bot lane and top lane going in favor of Zoom and LokeN/LvMao. Jiumeng and missing have been off par recently and I believe that they may continue this trend and that has shot my confidence in WE. Let’s see who the stats are in favor of though.
These stats may be a little off kilter with JDG starting off slow this split but JDG leads in first 3 turrets and Rift Herald while WE comes up and leads in Drake, Baron, and First drake. This will be one of our two closest matches on the day and I am all for hedging here as I expect it to be bloody tonight here. Would expect it to be the second bloodiest on the slate. I am now leaning JDG with the recent play as I think it will be bot dif here with Ezreal coming back into the Meta for LokeN and LvMao still being one of the best supports in the LPL. Favorite JDG plays are Zoom, Kanavi, LokeN, and LvMao. Favorite WE plays are Beishang, Shanks, Jiumeng, and Missing. Hedge spot forsure.
FPX (-130) vs TES (-105)
This is one of the matches you circle on your calendar once the schedule comes out and that would be putting it lightly. These are two of the most aggressive and talented teams in the LPL and I expect tonight to play out as bloody and very “back and forth” if you will. FPX is where my heavy lean is though as recent matches favor them with the top lane going over to FPX with Nuguri while the jungle matchup is quite even between BO and Karsa. This used to be the ultimate mid lane matchup with us seeing DoinB and Knight but the meta has put mid laners on the backwall as its ADC/JG taking over the carry meta. Mid lane is even and I would give bot lane even with a slight edge over to FPX as JKL/Zhuo’s over aggression can help and severely hurt them.
Stats here give the early game over to TES while late game it goes in favor of FPX, and that isn’t to say FPX is a slouch in the early game as I expect them to roll tonight once we hit the mid game and champs begin to come online. I am taking a stance here on a FPX 2-1 personally but I cannot disuade you from a hedge with TES as having them on underdog pricing is always dangerous, and if their bot lane gets ahead it’s over. Favorite plays from FPX are Nuguri, BO, Lwx, and Crisp. From the side of TES I would have to roll with JKL, Karsa, Knight, and Zhuo.
Summary
Here is the summary of our 2/6 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown and I am very excited for this slate tonight, I would also like to say it is in favor of a night of Multiple lines. I am taking T1 2-0 in a safe but low scorer, AF 2-1 in a close match with upside and good value. BLG 2-0 in another safety game with possible upside. JDG to win 2-1 in a game that could go either way and would be a bloody hedge spot for me tonight. Lastly, I am taking FPX to win 2-1 and this is where I would admittedly take my full stacks from as both teams are bloody in wins and losses, still can’t tell anyone to not take TES at an ownership and value spot tonight. If you are interested in our other articles here at Win Daily Sports click here and if you are interested in joining our discord we are here. I am also on Twitter here if you have any questions over there. Good luck, everyone!!!
