2/6 League of Legends LEC Breakdown
Welcome to our 2/6 League of Legends LEC Breakdown. If you were able to read yesterday’s you know we were all over Fnatic as our main 4 stack and they carried us to 27 kills in a huge DFS game for the slate. Today I am ready to dive back into it with our 5 games today being FCS/MSF, XL/SK, ML/VIT, RGE/AST, and G2/FNC. You could probably guess what game I am keying in on from the start. But let’s get into this breakdown and see if theres somewhere we can snag value.
Schalke 04 (-145) vs MSF (+105)
Wow Schalke, two of this teams wins have come against the best competition in the LEC in Rogue and G2, they decently handled both of these teams and are looking to keep their hot streak going against Misfits. While admittedly Misfits is on a cold streak with recent losses. Schalke has been playing their methodical style to perfection and it has allowed them to scale up and and beat their counterparts in Rogue and G2.
Schalke is my favorite value spot on FanDuel today as they allow you to 4 stack G2 with Jankos captain. Misfits is a faltering team lately and they have an advantage in first turret rate while Schalke owns the 3 turret, herald drake, and baron stats. I believe Schalke win this match as my favorite FD value with plays like BrokenBlade and Gilius.
XL (-160) vs SK Gaming (+115)
XL has been one of the best in the late game in the LEC with their games on average going into 36 minutes. This is due to their choice to play scaling comps and their tendency to lose hard in the early game being the worst early game team in the LEC. SK wins this through being balanced in their approach being strong in both the early and late games being up in gold and having a good drake%. This will be a key matchup on DK to get more G2.
Looking into stats I am going for the early game edge here for SK, SK also leads all important stats in the mid game as XL only starts to take over once it comes to baron’s. XL has not taken the first turret yet this split so I would expect it to once again go over to the side of SK. I’m liking both sides here to fit your stacks but it will be a lower scoring matchup and I am leaning towards XL to pull off the win, Favorite plays are Kryze, Dan, and Patrik.
Team Vitality (+130) vs Mad Lions (-180)
Mad lions was a big let down yesterday for many as they lost to XL in a very close match in the late game. Vitality on the other hand, is coming in on a losing streak and looks to be one of the worst teams in the LEC. This will be another lower kill matchup as the only time Vitality has given up more than 15 kills was against Fnatic. I fully expect a win here in a get right spot from Mad Lions but I do not expect too many kills here and would only take as value, mainly on a small stack again.
Diving into the stacks Vitality surprisingly has more advantages in their Herald and Baron rates as Mad Lions tends to lead everywhere else, ML early and late game have been better and this will tend on if they are able to beat out Vitality hard enough in the early game. Favorite plays are Humanoid, Armut, and team spot.
Rogue (-850) vs Astralis (+475)
Rogue is coming fresh off a loss to Schalke 04 as their first loss of the split. Rogue is still one of the best teams in the LEC as they are extremely dominant in their approach to the game with their focus around objectives allowing them to get massive gold advantages at 15 mins. Astralis on the other hand has been the worst team in the LEC only picking up a win over Vitality, I do not expect this team to do anything here and this matchup will be how much do they feed into Rogue.
Every stat is in favor of Rogue as expected and they will look to play through their ADC/MID in Hans Sama and Larssen. They are once again going to be my small stack and in cash games on DK I am using them to fill with my G2 4 stack. Favorite plays are the whole team today.
G2 (-250) vs Fnatic (+180)
I have been hyping this match up throughout the article so far so lets hear about why. I expect this to possibly even be a game stack possibility as I can see the possibility of a 50 kill game between the two. These are the most aggressive, scrappy teams in the LEC. Fnatic/Astralis had 25 kills through 15 minutes yesterday and I could only imagine how many more will be here in G2/Fnatic. I am extremely excited to watch this match today and it will possibly be the bloodiest match of the year with these two teams.
Every minute this game goes on I would expect minimum 1 kill. The Ckpm here is 1.13 for fnatic and 0.91 for G2. This is the match to 4 stack today. These teams are dead even in the early game stats while G2 tends to pull away late game. They play through their bot lane well as their drake % is 71% which is incredibly high. Please take your 4 stacks from G2 today, you will not regret it. Favorite plays are Jankos, Caps, Rekkles, Mikyx. I will give this one a shot at a game stack for this slate and would not be against a 4-2-1 of G2, Fnatic, and a 1 off at team.
Summary
The summary of our 2/6 League of Legends LEC Breakdown where I believe the winners will be Schalke, XL, Mad Lions, Rogue, and G2. 4 STACK G2. I will live and die on this G2 hill today. For our other articles click here, I will be in our discord here. You can also find me here on Twitter @DfsGet.