Josh Barzal 
2/5 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown
Welcome to tonight’s 2/5 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown where I will be digging into our 4 game slate tonight to try to give you all the edge. Last night I got killed by subs and im sure most of you did too as KT decided to throw their matches and sub out their mid/jg duo which killed them. Tonight we have DWG/LSB, GEN/NS, TT/LGD, and SN/EDG, this is shaping up to be a great cash game slate with gpp upside.
DWG (-1600) vs Sandbox (+650)
This is the first of our two LCK matches and it is admittedly the safe match in terms of lineups today. We have the top team in the LCK and the bottom team on the LCK on this slate, DWG are priced up but not too high tonight and they are a spot I like as a small stack to fill your lineups out with safe wins and decent scoring.
Digging into the stats tonight DWG lead in everything tonight except for first drake which is expected in the team gap. Top lane goes over to DWG, along with jungle, mid, and the bot lane. I am taking DWG to take this match in a 2-0, but will say their upside is limited in how quickly they may finish these games.
GEN G (-425) vs NS (+280)
We may all hate Gen G right about now including me, I will say that I am not touching their mid/jg spots while I am more comfortable in taking their TOP/ADC/TEAM spots as it is Rascal, Ruler, and a very objective focused team. This is not a match I like for upside as in their recent loses NS has dies only around 14 times per match. I am taking a 2-0 here from GEN but not risking anything and will mostly have their Team spot in my lineups.
Taking a quick look at the stats, I thought there may be a stat in favor of NS and I was right, Elder Dragon… meaning every meaningful objective is in favor of GEN. Favorite plays from Gen are Rascal, Ruler, and the GEN team spot. Not looking for big stacks here either so look for a small stack or just the team spot preferably.
TT (-180) vs LGD (+130)
This is the match tonight I am most interested in tonight as it should have the most upside and gives the best value on the slate. Both of these teams are bottom dwellers in the LPL but TT is looking up winning their past 2 matches while LGD is still floundering even with the return of their star ADC in Kramer. TT has been able to play through SamD and Twila and I expect them to do more of that tonight and I will be taking them as my four stack tonight as their value is the best on the slate and allows me to get whatever ADC double stack I want and shoot for safety on the night in the best possible lineup that I have been able to build up.
This feels like it would be a closer match of the night but the stats do not support that as TT leads in almost every statistical category, only leading in First blood. TT has been a much better looking team recently and I expect them to once again roll tonight as my favorite play on the slate and the team I am 4 stacking in all my lineups. Favorite plays are SamD, Twila, Xiaopeng, and Teeen.
EDG (-215) vs Suning (+155)
This will be the best match of the night, not exactly for the upside but just to watch if anyone is interested. EDG is the last unbeaten team in the LPL and that is a dangerous thing with how scrappy the LPL is, though these teams are not very scrappy. I do not expect a high scoring match tonight as I believe both teams will score relatively low in a win with them playing into scaling comps. This match also has the highest chance at an upset tonight as Suning is a very good team that has the advantage in vision and jungle pressure
EDG has a stark advantage in the early and late game, leading in key stats such as First Turret, Drakes, and Baron. I believe both teams also draft towards their carries tonight in Huenfeng and V1per, the top lane matchup is very close with bin and flandre as both are stable for their team and will hold down the weakside. Jungle is also very even as Jiejie has been playing out of his mind and SofM has been his normal self vacuuming up the jungle. Mid goes over to Scout and I will make bot lane an even draw. This will be a very close match between two teams with similar styles though I expect EDG to win a 2-1 but would hedge here. Favorite plays Scout, V1per, Meiko.
Summary
The summary for our 2/5 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown, DWG 2-0, GENG 2-0, TT 2-0, and EDG 2-1. I expect the bloodiest match to be in TT/LGD and the least bloody to be GEN/NS. Not taking Gen players for sub risk but love their team spot too. We have 5 game slates starting tomorrow and I am excited to get into those along with LEC and LCS articles coming out tomorrow. Let’s hit the green tonight, for our other articles at Win daily Sports click here, to join our discord where I will further discuss tonight’s slate click here, I am also on Twitter @DfsGet. Have a great night everyone and hope we wake up to a green morning.
