Josh Barzal 
2/3 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown
Welcome to my 2/3 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown, last night was a good night as our 4 stacks of EDG turned out nice with WE falling to RA. This worked out nice especially for the GPP builds with RA at team spot and Scout at captain. Really helpful that V5 decided to throw game one by staying way too long under turret. Diving into tonight we have another set of 4 games with T1/NS, GEN/DRX, ES/TT, and JDG/RW. This one seems like a more stable slate so let’s dig into it.
T1 (-245) vs. NS (+175)
Starting off with the first of two LCK matches we have T1 vs NS, these are two teams with very different results last time out as T1 fell hard to AF and NS pulled off the upset 2-0 over KT with Peanut carrying the first match and Deokdam being able to be a carry-in both matches. T1 absolutely threw their match against AF, they had a win but played so passively and wouldn’t commit to a fight losing them their match. We also have no idea who T1 is going to throw out there to start the match today as I believe everyone is up in the air except for Keria
For this match, the stats are relatively even across the board and I believe it depends on the starters for T1 who wins this match, If they give it to Canna/Cuzz/Faker/Teddy/Keria then I will be taking T1 to win, though having no idea who will be starting I am taking NS in a reasonable 2-1 victory as they are able to play through the jungle and bot lane. Favorite plays are Peanut/Deokdam/NS team.
Gen G (-575) vs. DRX (+350)
This will be the more predictable of the two LCK matches as GEN are once again at the top of the league while DRX is coming off a loss to KT in a 2-0 fashion. The early game here goes over to Gen while the very late game tends to favor DRX as they are scaling, though I do believe the gap created early by Gen will be too much to overcome. I do believe the lineup for gen will be pretty set tonight, expect flawless to once again get the start in the jungle while DRX will also roll out the same lineup.
Looking through the stats GEN leads in almost every category and the only problem I see with Gen tonight is their upside in a win. DRX is a team I expect to get rolled due to Gen being a better overall team, and with it being the LCK I believe it is a safer pick. Favorite plays are Rascal/Ruler/Flawless/GenG team.
Estar (-250) vs. TT (+180)
This is one of the key matchups of the night where depending on who you take it will be a deciding factor in what type of build you will be able to take tonight. Taking TT will allow you to go for a 4 stack of JDG with LokeN at captain which is the highest upside build of the night. Though the question is if TT is able to pull off another upset tonight. They do have ways to victory tonight but Estar is coming off three straight losses to playoff teams which will make people overlook them as an option tonight, also because of how well TT fits into the builds for the night.
Taking a dive into the stats of the matchup, Estar has a better early and late game rating while, somewhat surprisingly, TT leads in all stats other than First Blood. This matchup may also come down to the draft as both teams tend to draft to their carries and with Estar getting first pick tonight I believe that they will use their draft capital on H4cker and use him as their win-con for tonight’s matchup. In their matchup against V5, TT came out strong and Xiaopeng and SamD were able to carry for their team and have a bloody win in the process. Favorite plays are SamD, Twila, Xiaopeng, and TT team spot.
JDG (-1000) vs. RW (+525)
This is our last matchup of the night and I believe to be the bloodiest with the most upside for the side of JDG. RW dies and dies a lot. They have the most deaths in the LPL on the season with 276 deaths, averaging over 20 deaths per loss while JDG is a bloodier team in wins and I expect a bloodbath on their side for this match. Think back to the IG v RW series and I believe it will be similar to what happens tonight as I am expecting around a 50 kill 2 game series for JDG tonight.
RW leads JDG in first turret rate while JDG leads in almost every other statistical category. This is the LPL of all leagues so I can not say I will completely rule out an upset but I am giving RW a 1% chance max to take the win here. The favorite 4 stack of the night is JDG, especially on FanDuel as they are easier to get to on there. My favorite plays would be Zoom/Yagao/LokeN/LvMao, I believe this will be a clean 2-0 tonight.
Summary
Summary of our 2/3 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown, Predictions from each team are NS 2-1, wouldn’t target this match too much other than for value, T1 isn’t a bad play if you stay up for lineups tonight. GEN 2-0, I believe this will be a roll and there is a possibility it is too quick of a win but with the objective focus of this team you can never rule out their team spot. I have TT winning 2-1 over Estar but this would be a hedge match for me as TT allows me to get a 4 stack of JDG with LokeN at captain. I am finally taking JDG to go up 2-0 on RW tonight with two bloody matches, they are my favorite 4 stack of the night and I will definitely have them in all Lineups on FanDuel. For our other articles on every sport click here, to join our discord click here, and to follow me on Twitter click here. Let’s try to have a great night everyone and we should hit some green.
