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While it’s a short three-game slate, we have some fascinating fixtures ahead of us. In fact, all three games have a spread within a six-point margin with all three totals in the 220-range. That should lead to a gluttony of fantasy points and that’s always fun for us. There are some injury situations to monitor too and that will obviously be a huge focus in this article. With that in mind, let’s get into our 10/31 NBA DFS Plays!
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10/31 NBA DFS Point Guards
Jamal Murray, DEN at NO
DK ($6,600) FD ($7,100)
This price is just too cheap for someone of Murray’s ability. So far this season, the Denver point guard is averaging 32.5 DK points per game. What I like is the fact that he’s averaging 34.4 minutes played and 15 shots per game, which is monster usage from a player in this price range. Someone this talented with a usage rate like that is a godsend against the Pelicans, with New Orleans allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing point guards.
Lonzo Ball, NO vs. DEN
DK ($6,900) FD ($7,400)
The Pelicans are dealing with a ton of injuries yet again and it’s leading to Lonzo handling the ball a ton. Having Zion Williamson, Derrick Favors and Jrue Holiday all on the sidelines has opened up the door for a ton of stats and that’s what Ball loves. In fact, the UCLA product is averaging 15 points, 4.7 rebounds, 8.0 assists and 2.3 steals over his last three games. That’s really all you can ask for and it’s scary to think that he could play upwards to 40 minutes with all of these other players out. Denver has been struggling with PGs this season too, owning a 24th OPRK against that position this season.
10/31 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
DeAndre’ Bembry, ATL vs. MIA
DK ($4,700) FD ($4,700)
With Trae Young missing this game, we project Bembry to enter the lineup as the starting point guard. That’s about 50 DK points, 20 shots and a 37 percent usage rate out of the lineup. That means there’s plenty for Bembry to pick-up and a stat-stuffer like this is a perfect punt play in DFS with the potential to play 30-plus minutes. In 15 games where Bembry played at least 29 minutes last season, he actually averaged close to 35 DK points per game. That would equate to 8X value at this price tag and that alone makes him one of the best value plays of the day.
Bryn Forbes, SAN at LAC
DK ($4,100) FD ($4,400)
Forbes just continues to be disrespected by these DFS sites and it doesn’t make sense. He’s done nothing but produce dating back to last season and he should be above $5,000 on both sites. In fact, Forbes is averaging 26.3 DK points per game this season, which would equate to a player between $5,000 and $5,500. What I like is the fact that he’s taking 12.3 shots per game while playing over 31 minutes per outing. That role is undeniable from such a cheap player and we really can’t fade him at a price like this.
10/31 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Kawhi Leonard, LAC vs. SAN
DK ($9,500) FD ($10,300)
Leonard sat out Wednesday’s game so he could be ready for this one. While a guy like Kawhi doesn’t need any extra motivation, facing the Spurs will surely light a spark under those beautiful cornrows. The reason for that is because this is the coach and organization who didn’t listen to him regarding his injury and eventually traded him. A player this good playing with extra fire has to be scary for the Spurs, with Leonard averaging 52 DK points per game across just 28.4 minutes a game this season. Most importantly, he has a 37 percent usage rate which is one of the highest totals in the NBA.
Cam Reddish, ATL vs. MIA
DK ($4,600) FD ($4,400)
With Young out of the lineup, Reddish should take on a ton of ball-handling duties. That was the case in the game where Young rolled his ankle, with Reddish collecting 22 DK points in that loss to the Heat. He also attempted 10 shots in that game and posted a 26 percent usage rate, indicating that he’s their number-two option behind John Collins. An increased role from a talented rookie is big news and it’s awesome that we get to take advantage of this in the $4,500-range.
10/31 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Paul Millsap, DEN at NO
DK ($5,300) FD ($5,700)
Millsap has been an underrated player throughout his career and I’ll continue to fire him up as long as he’s below $6,000. We’re talking about a player who averages over 30 DK points per game for his career and the Nuggets last game shows that they trust him. Not only did he take 17 shots, he also played 31 minutes. Anyone who has that sort of potential at this price is definitely in consideration and we haven’t even discussed this matchup. Not only do the Pelicans allow the most fantasy points to opposing power forwards, they’re also thin at the PF position with Favors and Williamson sidelined.
Kenrich Williams, NO vs. DEN
DK ($3,800) FD ($4,600)
The last sentence of the Millsap write-up led me to love this pick. This team is extremely shallow in their frontcourt and that should force Williams into big minutes. That was the case on Tuesday, with Kenrich accruing 36 DK points in 26 minutes of action. This is a dude who provides value when given the minutes too, averaging about a fantasy points-per minute for his career. If that’s the case, we’re looking at about 30 DK points in 30 minutes of action here, which would equate to 8X value.
10/31 NBA DFS Centers
Nikola Jokic, DEN at NO
DK ($10,000) FD ($10,400)
In such a short slate, let’s go with the best option on the board. We have provided numerous value plays throughout this article and that’ll make it so much easier to get Jokic into your build. That’s going to be critical when looking at his floor, with Jokic averaging 46.5 DK points per game. That total is actually below expectations, with Jokic dealing with foul trouble numerous times while playing just 31 minutes per game. We expect Jokic to play closer to 35 minutes from here on out and that’s big news against a Pelicans team who plays at one of the fastest paces in the league while ranking 28th in defensive efficiency. Don’t be surprised to see the big man record his third triple-double of the season.
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John Collins Over 20.5 Points
While Collins didn’t find his way into the article, I wanted to save him for this. With Trae Young out, Collins should be guaranteed to lead the team in shots taken and usage. That’s big news for a guy who just dropped 30 points against this Miami team on Tuesday.
Jokic, Murray and Ingram Over 139.5 Fantasy Points
All three of these guys should be in for big games in what should be one of the fastest-paced fixtures of the night. Look for Jokic to provide nearly half of this total.
