HappyWednesday to all of you and welcome to the DFS Diamonds with some Week 9NFL, NBA, NHL and props. I’ll go game by game, but know that just because Imight be avoiding the game doesn’t mean I won’t throw in a lineup or 3 in theMilly Maker. I’ll go over an early view of Week 9 NFL and the NBA and NHL slatefor 10/30.
Pleasemessage me with any questions on our premium slack channel or Twitter. Happyreading!
NFLWeek 9
Lionsvs. Raiders – Game Stack of the Week #1
Unfortunatelywe have no Atlanta Falcons defense to pick on this week , but I like picking onthe Raiders pass defense as well. On topof all that, I like attacking the beat up secondary of the Lions as well. Withthe bad secondaries and terrible pass defenses, sign me up for this shootout ofa game. This game will probably garner a lot of ownership, but have no fear becauseI have a second game stack of the week for you all.
Core Plays – 10/30 DFS
- FanDuel
- Derek Carr, QB, OAK – $7,300
- Matthew Stafford, QB, DET – $7,900
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,700
- Kenny Golladay, WR, DET – $7,600
- Josh Jacobs , RB, OAK – $7,200
- Darren Waller, TE, OAK – $6,800
- Tyrell Williams, WR, OAK – $6,300
- DraftKings
- Derek Carr, QB, OAK – $5,500
- Matthew Stafford, QB, DET – $6,800
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $6,000
- Kenny Golladay, WR, DET – $7,700
- Josh Jacobs , RB, OAK – $6,500
- Darren Waller, TE, OAK – $6,300
- Tyrell Williams, WR, OAK – $5,900
Value Plays – 10/30 DFS
- FanDuel
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,700
- TJ Hockenson , TE , DET – $5,000
- DraftKings
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $6,000
- T.J. Hockenson , TE , DET – $3,700
Seahawksvs. Bucs – Second Game Stack of the Week
Thisis the second shootout game of the week. Seahawks got thrown all around by MattSchaub and the secondary is not very good. Both pass defenses are weak and both run defenses are actually not bad.Target the passing game!
Core Plays – 10/30 DFS
- FanDuel
- Jameis Winston, QB, TB – $7,500
- Russell Wilson, QB, SEA – $8,600
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $7,500
- Chris Godwin, WR, TB – $8,200
- Mike Evans, WR, TB – $8,100
- DraftKings
- Jameis Winston, QB, TB – $6,100
- Russell Wilson, QB, SEA – $7,100
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $7,500
- Chris Godwin, WR, TB – $7,300
- Mike Evans, WR, TB – $7,200
Other Favorite Plays – 10/30 DFS
- JoshAllen with John Brown (BUF)
- MitchellTrubisky with Allen Robinson (CHI)
- KirkCousins with Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen (MIN)
- AdamThielen on FD = Broken Price
NBA – 10/30 DFS
I’llbe focusing on my core and GPP plays for each position along with my favoritevalue plays. I did mention that I like to wait and see two weeksbefore I go heavy into my bankroll for NBA to see what offenses to targetagainst bad defenses. For example, the Clippers were one of the worst defenseslast year, but with some big upgrades this season, I see them as a Top 10defense now. This is why I like the wait and see approach for the first fewweeks of the season.
Wementioned this in our Premium Slack Channel yesterday, but with NBA DFS, youneed to stay locked in between the final hour before lock until lock. If youcan’t be engaged during that hour, we recommend avoiding the NBA slate.Starting lineups and other news is vital to being successful in NBA DFS. I willstill be playing a good chunk for the first few weeks so let’s win some moneyand dive in.
My 10/30 DFS Core and Value Plays by Position:
- Core Plays – PG
- Ricky Rubio, PG, PHX – FD: $6,500 ; DK – $6,200
- Ricky Rubio is on FIRE. He continues to thrive on the Suns and I expect him to continue versus a Golden State team who allows about 200 points per game. On a serious note, I expect a very high scoring game and Rubio is still too cheap
- Value Play – TBD
- Honestly don’t see one right now and I feel like spending on Brogdon or Lowry on FD to pair with Rubio. Rubio is a lock. I can see the play for Westbrook, but I fear a blowout versus a rebuilding Washington team.
- Ricky Rubio, PG, PHX – FD: $6,500 ; DK – $6,200
- Core Plays – SG
- RJ Barrett, SG, NY – FD : $7,200; DK – $6,500
- I will be the first to admit that I was not a fan of RJ coming into the season. I thought he was an overrated player and I didn’t believe him to thrive in the NBA. My exact words from Monday and I’ll mirror it again. He faces a weak team in Orlando and I expect a higher paced game with him thriving once again
- Value Play – Bogdan Bogdanovic, SG, TOR – FD : $5,300; DK – $3,800
- With a banged up Kings frontcourt, it’s only a matter of team before Bogdan finally gets going. He is usually the first man off the bench, but he thrives as the sixth man and I expect him to have a huge game very soon. This could be the game
- RJ Barrett, SG, NY – FD : $7,200; DK – $6,500
- Core Plays – SF
- Pascal Siakam, SF, TOR– FD : $8,600; DK – $8,400
- Kelly Oubre, SF, PHX– FD : $6,900; DK – $6,200
- Bojan Bogdanovic, SF, UTA– FD : $6,400; DK – $5,500
- T.J. Warren, SF, IND– FD : $5,900; DK – $5,600
- I’m loading up the SF position because I literally like these five guys. I’m finding a tough time finding value on this slate, but I’m liking my player pool to consist of these five guys. I’ll be building only three lineups tomorrow and I figure to have these five guys in my three lineups.
- **UPDATE – Kawhi is OUT. Might be able to find value for him tonight. Usage for Clips will go up also, but don’t like the matchup. **
- Core Plays – PF
- Domantas Sabonis, PF, IND – FD: $8,400; DK – $7,900
- I’m going to go back to the well with Sabonis on this slate. Brooklyn still has a tough time defending the big man and I expect him or Myles Turner to go off. I’ll take my chances on Sabonis.
- Value Play – Nemanja Bjelica, PF, SAC – FD : $4,900; DK – $4,400
- With Bagley out for four to six weeks, Bjelica has taken over and he finally had a killer game his last time out. They play a bad Charlotte team who can’t defend the bigs so I’ll load up on some value with him.
- Domantas Sabonis, PF, IND – FD: $8,400; DK – $7,900
- Core Plays – C
- Myles Turner, C, POR – FD: $7,400; DK – $7,000
- Cody Zeller, C, POR – FD: $6,600; DK – $6,000
- DeAndre Jordan, C, BKN – FD: $5,000 ; DK – $4,700
- This is another spot where I plan to find some value. Embiid, Drummond, and Towns are all playing and in phenomenal matchups , especially Embiid and Towns who face off against each other, but I want value at Center. I feel like I may pivot to Embiid or Towns as the day progresses, but I’ll hold tight with these three for now. I don’t like Sabonis and Turner in the same lineup, but it could work.
**UPDATED VALUE PLAYS**
- Dario Saric, PF, PHX
- Dewayne Dedmon, C, SAC
- Davis Bertans, PF, WSH
- Marcus Smart, SG, BOS
- Dwayne Bacon, SG, CHA
- Nerlens Noel, PF, OKC
Javi’s Sexy Six
- Steph Curry, PG, GS
- Ricky Rubio, PG, PHX
- Dario Saric, PF, PHX or Kelly Oubre, Jr., SF, PHX or Devin Booker, SG, PHX
- Pascal Siakam, SF, TOR
- Davis Bertans, PF, WAS or Marcus Smart, SG, BOS
- Myles Turner, C, IND or Cody Zeller, C, CHA
- If you can fit Embiid, C, PHI then go for it!
NHL– 10/30 DFS
I’llbe focusing on my core plays for NHL slate. I’ll be focusing on my favoritegoaltenders and the two games I want to focus on. With these games, I plan ontargeting the power-play units instead of the lines. I’ve come to conclusionthat targeting a team from each of these games paired with the top goaltenderhave been the most successful method thus far. For cash, you can focus on a2-2-2-2 stack and go with a 3-3-2 or 4-3-1 stack for GPPs.
I’lltry to update this closer to lock.
My 10/30 DFS Core and Value Plays by Position:
- Panthers vs. Avs – Favorite Game Stack
- I like this game because it’s the highest implied goal total for the night and because we go back to the well with the defensive deficient Florida Panthers. As much as I believe in them, I target the Avs side this game as I think the Panthers are tired from the west coast road trip and they play against one of the hottest teams in the Avs
- Players to Target:
- Florida PP1
- Aleksander Barkov, C, FLA – Expensive, but hasn’t scored a goal. This could be the game to score one or two as the Avs don’t play the best defense
- Jonathan Huberdeau, W, FLA
- Mike Hoffman, W, FLA
- Keith Yandle, D, FLA
- Evgenii Dadonov, W, FLA
- Favorite Stack – Colorado PP1 – Good value with Rantenan and Landeskog out.
- Nathan McKinnon, C, COL
- Nazem Kadri, C, COL
- Andre Burakovsky, W, COL
- Sam Girard, D, COL
- Florida PP1
- Coyotes vs. Canadiens
- This is my sneaky stack of the night. The Lightning and Devils game is tied for highest Vegas total with the Panthers-Avs, but I think this game comes out to be one of the higher scoring games. I believe it’s a pure GPP play, but they could garner ownership with a smaller slate. Even though the Canadiens are on the road, I like their side more than the Coyotes. I do like the Coyotes PP1 as value.
- Favorite Players
- Value Play – Coyotes PP1
- Clayton Keller, W, ARI
- Phil Kessel, W, ARI
- Derek Stephan, C, ARI
- Christian Dvorak, C, ARI
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson, D, ARI
- Core Play – MON PP1
- Brendan Gallagher, W, MON
- Jonathan Drouin, W, MON
- Shea Weber, D, MON
- Jesperi Kotkaniemi, C, MON
- Core Play – MON PP2
- Max Domi, C, MON
- Tomas Tatar, W, MON
- Jeff Petry, D, MON
- Joel Armia, W, MON
- Value Play – Coyotes PP1