jason mezrahi 
The Astros can close out the World Series in six games tonight, and our 10/29 DFS picks for MLB will provide some GPP and cash game options to win big!
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10/29 DFS MLB: DK Showdown(8:07 p.m. EST)
Thegame: World Series Game 6 – Houston Astros at Washington Nationals, 8:07 p.m.EST
The projected implied totals put the Astros one run up at 4.0 to withthe Nats 3.0. With the total at 7, we could have some shares of SP and closers here.
10/29 DFS SP Strategy andGame Notes
Feel free toperuse my pre-game notes on this matchup ahead of Game 2,especially if you need more information on starters Justin Verlander (DK $16,500/$11,000) and Stephen Strasburg (DK $16,200/$10,800).
These pitchersare evenly matched, and the matchup of these talented hurlers could be one toremember. But Verlander’s velocity is down a bit, and his slider command isn’t whatit was earlier in the season. The Astros ace has also given up six home runs inhis last four games (23.1 IP) to go along with 14 earned runs and 27 Ks. Despitehis recent vulnerability to the longball, he’s pitching to a 3.88 SIERA this postseason.
Verlander hasthrown over 100 pitches in four straight postseason games and will probablyreach that number again tonight in one of the biggest games of his life. Ithink he’s a lock for 15+ DK points with 30-point upside.
Strasburg hasdone a better job limiting damage and has, for the most part, kept opposinghitters in check this postseason, but he yielded seven hits to the Astros juggernautover 6 IP in Game 2. He’s thrown more pitches than Verlander in his past coupleoutings, with 117 against St. Louis in Game 3 of the NLCS and 114 in Game 2 of theWorld Series. He’s carrying a 1.93 ERA this postseason and an impressive 2.08SIERA with 40 Ks in five games (four stars and one three-inning reliefappearance in the NL Wild Card game).
I think Strasburg makes for a fine play in this game, based on his 40:2 K/BB ratio across 28 IP, and the fact that the only runs he allowed in Game 2 came in the first inning on a two-run home run by Alex Bregman.
There’s no way to fade either pitcher except on a hunch that the Natseven this thing up behind a classic performance by Strasburg. For every ten lineupsI make, I’ll include both pitchers in about four, count on one or the other infour more, and have two that are hitters only.
Let’s get to the hitters.
10/29 DFS Hitters
Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve and Michael Brantley are my favoriteAstros bats, which is a problem because we can’t fit them without sacrificingpitching. Yordan Alvarez isn’t as cheap as Brantley, but he has more upside forhis HR power. For Washington, I’m focused on Juan Soto, Trea Turner and KurtSuzuki (hip flexor strain) – but only if he’s healthy enough to catch Strasburg.Howie Kendrick and Asdrubal Cabrera make some sense, with Kendrick as apowerful RHB and Cabrera getting the nod for value.
10/29 DFS Washington Nationals bats
Juan Soto (DK $13,500/$9,000)
I’m just going to keep playing him, even with the reduced pricingdaring me to do so and the chalky taste I’ll get in my mouth after plugging himin. He went yard on Sunday in Game 5 and remains the Nats hottest and besthitter this postseason. Soto now has a 125 wRC+ this postseason to go with 4HR, 12 RBI and a .268 ISO in 15 games. He’s hit two of those homers in this series,and I’m, not betting against a third.
Trea Turner (DK $13,200/$8,800)
Turner got blanked in Game 5, but we’re going back to the well. He’s going to have more ABs than any other National in this game and he’s too good not to have some kind of impact in consecutive games. The power hasn’t been there this postseason, but the metrics say he’s still a good bet. Plus, Minute Maid park gives right-handed hitters a huge bump because of the increased RHB HR factor.
Howie Kendrick (DK $12,900/$8,600)
The BvP data against Verlander is terrible, (5-for-26 career with 0 HR and .077 IS), .230 wOBA) but it’s still a relatively small sample at 26 ABs. I’m leaning toward Kendrick because he’s a right-handed power hitter who’s come up in big spots during his postseason career.
Spotlight Value: Asdrubal Cabrera (DK $10,500/$7,000) and Kurt Suzuki (DK $9,600/$6,400)
Cabrera has decent numbers against Verlander and has seen him more than anybody on this team – over 30 times more than anybody, to be precise. He’s a professional hitter with plenty of gas in the tank and sneaky power. Don’t play Suzuki in too many lineups if he doesn’t start. I’ll have him in maybe one out of 10 if he doesn’t since he’s a better contact hitter than Gomes and they may need his bat during the desperation innings. If Suzuki doesn’t start, Yan Gomes is cheap and worth a look for his HR upside. Suzuki recently said he was feeling better but would reassess his availability for Game 6 on Tuesday morning.
Other 10/29 DFS options: Anthony Rendon (DK $14,700/$9,800), Adam Eaton (DK $10,800/$7,200), Victor Robles (DK $10,500/$7,000), Yan Gomes — if he starts (DK $6,900/$4,600)
10/29 DFS Houston Astros bats
Alex Bregman (DK $13,800/$9,200)
Blanked on Sunday,Bregman looks to get back on the home run train in Game 6, as the even-numberedgames have yielded dingers in this World Series. That funky numerology aside,he’s the best hitter on the Astros and he’s not going to break your bank if youplug him in at captain. That’s where I’ll want him tonight.
Jose Altuve (DK $14,100/$9,400)
Altuve doesn’t have any homers in this World Series yet, but hedoes have eight hits in the last four games. I’ll have plenty of shares, evenas the team’s second most expensive hitter. George Springer is a good play too,but he’s a few more dollars and it’s hard to fit both.
Yordan Alvarez (DK $12,300/$8,200)
He’s heating up and can go back to his comfort zone at DH in Game6. The matchup is a difficult one, but the more he sees Strasburg, the better.I’ll have some shares, but I’m not going overboard.
Spotlight Value: MichaelBrantley ($11,700/$7,800)
Brantley is getting a lot of hits and provides the best value onthe Astros team. He’s yet to be flummoxed by the opposing pitchers, and hasjust one strikeout in the entire series – a truly remarkable numbers in today’s“three true outcomes” game. For the guy who puts it in play more than anybodyelse in Houston, I’m buying.
Other 10/29 DFS options: George Springer (DK $14,400/$9,600), Yuri Gurriel (DK $11,100/$7,400), Carlos Correa (DK $12,000/$8,000), Josh Reddick (DK $7,200/$4,800), Robinson Chirinos ($9,300/$6,200)
Sample DK GPP lineup #1 (Contrarianw/Brantley up top)
CPT – M. Brantley ($11,700)
UTIL – S. Strasburg ($10,800)
UTIL – A. Bregman ($9,200)
UTIL – J. Soto ($9,000)
UTIL – Y. Gomes ($7,200)
UTIL – S. Doolittle ($3,800)
Sample DK GPP lineup #2 (Bregman CPT w/ Verlander UTIL)
CPT – A. Bregman ($13,800)
UTIL – J. Verlander ($11,000
UTIL – M. Brantley ($7,800)
UTIL – A. Cabrera ($6,600)
UTIL – R. Chirinos ($6,200)
UTIL – Y. Gomes ($4,600)
Sample DK GPP lineup #3 (Suzukiplays, Nats dominate)
CPT – S. Strasburg ($16,200)
UTIL – K. Suzuki ($8,700)
UTIL – S. Doolittle ($3,800)
UTIL – M. Brantley ($8,000)
UTIL – J. Soto ($9,000)
UTIL – V. Robles ($7,000)
10/29 DFS Hitters forFD Single-game
You know the routine – no pitchers to consider so we can have somefun with the hitters!
Sample FD GPP lineup #1
MVP (2x) – Bregman ($9,500)
All-Star (1.5x) – Brantley ($7,500)
UTIL – Turner ($7,500)
UTIL – Gomes ($4,000)
UTIL – Alvarez ($6,000)
Sample FD GPP lineup #2
MVP (2x) – Soto ($8,000)
All-Star (1.5x) – Turner ($7,500)
UTIL – Kendrick ($4,500)
UTIL – A. Cabrera ($6,000)
UTIL – J. Altuve ($8,500)
Sample FD GPP lineup #3
MVP (2x) – Alvarez ($6,000)
All-Star (1.5x) – Soto ($8,000)
UTIL – Gomes ($4,000)
UTIL – J. Altuve ($8,500)
UTIL – M. Brantley ($7,500)
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HR Challenge — Pick the Players that will get the most Home Runs
Goal: 0.50, Prize: 2x — Juan Soto, Alex Bregman, Yuri Gurriel
These guys all have power and this park is a good hitters park for RHBs. Soto is a lefty but red hot at the plate, and getting one dinger among these three is nearly a lock.
