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The World Series gets underway tonight in Houston, and we’ve got your 10/22 DFS picks for MLB at Win Daily Sports. Lets win some green!
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10/22 DFS MLB: DK Showdown(8:08 p.m. EST)
The game: World Series Game 1 – Washington Nationals at HoustonAstros, 8:08 p.m. EST
10/22 DFS SP Strategy and Picks
Rostering Houston starter Gerrit Cole in the Captain slot is a major priority. Cole started his career in the NL with the Pirates, and these Nats hitters are collectively slashing .227/.265/.340 against him in 97 total AB.
Batters from either side of the plate were below a .250wOBA & xwOBA against Cole this season. His home wOBA, in a hitters’ parkwas just .229. He issued just 19 walks at home compared to 174 Ks for acompletely ridiculous 9.16 K/BB ratio.
Cole has a 0.40 ERA with 32 Ks in 22.2 IP this postseason.He struck out 326 batters over 212.1 IP and cruised to a 20-5 record with a0.89 WHIP and 2.48 xFIP. His lefty-righty splits (2.43 xFIP vs. LHBs and 2.52xFIP vs. RHBs) don’t show any pronounced differences.
Scherzer is fine to pair with Cole in cash games, though wemight try to mix things up a bit in GPPs – as fading Scherzer and picking the rightHouston bats could work.
Morenotes:
- Offensively, both teams are capable, but Houston has the edge – since they get more offense from the entire order and have a .355 team wOBA and 125 wRC+. The Nats came in at .336 xOBA and 102 wRC+.
- The game total opened at just 6.5, with some Vegas books offering 7, and The Astros range from -190 to -210 favorites – putting the implied totals at 3.5 to 4 for the Astros and about 3.0 for Washington.
- This should be a game without a lot of offense, so in GPPs, we’re essentially looking for home run power from unlikely sources – with catchers and bench players possibly playing an important role.
- Stay tuned to the starting lineups – we could get some value from the bottom of both orders.
10/22 DFS Hitters
It’s going to be toughto find the right bats for the 10/22 DFS Showdown, but I have all the confidencein the world we can do it. The pricingis reasonable for a couple Houston bats I’m high on, and there’s a relativelycheap Nats’ hitter that provides the kind of upside we’re looking for in the difficultmatchup against Cole.
10/22 DFS Washington Nationalsbats
AnthonyRendon (DK $14,100/$9,400)
The Nats’ third baseman is the best hitter on the team, posting a1.013 OPS in the 2019 regular season. He had at least one hit in every game of thepostseason except Game 1 of the NLDS and provides the most general upside ofany hitter in the Nats lineup. I won’t be 100%, but I’ll have plenty ofexposure in the balanced lineups I build.
TreaTurner (DK $13,200/$8,800)
If Turner can get onbase, which he’s shown a knack for doing (career-high .353 OBP in 2019), he canget something going. Solving Cole won’t be easy, but the Yankees managed to getnine baserunners (4 hits, 5 BB) versus Cole in Game 3. Turner has power, speedand the patience to get aboard (he’s also drawn three walks in this postseason)against anyone.
JuanSoto (DK $12,600/$8,400)
The junk-grabbing shuffle he’s doing against certain pitchers is pretty hilarious, and it even has its own Twitter page, but it’s testament to the confidence this young hitter flaunts at the dish. He’s hit a couple big homers this postseason and finished the 2019 regular season with a .394 wOBA – a number that jumps to .414 versus RHPs. Soto won’t be intimidated by Cole and stands as good a shot as any to take him deep, so I’ll be including him on my short list of Nats hitters that have what can be considered a “favorable” matchup – favorable being a relative term against a stud like Cole.
SpotlightValue: Matt Adams (DK $6,900/$4,600)
Adams will should see ABs for the Nationals – he’s 4-for-17 career off Cole with a HR and 5 Ks. He and Michael Taylor (1-for-6, HR, 2 Ks) are the only Nats hitters to have taken Cole deep. If he starts, Adams is my free square. He’s had a rough September/October, and has just three plate appearances in the 2019 postseason, but he’s had more ABs against Cole than anyone else except Asdrubal Cabrera. He’s also got a history of some October clout on his resume.
Otheroptions: Howie Kendrick (DK $11,400/$7,600), Adam Eaton (DK $8,100/$5,400),Victor Robles (DK $7,800/$5,200), Kurt Suzuki (DK $7,500/$5,000), MichaelTaylor (DK $6,600/$4,400)
10/22 DFS Houston Astros bats
AlexBregman (DK $13,800/$9,200)
Bregman’s bat was pretty quiet during the Yankees series, but I expect it to come alive in the World Series for two reasons: First, the Nationals pitchers – Scherzer especially – will challenge the AL MVP candidate a lot more than New York did. Secondly, Bregman only hit one homer in the postseason (against the Rays), but he’s carrying a .435 OBP through 11 games this October and sporting a wRC+ of 139 during that span. That tells me there’s nothing wrong with his plate approach or his bat.
CarlosCorrea (DK $10,200/$6,800)
The value we’re gettingon Correa is worth noting, as is the fact that he popped a couple homers in theALCS. The last couple days have offered him a chance to rest his ailing back,and as I mentioned before, the Nats pitchers are going to challenge Houstonhitters in ways that the Yankees didn’t have to – based on their elite bullpen.We forget about him because Houston is so loaded with talent, but Correa has a114 wRC+ in 181 postseason plate appearances, and he’s a 25-year-old in the primeof his career.
JoseAltuve (DK $14,100/$9,600)
The Game 6 hero is riding a wave into the World Series and should draw considerable ownership based on his game-winning efforts against the Bronx Bombers. He’s capable of filling up the state sheet with runs, hits and SBs, not to mention the occasional two-run walk-off homer. Pricing is more than fair and I’ll have some shares, but my ownership on Bregman and Correa might be a little higher.
Spotlight Value: Michael Brantley (DK $8,400/$5,600)
TheDK pricing algorithm seems to giving way too much credence to Brantley’spostseason numbers, which are admittedly weak from a career standpoint(.224/.293/.269 slash in 75 plate appearances). He’s carrying a respectable .340OBP this October despite struggling against a slew of excellent Yankees pitchers,but he’s done quite well in a pretty large BvP sample against Scherzer,slashing .341/.367/.636 in 44 career ABs with eight doubles and a HR. The restof the Astros have faced Mad Max 11 times or fewer, but Brantley feels like thefree square on Houston, especially bating out of the 3-hole. He’s my favoritevalue bat in the Showdown.
Other10/22 DFS options: Yuri Gurriel (DK $9,000/$6,000), George Springer (DK $13,500/$9,000),Martin Maldonado ($6,000/$4,000), Yordan Alvarez ($10,800/$7,200), Josh Reddick(DK $6,600/$4,400)
SampleDK Lineup (Houston-heavy: Cole as CPT with no Scherzer)
- CPT – G. Cole ($18,000)
- UTIL – A. Bregman (9,200)
- UTIL – C. Correa ($6,800)
- UTIL – M. Brantley ($5,600)
- UTIL – A. Eaton ($5,400)
- UTIL – M. Adams ($4,600)
SampleDK Lineup (Balanced: Cole as CPT with Scherzer at UTIL)
- CPT – G. Cole ($18,000)
- UTIL – M. Scherzer ($11,400)
- UTIL – Y. Gurriel ($6,000)
- UTIL – M. Brantley ($5,600)
- UTIL – M. Adams ($4,600)
- UTIL – M. Taylor ($4,400)
SampleDK lineup (Astros-heavy with both SP and Houston closer included)
- CPT – G. Cole ($18,000)
- UTIL – M. Scherzer ($11,400)
- UTIL – C. Correa ($6,800)
- UTIL – M. Brantley ($5,600)
- UTIL – M. Adams ($4,600)
- UTIL – R. Osuna ($3,000)
SampleDK lineup (Astros-heavy with Brantley at CPT and no Scherzer – GPP)
- CPT – M. Brantley ($8,400)
- UTIL – G. Cole ($12,000)
- UTIL – A. Bregman ($9,200)
- UTIL – J. Soto ($8,400)
- UTIL – C. Correa ($6,800)
- UTIL – M. Adams ($4,600)
10/22 DFS Hitters for FDSingle-game
Here we can just load upon Astros hitter and pick or (or two, in some cases) Nats hitters to meetrequirements and/or get a little bit squirrely.
SampleFD lineup #1
- MVP (2x) – Bregman ($8,500)
- All-Star (1.5x) – Brantley ($7,000)
- UTIL – Correa ($7,500)
- UTIL – Turner ($7,000)
- UTIL – Adams ($4,000)
SampleFD lineup #2 ($0 left)
- MVP (2x) – Bregman ($8,500)
- All-Star (1.5x) – Altuve ($9,500)
- UTIL – Correa ($7,500)
- UTIL – Gurriel ($5,500)
- UTIL – Adams ($4,000)
SampleFD lineup (Balanced)
- MVP (2x) – Brantley ($7,000)
- All-Star (1.5x) – Bregman ($8,500)
- UTIL – Soto ($8,000)
- UTIL – Kendrick ($6,000)
- UTIL – Gurriel ($5,500)
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Total Home Runs — Goal: 1.50, Prize: 4x
Bregman, Brantley and Soto
I like these three for their matchups, though Brantley is a bit of a wild card. You can take the easy money with a 2x win if one of these guys goes deep, or count on two dingers to get 4x. Good luck!
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