DFS Diamonds for 10/18: DFS Pro J.P. on Week 8 NFL and Friday NHL

To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some DFS Diamonds. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land in 10/18 DFS! 

I want to start off with a huge shout out to Win Daily’s Allan Fabrykant and Dan Wehr as they helped me while I was busy at a golf tournament with my one entry and my one contest, which was a qualification for the NHL Live Final in Nashville for DraftKings. I took it down! It was the second qualifier of 40 qualifiers. Once again, Allan and Dan helped as this was a team effort. I can’t take all the credit. You can get regular DFS NHL advice from them in our Premium Gold slack chat.

Ok.Now moving on to why you’re reading. Let’s get into football and some NHL.

10/18 DFS Deeper Dive – Core/Value Plays

Vikingsvs. Lions

This is a tough game for DFS for Week 7 except for one key player who can be used in both GPPs and cash games. That is none other than Dalvin Cook. Although he hasn’t been like the Cook of Weeks 1-4, he is still in a killer matchup. The Packers RBs went off against the Lions defense last week and I expect Cook to do the same. I’m not on anyone else this game.

10/18 DFS Core Plays  

• FanDuel
  • Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,300
• DraftKings
  • Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,000

10/18 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,600
• DraftKings
  • Kerryon Johnson, RB, DET – $5,100
  • Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,000

Texansvs. Colts

This is another game that should gain some ownership, but I’m not high on at all. I believe the Colts have a sneaky good defense and a suspect offense. The Texans, on the other hand, have a great offense, but suspect defense. This has the makings of either a shootout or a 13-10 final score. I’ll throw in DeAndre Hopkins in some GPPs, but I’m not high on this game in general. As for T.Y. Hilton, I’m not a fan at all, but on DK, he is way too cheap. He will a big, value play for me on DK.

10/18 DFS Core Plays  

• FanDuel
  • DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $8,000
• DraftKings
  • T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND – $5,900
  • DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $7,800

10/18 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $6,300
• DraftKings
  • T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND – $5,900
  • Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $4,700
  • Jacoby Brissett, QB, IND – $5,600

Raidersvs. Packers

The biggest question going into this game are the WRs for the Packers. The only healthy and somewhat relevant WR is Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but Allen Lazard is about to step in as the second WR and is $3,000 on DK.  I don’t think he will get any ownership , but he is a key GPP and value play.  As for the Raiders, I’m seeing Josh Jacobs as a value play, but Green Bay has been tough against the run ever since a slow start. Darren Waller is also going to be the only person I target in the passing game for the Raiders.

10/18 DFS Core Plays  

• FanDuel
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, GB – $6,300
• DraftKings
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, GB – $5,200

10/18 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $5,400
  • Allen Lazard, WR, GB – $4,500
• DraftKings
  • Josh Jacobs, RB, OAK – 5,000
  • Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $4,900
  • Allen Lazard, WR, GB – $3,000

49ersvs. Redskins

Once again, another game I’m not high on except for a couple of players. I’m only targeting a handful from the 49ers and zero from the Redskins. 49ers are mainly value plays. None are core plays. Tevin Coleman is the clear goal line back and seems to be the primary RB.  If you’re going to use one of the 49ers WRs, I’d do three different lineups and have one of the below value WRs in each lineup. Do not use multiple 49ers WRs in any lineup and hedge it by using one for each of your three lineups. Also, 49ers DST is a core play and should be the only defense you use in DFS besides the Bills.

10/18 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel

• Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $6,200
• Deebo Samuel, WR, SF – $5,300
• Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $5,000
• Dante Pettis, WR, SF – $5,100

• DraftKings
  • Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $5,600
  • Deebo Samuel, WR, SF – $4,500
  • Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $4,800
  • Dante Pettis, WR, SF – $4,100

Dolphinsvs. Bills

Another game I’m targeting on one side and not the other. To start off, load up on the Bills DST in your defense slot for seasonal and DFS and try building lineups around them. Monitor John Brown’s status because he’s missed some practice. If he plays, stack up Josh Allen with Brown. If Brown is out, put in some Dawson Knox, Duke Williams, and Cole Beasley. Devin Singletary should be back, but I’m avoiding the Bills RB situation for one more week.

10/18 DFS Core Plays  

• FanDuel
  • John Brown, WR, BUF – $5,900
• DraftKings
  • John Brown, WR, BUF – $5,500
  • Josh Allen, QB, BUF – $6,500

10/18 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel

• Cole Beasley, WR, BUF – $5,600
• Duke Williams, WR, BUF – $4,700
• Dawson Knox, TE, BUF – $4,800

• DraftKings
  • Cole Beasley, WR, BUF – $4,700
  • Duke Williams, WR, BUF – $4,100
  • Dawson Knox, TE, BUF – $3,300

Chargersvs. Titans

Marcus Mariota is out and Ryan Tannehill is in. The problem with Tannehill is I watched him in Miami for years and he’s terrible. I don’t know how he will do with the Titans, but he didn’t look good in his relief appearance last week. I’m a clear fade on the Titans except for Derrick Henry. As for the Chargers, I’m on Hunter Henry on DK and GPPs and on Keenan Allen for a bounce-back game. Allen would be a pure GPP play versus a good Titans secondary.

10/18 DFS Core Plays  

• FanDuel
  • Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $5,700
  • Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $6,500
• DraftKings
  • Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $4,000
  • Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $5,800

10/18 DFS Value Plays

• DraftKings
  • Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $4,000

Saintsvs. Bears

This is the fade of the week for me. With Alvin Kamara banged up and Marshon Lattimore on Allen Robinson, I’m just going to fade this game. I might throw some Bears DST out there in DFS, but I just don’t like this game. The Bears defense is one of the best and the Saints defense is sneaky good.

10/18 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Bears DST – $4,500
• DraftKings
  • Bears DST – $3,000

Seahawksvs. Ravens

I’m still torn on this game and what to do. On the one side, both secondaries aren’t very good.  On the other side, both QBs are very good even with Lamar Jackson struggling the last few weeks. I lean more on the Seahawks side of thing. Tyler Lockett is still too cheap and with Will Dissly out for the season, more targets are going to Lockett and DK Metcalf. Chris Carson is probably my second-favorite running back behind Leonard Fournette. Metcalf is one of my favorite value plays on DK. As for the Ravens, I’ll have a GPP lineup with Jackson and Mark Andrews. If Brown plays, I’ll also have a stack with him and Jackson as well. Again, I’ll have more than 50% of my lineups with Tyler Lockett on FD.

CorePlays  

• FanDuel
  • Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $7,600
  • Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,500
• DraftKings
  • Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $6,500
  • Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,600
  • DK Metcalf, WR, SEA – $4,800

ValuePlays

• DraftKings
  • DK Metcalf, WR, SEA – $4,800

Cardinalsvs. Giants

The battle of two bad defenses. Although the Giants have been more solid on defense, they are still a weaker unit. Kyler Murray seems to be living up to the hype as the #1 overall pick, but he needs to continue to capitalize with touchdowns in the red zone.  I’m going to be more on the Cardinals side for this game, but if Saquon Barkley is not limited, I’ll be over him this week.  The only problem with Barkley on FanDuel and DraftKings is he is the highest-priced RB so I might be off him this week. As for David Johnson, he has scored over 15 FanDuel points in 5 of his first 6 games this season. I believe this game goes overlooked and could be a GPP gold mine. Load up on this game.

DFSCore Plays  

• FanDuel
  • Kyler Murray, QB, ARI – $7,700
  • David Johnson, RB, ARI – $7,400
  • Evan Engram, TE, NYG – $6,800
• DraftKings
  • David Johnson, RB, ARI – $7,800
  • Evan Engram, TE, NYG – $6,500

ValuePlays

• FanDuel
  • Daniel Jones, QB, NYG – $7,200
  • Golden Tate, WR, NYG – $6,100
• DraftKings
  • Daniel Jones, QB, NYG – $6,100
  • Golden Tate, WR, NYG – $5,800 (especially if Sterling Shepard is out)
  • Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,000 (if active)

Ramsvs. Falcons

It’s safe to say that the Rams defense is very overrated. As for the Falcons defense, they are one of the worst in the league. I think that this game is the shootout of the week and I’ll have a mix of Robert Woods with Cooper Kupp with a combination of both in GPP lineups.  I’m also high on the Falcons and think Julio Jones is due for a breakout game and this could finally be the week. Devonta Freeman is a lock for me on DraftKings because he is severely underpriced. Austin Hooper is also underpriced on DraftKings. Again, this is my Game Stack of the Week.

CorePlays  

• FanDuel
  • Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $6,400
  • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
  • Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $6,600
  • Robert Woods, WR, LAR – $7,300
• DraftKings
  • Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,300
  • Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,400
  • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,300
  • Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,300

ValuePlays

• FanDuel
  • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
• Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $6,400
• DraftKings
  • Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,400
  • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,300
  • Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,300

GPPGame(s) of the Week:

Jaguarsvs. Bengals

I still believe in Minshew Mania. Besides having the greatest mustache, I still think he had a bad game because he faced off against an underrated defense. I will side more with the Jaguars on this one, but Joe Mixon is so cheap, especially on DraftKings. DK pricing seems to continue to be broken with Leonard Fournette as the sixth highest priced RB for the slate when he should easily be priced at a higher tag. The Bengals have a lot of value plays for this week against a Jacksonville defense that is a shell of its former self.

ValuePlays

• FanDuel
  • Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $6,900
  • Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $6,100
  • D.J. Chark, WR, JAX – $6,600
  • Tyler Boyd, WR, CIN – $5,600
  • Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $5,900
• DraftKings
  • Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $5,000
  • Tyler Boyd, WR, CIN – $5,600
  • Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $4,500
  • Leonard Fournette, RB, JAX – $7,000
  • Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $5,400

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NHL DFS – 10/18 DFS

I’m going to focus on my Top three games. I’m still riding high from the live final qualification and I’m going for a second ticket tomorrow. Up to this point, here are my favorite games for this slate.

Florida Panthers vs. Colorado Avalanche

This game features one of the highest scoring totals on the slate with both projecting to score over three goals each.  The Blackhawks and Blue Jackets also have a similar total, but I prefer this game stack. Before you ask, it isn’t because I’m a diehard Florida Panthers fan (true story), but because both teams aren’t the best defensively and both teams shoot the puck a lot.  I think the two top power play lines will be top plays, but you can save salary with the Panthers second power play line. Barkov is way too cheap on DK. I’ll have him in more than 50% of my lineups.

Core Players

• Nathan MacKinnon (C, COL) – (FD- $8,600 / DK –  $7,700)
• Mikko Rantanen (W,COL) – (FD- $7,900 / DK – $7,200)
• Gabriel Landeskog (W, COL) – (FD- $7,100 / DK -$6,900)
• Nazem Kadri (C,COL) – (FD- $5,000 / DK – $4,800)
• Aleksander Barkov (C, FLA) – (FD- $7,500 / DK -$5,800)
• Mike Hoffman (W, FLA) – (FD- $6,900 / DK -$6,300)
• Evgenii Dadonov (W, FLA) – (FD- $6,500 / DK -$6,600)
• Jonathan Huberdeau (W, FLA) – (FD- $7,100 / DK -$6,000)

Value Plays

• Vincent Trochek – (C, FLA) – (FD- $6,400V/ DK -$5,500)
• Keith Yandle – (W, FLA) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$5,300)
• Frank Vatrano – (W, FLA) – (FD- $3,300 / DK -$3,900)
• Aaron Ekblad – (D, FLA) – (FD- $4,700 / DK – $5,500)
• Brett Connolly – (W, FLA) – (FD- $4,300 / DK -$3,400)
• Tyson Jost – (W, COL) – (FD- $3,900 / DK -$2,900)
• Sam Girard – (FD- $4,000 / DK – $3,500)
• Nazem Kadri (C,COL) – (FD- $5,000 / DK – $4,800)

Capitals vs. Rangers

This is the second night of a back-to-back for the Rangers and they are coming off a poor game against a winless Devils team. Given how bad the Capitals defense is and the two high powered offenses facing each other, I expect a high scoring affair.  I like the Capitals side more than the Rangers side since this is the second night of a back to back for the Rangers.

Core Plays

• Alex Ovechkin (W, WAS) – (FD- $8,500 / DK -$7,800)
• John Carlson (D, WAS) – (FD- $6,700 / DK -$6,700)
• Nicklas Backstrom (C, WAS) – (FD- $6,300 / DK -$5,900)
• T.J. Oshie (W, WAS) – (FD- $6,400 / DK – $5,500)
• Mike Zibanejad (C, NYR) – (FD- $7,600 / DK -$6,800)
• Artemi Panarin (W, NYR) – (FD- $7,800 / DK -$6,200)
• Jacob Trouba (D, NYR) – (FD- $5,800 / DK -$5,600)
• Chris Kreider (W, NYR) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$4,000)

Value Plays

• Tom Wilson (W, WAS) – (FD- $4,500 / DK – $4,700)
• Jakub Vrana (w, WAS) – (FD- $4,800 / DK -$4,300)
• Lars Eller (C, WAS) – (FD- $4,500 / DK -$4,200)
• Dmitry Orlov (D, WAS) – (FD- $4,000 / DK -$3,700)
• Kaapo Kakko (W, NYR) – (FD – $5,100 / DK –$4,600)
• Chris Kreider (W, NYR) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$4,000)

Oilers vs. Red Wings

This game is more of a one-sided target for me. The Oilers are hot and I’m riding the streak. Give me all the PP1 and PP2 for the Oilers.

Core Plays

• Connor McDavid (C, EDM) – (FD- $9,400 / DK -$8,100)
• Leon Draisaitl (C, EDM) – (FD- $8,700 / DK -$7,900)
• Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C, EDM) – (FD- $6,000 / DK- $5,200)
• Oscar Klefbom (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
• James Neal (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)

Value Plays

• Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C, EDM) – (FD- $6,000 / DK- $5,200)
• Oscar Klefbom (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
• James Neal (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
• Darnell Nurse (D, EDM) – (FD- $4,900 / DK -$5,400)
• Zack Kassian (C, COL) – (FD- $4,400 / DK -$4,200)
• Ethan Bear (C, COL) – (FD- $3,500 / DK – $3,500)

Favorite Goalies

• Mike Smith or Mikko Koskinen – Oilers – Clear number 1
• Corey Crawford – high total against, but I think it’ll hit the under with lots of shots.
• Joonas Korpisalo – Same as Crawford

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