10/11 DFS Diamonds: DFS Pro J.P. on Week 6 NFL

To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal here in the 10/11 DFS column is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some fantasy gold. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land!  

Iwant to focus this article on a deep dive into NFL Week 6 and guide you to winbig. I will go game by game with my takes on each game along with my core andvalue plays for Week 6.

Deep Dive and Top Plays

Cowboys vs. Jets

I’mgoing to start with this game because you may not know this, but I’m a big Cowboysfan. In this game, the Cowboys are coming off two straight losses to actualcompetition and are looking to end this streak. Sam Darnold is back, which bumpsup the projections and values of a few players, but I’ll be on the Cowboys sidefor the most part.

Cowboys –  The Jets rankin the middle of the pack for defense and have been pretty solid behind a pouroffense that was being run by Luke Falk. The Cowboys are projecting fora bounce back game and I’m high on Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup. TheCowboys thrive against bad teams and I’d expect them to continue theirdominance against bad teams.

Jets – Sam Darnold is back, which means JamisonCrowder and Le’Veon Bell receive a boost in projections. In Week 1, JamisonCrowder had 10+ targets and had quite a game. Bell was also used in thepassing game and on the field for 100% of their offensive snaps.  Le’Veon Bell will garner some ownershipand he’s projecting well over 20% for Week 6, but I won’t be that high on him.Yes, the Cowboys defense allowed 4 TDs to Aaron Jones, but the Dallas defenseis pretty solid and should bounce back against a poor Jets team.

10/11 DFS Core Plays 

• FanDuel
  • Michael Gallup, WR, DAL – $6,100
  • Ezekiel Elliott, RB, DAL – $8,500
• DraftKings
  • Amari Cooper, WR, DAL – $7,000
  • Michael Gallup, WR, DAL – $5,600
  • Dak Prescott, QB, DAL – $6,200

10/11 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ – $5,400
• DraftKings
  • Le’Veon Bell, RB, NYJ – $6,400
  • Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ – $4,000
  • Michael Gallup, WR, DAL – $5,600

49ers vs. Rams

Thisgame is probably 1 of 3 games that I won’t be focusing on as much. I believethat this is a tough game to predict due to which LA Rams defense will show upthis Sunday. Jameis Winston had a field day against the Rams a few weeks agoand the Rams don’t look solid at all. Meanwhile, the 49ers are looking like oneof the best teams in the NFL and the defense might be legit. It’s still early,but time will tell.

49ers – I like the 49ers side for value, but it is very difficult to predict which Wide Receivers will perform as Jimmy Garoppolo loves to spread the ball around. George Kittle is severely underpriced and I’ll definitely have some shares on DraftKings. I also like the price tag of Marquise Goodwin on FanDuel.  As for the running backs, I’m at a complete fade given how many they are using right now. I’d use them in GPPs, but a definite fade in cash.

Rams – Besides all our questions surrounding Gurley and his usage, we’re also wondering about Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods.  Cooper Kupp is settling in as Jared Goff’s favorite WR, but everyone else seems to be a big question mark.  I do like the price tag for Robert Woods, but I’m not high on the Rams side given the rejuvenation of the 49ers defense.  

10/11 DFS Core Plays 

• FanDuel
  • George Kittle, TE, SF – $6,500
  • Cooper Kupp, WR, LAR – $7,800
  • Robert Woods, WR, LAR – $7,100
• DraftKings
  • George Kittle, TE, SF – $5,200
  • Jared Goff, QB, LAR – $6,100
  • Robert Woods, WR, LAR – $5,600

10/11 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $5,200
  • Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $5,000
• DraftKings
  • Todd Gurley, RB, LAR – $6,200
  • Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $4,400
  • Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $4,500
  • Gerald Everett, TE, LAR – $3,600

Saints vs. Jaguars

Thishas the potential to be the sneakiest game of the slate, but I believe it’smore a GPP game stack then cash game. The New Orleans Saints defense is middleof the pack , but have one of the best run defenses in all of football.  Meanwhile, the Jaguars defense is a shell ofits former self and ranks towards the bottom of the NFL. With two weak pass defenses,this has the potential to be a higher scoring game.

Saints – Is Teddy Bridgewater the real deal? He could be getting into the swing of things, but only time will tell. You can use him and Michael Thomas in GPP’s, but my main focus is going to be Alvin Kamara. He will be the only Saints player with most of my exposure.

Jaguars – I believe in Minshew Mania. That’s the first point I want to get across before I dive into this.  DJ Chark is priced a little too high for me right now given his recent success so I won’t be using him in as many lineups except for my Gardner Minshew stacks in GPP’s. The value play for me will be Dede Westbrook. He is still a vital part of the passing game and he’s a solid salary saver.  As for Leonard Fournette, he projects well, but this Saints run defense is the real deal and I won’t be as high on him. He does have high usage in this Jaguars offense, but the defense and price tag make me shy away from him.  On DraftKings, I’m more on Fournette and Chark because of their price tags.

10/11 DFS Core Plays 

• FanDuel
  • Alvin Kamara, RB, NO – $7,900
  • Dede Westbrook, WR, JAX – 5,400
• DraftKings
  • Alvin Kamara, RB, NO – $8,000
  • Leonard Fournette, RB , JAX – $6,700
  • Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $5,000

10/11 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Dede Westbrook, WR, JAX – 5,400
• DraftKings
  • DJ Chark, WR, JAX – $5,500
  • Dede Westbrook, WR, JAX – $5,100

Seahawks vs. Browns

This isanother interesting game that I will have some pieces for my lineups, but alower amount of stacks. My favorite play of this slate is from this gamebecause of his price tag and usage and he will be in a lot of my GPP and cashlineups. Also, we see a pretty steep discount on Odell Beckham.

Seahawks – This is the moment you’ve been waiting for. My core play of the entire slate. Are you ready? If you listened to my podcast yesterday, you’ll know that I love the price tag of Tyler Lockett and he is going to be locked and loaded in my cash lineups along with most of my GPP lineups. Chris Carson has a pretty nice price tag, but I want to see one more solid game before I roster him in multiple lineups. D.K. Metcalf is also interesting to me, but I’ll mainly be on Lockett. Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman did just run all over this defense so I can see the case for Chris Carson, but I don’t trust him given his ball security issues.

Browns – If there is to be a bounce back game for the Browns, I think this might be the one. I see them trailing for a good portion of this game so they will be passing the ball a ton. Odell Beckham is at a discount and I’ll lock him in GPP lineups until I see more consistency. I’m mainly off the Browns for this game except for tournaments.

10/11 DFS Core Plays 

• FanDuel
  • Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,300
  • Odell Beckham, WR, CLE – $7,600
• DraftKings
  • Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,400
  • Odell Beckham, WR, CLE – $6,800

10/11 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,300
  • D.K. Metcalf – WR, SEA – $5,800
• DraftKings
  • Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $6,000
  • D.K. Metcalf , WR, SEA – $4,700

Titans vs. Broncos

Thisgame is a fade for me. Since I’m doing 150 lineups on the Milly Makertournaments on FanDuel and DraftKings, I’ll have 1 or 2 stacks for each team,but I am far from a fan of this game.

Titans – The only two things I’m considering for the Titans are using their DST and a few Derrick Henry lineups. With a low Vegas total, this team is not a focus for me.

Broncos – Another low Vegas total for the Broncos and until they have someone other than Joe Flacco throwing to Emmanuel Sanders or Courtland Sutton, they are a fade. Sutton and Sanders do have a nice number of targets, but I’m not a fan because of Flacco.  They are pretty much a fade for me.

10/11 DFS Core Plays 

• FanDuel
  • Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $6,700
• DraftKings
  • Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $6,100

10/11 DFS Value Plays

• FanDuel
  • Delanie Walker, TE, TEN – $5,200
  • Courtland Sutton, WR, DEN – $5,900
  • Emmanuel Sanders, WR, DEN – $5,500
  • Royce Freeman, RB, DEN – $5,200
• DraftKings
  • Delanie Walker, TE, TEN – $3,700
  • Courtland Sutton, WR, DEN – $5,000
  • Emmanuel Sanders, WR, DEN – $4,800

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Bengals vs. Ravens

I tooka stab at this game in my Wednesday article talking about the Bengals and theirhorrific defense. In my $40,000 victory this past Sunday, I used the Bengals DSTand it hurt my chances at the $100,000. The Bengals rank in the bottom 5 in overall defense and rank 27^thin points allowed.

Ravens – Given Lamar Jackson has struggled the past 2 weeks, I expect a bounce back game. I’m a little off Mark Ingram because of his price tag, but you can use him in GPP as he projects to be under 10% owned.  Marquise Brown will garner ownership because of price tag, especially on FanDuel. Mark Andrews is just too cheap on DraftKings to pass up on him

Bengals – Although the Ravens defense is nothing to brag about, the Bengals offense has been struggling since week 2.  I’m high on the Ravens defense is season long leagues, but that price tag is way too high in a matchup against a mediocre Bengals offense.  The Bengals rank in the bottom 5 in offense as well, but they will be passing a lot this game given they will be trailing from the get go.  I’ll have a few lineups with Joe Mixon and Auden Tate on DraftKings because of their price, but my main play in GPP’s will most likely be Tyler Boyd.  The Bengals side of this game is not my favorite play, but I’ll have some GPP lineups with them.

CorePlays 

• FanDuel
  • Lamar Jackson, QB, BAL – $8,200
  • Marquise Brown, WR, BAL – $5,800 (only on FanDuel)
• DraftKings
  • Lamar Jackson, QB, BAL – $6,900
  • Mark Andrews, TE, BAL  – $4,800

ValuePlays

• FanDuel
  • Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $6,400
• DraftKings
  • Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $4,500

Texans vs. Chiefs

I’mgoing to stick with this game as the “Game Stack of the Week”.  Both sides will garner ownership given their letit fly mentalities

Texans – DeAndre Hopkins is due to breakout. Plain and simple. Given Will Fuller’s recent performance, I expect DeAndre Hopkins to break out of his funk versus a mediocre Chiefs defense.  As always, we are unsure of what’s wrong with the DraftKings pricing model because Carlos Hyde is ridiculously cheap and the best value on the slate.

Chiefs – The same narrative can be said here about Travis Kelce. Kelce has struggled in recent weeks and Patrick Mahomes seems to be human.  I’m hoping many shy away from the Chiefs given their price tags, but I’m still high on them this week given Atlanta was passing all over Houston last week. I don’t have Mahomes listed as a core play, but that doesn’t mean I won’t have shares of him.   

CorePlays 

• FanDuel
  • DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU- $8,400
  • Will Fuller, WR, HOU – $6,600
  • Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $7,500
• DraftKings
  • DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $7,400
  • Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $7,000
  • Will Fuller, WR, HOU – $6,000
  • Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $6,700

ValuePlays

• FanDuel
  • Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $6,000
• DraftKings
  • Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $6,700
  • Carlos Hyde , RB, HOU – $4,400

Falcons vs. Cardinals

Couldthis be the game that Julio Jones breaks out of his funk? He is one of myfavorite plays of this slate. I honestly think Hooper will go lower owned giventhe Cards shutting down Tyler Eifert, but I’m locking in Hooper as the Falconsare pass happy and I expect lots of targets to head Hooper’s way.

Falcons – Arizona defense is bad. Plain and simple. They arebroken when it comes to defending the TE. I will load up on Falcons stacks as I expect them to continue to be passheavy.

Cardinals – Kyler Murray is coming off his first win and this was without doing as well as we wanted him to. Given the Falcons and Cardinals having two of the worst defenses in the NFL, I’d expect a shootout. This game will most likely be my number two game stack I heavily use. Look for Christian Kirk news because I’ll be loading up on Larry Fitzgerald along with some KeeShan Johnson if Kirk is ruled out.   

CorePlays 

• FanDuel
  • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
  • Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $8,500
• DraftKings
  • Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,000
  • Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $8,000
  • Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,400

ValuePlays

• FanDuel
  • Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI – $5,600
  • Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,600
  • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
• DraftKings
  • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,700
  • Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,200 (if active)
  • Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,700

Eagles vs. Vikings

I sidemore with the Vikings side over the Eagles side for this game. Vikings DSTstill ranks as one of the top defenses, but they are susceptible to the pass. Isee the Eagles trailing in this game so they’ll need to pass. Ertz projectswell from the Eagles side.

Eagles – As I mentioned, my main target is Ertz, but Jordan Howard comes in as value on DraftKings given that he seems to have won the feature back role.

Vikings – This is where things get dicey. The Eagles secondary is garbage and Kirk Cousins should have a field day. The question is whether Stefon Diggs will finally have his breakout game. I’m high on him this week given his price tag, but you just never know. I do like Dalvin Cook this week after a down week in Week 5.    

CorePlays 

• FanDuel
  • Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,800
  • Zach Ertz, TE, PHI – $6,600
  • Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,200
• DraftKings
  • Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,400

ValuePlays

• FanDuel
  • Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,800
• DraftKings
  • Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,900
  • Jordan Howard, RB, PHI – $4,900
  • Zach Ertz , TE, PHI – $5,400

Redskins vs. Dolphins

Battle of the defeated! One of my least favorite games, but could be a GPP gold mine. There is value all over the place with this game and both defenses rank towards the bottom. Not much to dive deep into for this game as it has the lowest projected total in Vegas so I’ll keep the value plays on this end. I will have some Case Keenum and Terry McLaurin stacks given the chemistry they’ve had this season.

ValuePlays

• FanDuel
  • Adrian Peterson, RB, WAS – $5,300
  • Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $5,600
• DraftKings
  • Adrian Peterson, RB, WAS – $4,500
  • Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $4,100
  • Case Keenum, QB, WAS – $5,000

My rankings for DST are as follows:

• Washington Redskins
• Tennessee Titans
• Baltimore Ravens
• New Orleans Saints
• Minnesota Vikings

My offenses to target and stacks to focus on are as follows

• Houston Texans
• Atlanta Falcons
• Baltimore Ravens
• Dallas Cowboys
• Seattle Seahawks
• Kansas City Chiefs

Thanks for reading and good luck this weekend!

I’ll be in Las Vegas this weekend so I’ll beon and off until Sunday morning, but please contactme with any questions on Twitter @Javi_Prellezo or on our Win Daily Slackchannel!