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1/31 League of Legends LPL/LCK breakdown

1/31 League of Legends LPL/LCK breakdown

Welcome to my breakdown of our 4 game LPL/LCK slate tonight, last night we had a huge LPL favorite fall in V5 and I would like to say I didn’t listen to myself in saying that the most likely upset of the night was TT over V5. Tonight’s slate begins with KT/NS, T1/AF, RA/RW, and TES/JDG. Lets dig into this 1/31 League of Legends LPL/LCK breakdown.

T1 (-450) vs. AF (+290)

This is one of the better cash games on the slate and honestly playable with this being the first game of the night, we will have the starting rosters before lock. T1 are not too expensive on either site tonight and will be a staple of cash games for most people tonight.

This game really comes down to the sheer fact that AF is not very good, they are a weak early game team and an even worse late game team, they don’t have the ability to close out leads or come back from being down. T1 is my pick here for a 2-0, though would only take small stacks from them tonight with Canna/Teddy/T1 team spot being the likely options here.

KT (-150) vs. NS (+110)

This is my favorite of the two matches tonight due to the high kill upside and safety of KT in this one. Vegas doesn’t seem to think so though as NS opened as the -150 favorites, I honestly do not see this and neither does the public as KT is now the -150 and I can only see it climbing, would hop on this ML and throw it in a parlay with T1 ML to get decent odds (as I wrote this it hopped to -170).

NS averages nearly 21 deaths per loss while KT has been one of the most aggressive teams in the LCK as they don’t only focus fights around objectives, KT holds the advantage in nearly every lane as Doran and Ucal both out play their respective counterparts in Rich and Bay. The closest part of these matches will be the jungle matches and the bot lane. I lean the bot lane to KT while jungle leans NS for me as Peanut outplays Blank. This will be a good match and I can see 4 stacks of KT working as their aggression will play out in their favor. KT is also priced as an underdog feeding their ownership.

RW (+325) vs. RA (-500)

The first of our two LPL matches and I can see this going to 3 games and RW pulling off the upset purely through Jungle dif. As much as I want to be able to tell everyone to full send RW but I really can only see their only win con being Haro tonight in the jungle as he has the best matchup against Leyan who has quite the tendency to int in any matchup. Let’s dig into the stats here and see if there’s anything backing my upset call here.

RA leads in first turret/first herald/first three turrets/drakes/baron. Wow, so there is seeming quite a gap here in statistics and I will have to admit to playing both sides here tonight. If someone wants a gut call I will say to play RW here, I ablsaloutley believe that Haro can carry this team to a win and there’s a nice advantage where their support Quiqui is their ADC tonight. I would 4 stack from this game though as both teams Die a lot in losses. From RW I would take Haro at my captain spot along with Forge, Quiqui, and Ziv. From RA go Iboy captain, Cube, Fofo, and Hang.

TES (-230) vs. JDG (+165)

For the final matchup of our 1/31 League of Legends LPL/LCK breakdown. We have TES/JDG here and I believe it will be another explosive match for kills, though I have a pretty set side here as I am leaning TES and JDG should give up a lot of deaths in a TES win, they have also had a week to prepare for tonight and will be ready to go in this highly anticipated matchup.

Initial thoughts here was that it would be quite the close matchup and stats would go to both sides but I was very wrong. TES leads JDG in nearly every early and late game category and is only 1% behind in total drake control. I had an initial lean towards TES and can still see JDG coming through with Kanavi being able to pressure Karsa in the jungle matchup, though I can see it being even or in TES favor for the rest of the map. For my favorite plays here it would have to be JackeyLove, Knight, Karsa, and Zhuo. The aggression of that bot lane duo is deadly, in both ways.

Summary of our 1/31 League of Legends LPL/LCK breakdown is a 2-0 T1, 2-0 KT, 2-1 RW, and 2-1 TES. My favorite 4 stacks of the night are from the LPL side of things, though to dodge ownership I can definitely see a 4 stack of KT working out tonight. Thank you for once again coming to read my LPL/LCK breakdown and I hope you guys can get a night of green, make sure to look at our other articles here and check out our discord here. Check me out on twitter at GetRichDfs.

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