All in all, this is a great slate. There is a huge 15-gamer on tap, so let’s dig in to my Top Four favorite stacks of the night.

1.) Minnesota Twins

This season Alex Cobb has been nothing short of completely dreadful. In a very small sample size of 8.1 innings, he is pitching to the tune of an 11.88 ERA with a .527 wOBA. I am all over the Twins in this spot. This will be a pretty expensive stack, but I love the combination of Nelson Cruz ($4,700 on DraftKings), Eddie Rosario ($5,300), Max Kepler ($4,200) and Willians Astudillo ($4,200). Alex Cobb, as recently as the 2018 season, has shown his struggles against righty power. In 2018 Cobb held a 1.70 HR/9 to righties and a 1.15 HR/9 to lefties. This very low strikeout rate going against a team that just does not strike out is a recipe for disaster. There will be many balls put in play. Although Cobb is a ground-ball pitcher, players like Cruz and Rosario, who are around 40% fly ball hitters for their career, will have no issue. Also, Cobb throws this terrible split finger 39% of the time to lefties and Kepler eats those up to a tune of a .396 wOBA as well as a .226 ISO. I see a very real opportunity this gets ugly very quick and then the Twins get to attack this very, very ugly Baltimore bullpen. This is a complete smash spot as I do believe the team total will open at right around five runs, so the Twins will most likely be pretty chalky tonight.

2.) Toronto Blue Jays

Yes, the Toronto Blue Jays. Mike Fiers is a gas can and he’s going to get lit up in this one. Over Fiers’ career, no matter who he pitched for, once he gets out of his home stadium he is dreadful. Fiers’ ERA on the road jumps over a full run and the righty power he gives up (1.58 HR/9) is terrible. The players I am all over in this one start with Randal Grichuk who is very cheap at $4,100. He absolutely is his best self when he is at home versus a righty, and he faces an extreme fly ball hitter with over a 40% fly ball rate. That mixes perfectly with Fiers’ extreme fly ball rate, a recipe for HR after HR. I’m going to stack the Blue Jays up with Grichuk ($4,100), Teoscar Hernandez ($3,900), Eric Sogard ($3,800) and Justin Smoak ($4,700). Also, the best play on this team, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. makes his Major League debut, so throw him in there to round out this amazing five stack. I personally think you can pair the Blue Jays and Twins and win a ton of money on this slate. The Athletics’ bullpen is solid, but they will drop five to seven runs on Fiers. 

3.) Seattle Mariners 

I actually love both sides of this game, but the Mariners get the slight edge. Shelby Miller is just terrible, he gets mashed by lefties, mashed by righties, mashed by everyone. This is a very  good tournament stack. The Texas bullpen sucks even more than Miller, so after they knock him out in three innings, they get a very overworked bullpen. Daniel Vogelbach is one of my favorite plays on the slate, as he has just been completely mashing the ball this season so far. Miller just cannot get out left-handed hitters, as they are batting a career .269 with a .338 wOBA against him. Can you say terrible? I’m all in on Vogelbach in tournaments, he is my favorite play. Stack up Vogelbach ($4,900) with Tim Beckham ($4,000), Mitch Haniger ($5,600), and Domingo Santana ($4,800). I know this is an expensive stack, but this will garner low ownership and will help you take down a tournament tonight. 

4.) Philadelphia Phillies 

They have scuffled and scuffled and scuffled these last couple of days, but this is the day I see them breaking out. Jose Urena is not a strikeout guy (about a 6 K/9), and is a decently high walk guy (about a 3 W/9) and this bodes well for the Phillies. They have been striking out at a very high rate these last few games, I think this is what they need to right the ship. I’ll take the usual suspects here, starting with Rhys Hoskins, who completely mashes right-handed pitching. He is a career .275 hitter at home versus righties and the power is there as we all know. Urena is a sinker ball pitcher and Hoskins mashes sinker balls. Hoskins holds a .557 wOBA as well as a .514 ISO against the sinker, which Urena throws 47.50% to righties. He has very reverse splits, as he hits righties better than he hits lefties. I’ll pair Rhys Hoskins ($5,300) with Maikel Franco ($4,500), Andrew McCutchen ($4,500) and J.T. Realmuto ($4,500). These Phillies are in for a huge game in these next few days and I will gladly stack them every day until they break out. I can almost bet they drop at least five runs on Urena.