(Updated 6:26 pm EST)
Okay, I found a nice one here! Although I originally liked Willy Adames and Avisail Garcia upon further review I will actually be playing Martin Perez. Don’t you love baseball DFS, one second i’m stacking the TB bats, the next i’m confidently playing the starting pitcher against TB. Well, here’s my reasoning for the sudden change in heart. Martin Perez actually is due for a big game. Tampa Bay has been striking out much more as of late (fourth most team strikeouts this week) and actually exhibit some pretty horrible splits against lefties, batting just .241 as a team with 178 strikeouts in 523 at-bats against opposing left handed pitchers this season. Martin Perez is my pitching GPP play today.
(Updated 5:56 pm EST)
Ben Gamel leading off, always a high upside play but just as easily can get you zero. I’m staying away, feels like a trap!
(Updated 5:36 pm EST)
Oscar Mercado and Jordan Luplow, love to see these guys in the two and four holes, where they can do some serious damage! Value with upside, man was I excited to see this! Nothing more to say, include these two value plays in the stack of the night! Cleveland is favored by -195 with an 8.5 under/over.
(Updated 5:25 pm EST)
Willy Adames is sitting in the cleanup spot at a $2,400 salary on FanDuel and a $2,900 salary on DraftKings. He faces Martin Perez who has very poor splits against right handed batters. Therefore Willy Adames AND Avisail Garcia (batting first) jump to the top of my projections tonight in terms of solid value. Don’t let Perez’s splits this year fool you! I know in a small sample size so far this season, righties aren’t too successful against Perez, but his three year averages indicate otherwise as he allowed a .309 BA to opposing right handed batters in over 1477 AB.
Kevin Newman is batting in the leadoff spot tonight against Chase Anderson and a struggling Milwaukee bullpen that has allowed a 4.36 ERA over the past week, ranking them 19th worst in the league. Milwaukee’s bullpen has also allowed 110 RBI over the same span, ranking them eighth highest/worst in the league. So, the question is, will the Pirates get to see four + solid innings against the Brewers shaky bullpen? And the answer is, Yes. Not to mention the potential weather that could bring the starters off the field sooner rather than later, Chase Anderson has not looked well as of late. His last start was horrible against Philadelphia as he only lasted 4.0 IP allowing three earned. Anderson also exhibits reverse splits, meaning right handed batters hit better off him than lefties, despite the fact that Anderson is a right handed pitcher. Anderson is allowing a .250 BA to opposing righties and a mere .208 to opposing lefties. I like the right handed batters on Pittsburgh tonight starting with Kevin Newman but i’m just as high on Starling Marte and Josh Bell.
More updated by the minute as lineups start coming in…