12/10 UCL DFS Picks and Props

This article focuses on UCL DFS Picks for 12/10 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

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Early Slate

Napoli needs a Draw or Win or a Liverpool Win or Draw to advanceto the Round of 16

Genk (+1500) at Napoli (-575) – Under 3.5 Goals (-105)

It hasn’t been the best season domestically for Napoli. Standing at only seventh in the Serie A table at this point in the season, you could say they have been the Italian version of Tottenham. However, here at home, against a vastly inferior Genk team, they should be able to pick up three points. Dries Mertens and Lorenzo Insigne are the primary goal scorers here and usually only one of the two is in the lineup. We have former PSV Eindhoven and Mexican national team star winger Hirving Lozano and Jose Callejon filling out the primary options in the attack. I am normally a big fan of elite center back Kalidou Koulibaly on FanDuel but this isn’t an ideal spot as he should not have much action on defense.

Liverpool needs a Draw or Win to advance to the Round of 16

Liverpool (-125) at Red Bull Salzburg (+275) – Under 3.5 Goals (-115)

This is the main event of either slate in my opinion. Liverpool rested Sadio Mane and Trent Alexander-Arnold on Saturday and had rested Mohammed Salah and Roberto Firmino before that on Wednesday. They will be bringing their A-Team as they will need to walk away with a point here in order to continue to defend their title. These are the defending UCL champions and no team has been better in big games.

On FanDuel, it’s Mane, Salah, and Firmino. On DraftKings, it’s the wingbacks Alexander Arnold and Andy Robertson. As for Red Bull Salzburg, behind the foot of young phenom Erling Haaland, they have been the Cinderella team of this year’s Champion’s League Group stages. They could make waves by winning this game and advancing but it will be a really tall task for a young team like this. Either way, given their fast-paced style, I would expect goals here on both sides.

UCL 12/10 Main Slate

Chelsea needs a Win or an Ajax Win to Advance to the Roundof 16. If both those games draw there would be some crazy tiebreaker based ongoal difference when the dust settles

Lille (+1400) at Chelsea (-500) – Over 3 goals (-125)

Frank Lampard’s men have a great chance to stomp out their ticket to the round of 16 at home vs. a pathetic Lille squad. They come in the slate’s highest favorite. I would expect Tammy Abraham, Christian Pulisic, and Willian to all be in, as they have been the driving forces to help Chelsea get to this point. All three are significantly cheaper on FanDuel. On DraftKings, I would prioritize Willian at forward among the three with his skill set that involves a lot of crosses and role on set pieces. I think that Chelsea gets the job done here and makes it a moot point if that happens in the Ajax game for their purposes.

Dortmund needs a win or draw coupled with an Inter Milanloss to Barcelona to Advance to the Round of 16

Slavia Prague (+900) at Borussia Dortmund (-335)

Dortmund will be at home, where it is one of the toughest places to play in Europe behind the famed Yellow Wall. I think that they win this game, but it might not be enough with their destiny outside of their control at this point. Jadon Sancho has been leading the line, with Marco Reus up top alongside him. Eden Hazard’s brother, Thorgan Hazard has been the main set-piece taker so he is worth a look on DraftKings. This Slavia Prague team is a bit tougher than the oddsmakers are giving them credit for, even forcing a draw with Barcelona earlier on in UCL. That said, I think Dortmund are fine plays here. I just don’t want to see them in the Round of 16 as I think Inter Milan is better and Dortmund will just be fodder for an elite team if in.

Inter Milan needs a Win or a Dortmund Loss to Advance to theRound of 16

Barcelona (+425) at Inter Milan (-180) – Under 3 goals (-115)

Another historic venue, this time the San Siro, will play host to another huge matchup. Inter Milan has been one of the hottest teams in Europe, this past weekend ousting Juventus for the top of the Serie A table. The forward combination of Lautaro Martinez and Romelu Lukaku have been the main proponents in leading that charge. With the top spot in the group already clinched, the expectation is that Messi, along with other Barcelona veterans, will rest. This will allow Barcelona Coach Ernesto Valverde the opportunity to get some youngsters some time in the Champion’s League. The expectation is Antoine Greizmann will lead the line alongside the likes of Ansu Fati and Carles Perez. I think that ultimately Inter Milan delivers here in front of the home crowd and love the two forwards on FanDuel.

Ajax need a Draw or Win, or a Chelsea Draw or Loss, to Advanceto the Round of 16

Valencia (+370) at Ajax (-160) – Under 3.5 goals (-140)

Ajax will be one of the more popular teams on the slate, given how fantasy-friendly they tend to be already. When you add in the fact, that they need a result here at home, it will only add to it. Hakim Ziyech is still getting huge ownership on DraftKings and with little else to pay up for, he makes a lot of sense on this slate Beyond that, we have striker Dusan Tadic, and if going contrarian, attacking midfielder Donny Van de Beek. We might get a cheap striker in Hunteelar for FanDuel. Winger Quincy Promes has already been ruled out due to injury.

Lyon needs a Win or Draw and a Zenit St. Petersburg Loss ora Draw resulting in a worse goal difference to Advance to the Round of 16

RB Leipzig (+170) at Lyon (+150) – Under 3 Goals (-120)

Red Bull Leipzig has already clinched a spot in the Round of16, so all eyes are on Lyon here. Memphis Depay is the heart and soul of thisteam and is probably the only piece of Lyon I want on this slate. Lyon is inseventh in the Ligue One table and that league has not been the strongest.

Zenit St. Petersburg needs a Win or Draw and a Lyon Loss ora Draw resulting in a worse goal difference to Advance to the Round of 16

Zenit St. Petersburg (+245) at Benfica (+110) – Over 2.5 goals (-125)

This should be a slow, defensive, low total game as the odds suggest. Zenit will have an uphill battle however on road soil against a Benfica team that has stepped up its play as of late. I don’t mind their attack though in large-field tournaments as there is certainly some upside here. Artem Dzyuba can score goals anywhere as the World Cup helped the show.

12/10 UCL DraftKings Rankings

DraftKings Forwards

Memphis Depay – Lyon – $10,200
Willian – Chelsea – $9,300
Emil Forsberg – RB Leipzig – $7,200
Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $9,100
Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $8,800

DraftKings Midfielders

Hakim Ziyech – Ajax – $9,900 – CORE PLAY
Marcel Sabitzer – Red Bull Leipzig – $7,800
Jadon Sancho – Dortmund – $6,900 “Wish he was forward eligible as he should be”
Dani Parejo – Valencia – $8,000
Benjamin Andre – Lille – $4,000

DraftKings Defenders

Alejandro Grimaldo – Benfica – $5,500 – CORE PLAY
Reece James – Chelsea – $5,700
Emerson – Chelsea – $5,000
Nicolas Tagliafico – Ajax – $5,200
Nordi Mukiele – RB Leipzig – $5,300

DraftKings Goalies

Samir Hananovic – Inter Milan – $5,700
O. Vlachodimos – Benfica – $5,100

12/10 UCL FanDuel Rankings

FanDuel Forwards/Midfielders

Memphis Depay – Lyon – $21
Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $21
Hakim Ziyech – Ajax – $20
Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $18
Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $16
Willian – Chelsea – $16
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $15
Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $16
Jadon Sancho – Dortmund – $15
Klass Van Huntelaar – Ajax – $12

FanDuel Defensemen

Reece James – Chelsea – $11
Dayot Upamecano – RB Leipzig – $11
Joel Veltman – Ajax – $12
Alejandro Grimaldo – Benfica – $15
Mats Hummels – Dortmund – $15

FanDuel Goalies

Roman Burki– Dortmund – $13
Kepa – Chelsea – $11

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